tournament decision..call or fold??

[bhoywonder]

hi guys £30 live FO last night

71 started,6 left

so we are in the money ,just over £2k in the kitty..£130 in the bank already..

our stack is 120,000..BB at 6000,with around 500,000 in play we are a little above average in 2nd position,but a precarious position...no real short stacks ready to bust imminently...

now here's where it gets tricky..the tournament is drawing to a close in around 12 minutes..so roughly 8-10 hands left

and prizes allocated according to chip positions at the last hand..


we are UTG with  and raise to 20k..all fold to the BB who calls and we see a flop of     ..he then pushes for his stack which to me is another 51k..we have been a little liberal with this player,taking away any limps he trys and maybe my image was a little aggressive to him,but in saying that i think he has a good hand here..

ok call and win the pot to take the tourney most probably..

or call and lose and be the small stack on 50k

or fold

a lot to think about here,I took a full 2 minutes to make a decision..wot would u do?

[LeKnave]

9 diamonds + 2 overs probs.  15 outs x 2. which is like ev's

getting 94/51 (1.8/1) on the pot its a call.

+ he could easily have a smaller FD so ur good anyway.  but yeah i defo call here.

[UpTheMariners]

insta call

[TightEnd]

by delaying 2 minutes before calling, with 8 mins left before chip count, its sort of EV negative to delay!

if you lose you are push botting, maximum time required to do so and get back into it!

[boldie]

insta call

yep..very rapidly.

[bhoywonder]

by delaying 2 minutes before calling, with 8 mins left before chip count, its sort of EV negative to delay!

if you lose you are push botting, maximum time required to do so and get back into it!

i know what you  are saying ,but to me this was like a £300-400 decision and not just a win lose thing,that was what i was mulling over...

[boldie]

by delaying 2 minutes before calling, with 8 mins left before chip count, its sort of EV negative to delay!

if you lose you are push botting, maximum time required to do so and get back into it!

i know what you  are saying ,but to me this was like a £300-400 decision and not just a win lose thing,that was what i was mulling over...

If you fold you make 300£ more? Easiest fold in the world then.

[Royal Flush]

Why raise so big pre?

[bhoywonder]

Why raise so big pre?

it was my standard raise when i hit the FT,i was asking myself that throughout the FT actually,but i didnt want to mix it up too much so i stuck with it throughout..worked for me this time..got a lot through with it

but probably un-necessararily too big

sometimes min raises do the job as well,,,but i kinda set the tone..oops

[GlasgowBandit]

what does he push with on that flop?  Seems to me that he had made his mind up pre flop that he was calling and pushing any flop!!??!

I don't get the shove tbh, but I think the easiest think to do here is put him on a smaller flush, but what does he call 14 with pre flop?  perhaps???

[bhoywonder]

ok

my agressive image backfired a little here

even though i showed him  to a recent limp from him which i raised..

he must have been antsey

I called ,i thought stuff it , i want the win..only one to get that is get the chippies

i call...he had

so he took away 3 of my outs ( but added another 4 on the turn ) and after running the numbers i'm a slight underdog

turn and river both kings


and im low man

oh well,I think im always calling here though,maybe next time i wont brick out