Cheltenham Festival Day Four (Friday) tips

[Horneris]

Im up £310 at the moment. Had less winners than usual though. Just the couple i have found have been big prices.

Paddy Power have impressed me today. Credited my account with a free £10 bet for no reason and theyre offering a fantastic (imo) money back special on all 6 races where if your horse comes 2nd to the favourite then you get your money back.

So ive obv gone large on Exotic Dancer for the Gold Cup. Struggling to see how itll be beaten by anything other than Kauto (so i cant lose?  )

I have £3 (woweee,lol) on State of Play from October. But the price is 46-1! so ill be happy if that comes home also.


Other fancies:

2.00 Degas Art

3.15 Exotic Dancer/Monkerhostin EW at an interesting price

4.00 Christy Beamish @25-1 EW (i quite fancy this one, make sure you get it with a firm that are paying 4 places though) / First Down Jets EW

4.40 Demi Beau / Ursis (20-1 antepost) EW

5.20 Arcalis EW (ground changing to favour him, stable coming back into form) / Pedrobob EW (antepost 16-1)

[Horneris]

i think ive bet it every year its ran in the gold cup, everytime its talked the talk and failed to walk the walk. but the odds are pretty huge this year so like a fish im backing it again, any guesses?

Gotta be Beef or Salmon!

Would love this to win even tho id lose my money.

Reaction would be superb and the horse deserves it so much.

Wont happen tho. I wont be backing it.

[smithy69]

I have been told to back Degas Art in the 1st for Win and the place

From a current jump jockeys brother so should be good info

[Karabiner]

Oi oi 

[dan]

 

havent had a bet at the festival until today because i havent been able to watch it.

backed every race today and just had katchit in the 1st took 11/2 havent seen what price it went off at so dont know if it was the right thing to do.

Also backed : 235 - black harry win
                   315 - Kauto star  win
                   400 - Ned kelly   e/w
                   440 - Andreas    e/w
                   520 - lord henry e/w


edit; apperas it went off at 11/2 so ignore that bit
good luck all

[Graham C]

Black Harry sums my Cheltenham up.   First horse I was going to get a return with and it falls at the last.

Thankfully, I managed to lay off to get my stake back at 1.03!

[The Camel]

I'm starting to waiver.... Kauto is trading at less than 2.5 on betfair now. I can close out and have a risk free grand if the wonder horse wins. Must admit it's pretty damn tempting.

[Colchester Kev]

Let it ride Keith, you must be running hot with a decent bet on wichita .... Go for it !!

[totalise]

I'm starting to waiver.... Kauto is trading at less than 2.5 on betfair now. I can close out and have a risk free grand if the wonder horse wins. Must admit it's pretty damn tempting.

I've backed it pretty heavily, so you should defo lay.

[The Camel]

They forced my hand, I've laid half my bet back at 2.3.

Still think he's a certainty, but you never go skint taking a profit!

[boldie]

it's the smart thing to do Keith..We all know he's the best horse in the race..if he stands and stays he'll piss it but I wouldn't risk a grand on it.

I've laid him off pretty heavily..it will make or break my cheltenham..120£ down on the day because I laid of wichita...but Kauto is my main lay. (L'ami placing more then covers it though )

[Colchester Kev]

is the thinker overpriced at 14/1 ?? must have solid ew chances and on a running day is capable of taking advantage of some luck (like Kauto falling)

[Karabiner]

is the thinker overpriced at 14/1 ?? must have solid ew chances and on a running day is capable of taking advantage of some luck (like Kauto falling)

If you can get 14/1 on The Thinker for the Gold Cup that it won about twenty years ago for WA Stevenson, take it.


It would seem not quite soft enough for The Listener though

[Colchester Kev]

LOL yes the Listener was the one i meant ... had an eah way punt on it.

[boldie]

wow beef or salmon making the running?...unexpected