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Author Topic: Hand Analysis - THE FLOP - Small Blind  (Read 16365 times)
matt674
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« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2005, 10:27:16 AM »

No, but it makes me think i've hit it and therefore any bet I make is with the upmost confidence that I have the nuts and because I can be read like a book everyones going to fold and I will win with **** all!  :rolleyes:

all depends on which book it is, you seen how thick war and peace is? Wink
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« Reply #16 on: November 03, 2005, 10:30:47 AM »

15k


crikey, you are going into my notebook...you'd have raised 50K preflop from the SB


maniac........ Cheesy
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matt674
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« Reply #17 on: November 03, 2005, 11:18:09 AM »

15k


why 15k?
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« Reply #18 on: November 03, 2005, 11:46:36 AM »

i really cant see how u can lead out on this from first to act, with a weak flush draw, with 6 in the pot, if u throw out a bet, it has to be 15k+, then someone raises u to say 40k, and u could talk yourself into having odds to chase your flush draw, then u miss the turn, u are in an awful spot. Very dangerous, looks a lot prettier than it is, needless chance to take to lead into this, no way i would do it.
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« Reply #19 on: November 03, 2005, 11:48:28 AM »

i really cant see how u can lead out on this from first to act, with a weak flush draw, with 6 in the pot, if u throw out a bet, it has to be 15k+, then someone raises u to say 40k, and u could talk yourself into having odds to chase your flush draw, then u miss the turn, u are in an awful spot. Very dangerous, looks a lot prettier than it is, needless chance to take to lead into this, no way i would do it.

 


Welcome to Blonde, a nice first post, mainly because you agreed with me!

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« Reply #20 on: November 03, 2005, 11:54:44 AM »

Ok, I am thinking why the hell did I call preflop? flops are so much easier to play when you come in as the raiser or reraiser.
we are 6 handed what am I against? The very real possibility of a higher flush draw worries me. What are the chances of a free card if I check here? (not many) If i bet out can i take the pot ? Betting will give me information about the range I am against. Will betting buy me a free card ? Am I prepared to  commit with this hand if i get reraised? If i hit my flush is it good?  A bet here will look like a made hand if i bet hard enough to push out any other flush draws I can be more confident I am ahead if my flush hits.
Sooooo I bet out i think . I dont want to bet the pot as its a bit strong and seems like i want no action (which i dont particularly) so I bet out at around 12k thereby giving the flush draws a tough decision and making it look like I am not too scared of continuing the hand.
Tough one tho I'd be in the tank for at least an hour!
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« Reply #21 on: November 03, 2005, 12:14:55 PM »

I would bet 10k and fold a reraise (in spite of the odds because then this hand is starting to do real damage to my stack).

Ok, so i'm not winning and i only have a draw but if i can thin down the field it increases my chances of winning. Also, (as it has already been mentioned) i should make everyone who is on a draw fold.

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matt674
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« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2005, 12:20:44 PM »

but is 10k into a 15k pot enough to get all the other draws to fold?

By the time the action gets round to the cut off seat who is sat there with an up and down straight draw with his 8-7 o/s the pot may well be standing at $55k, would you fold an up and down straight draw when its only costing you $10k into a $65k pot?
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matt674
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« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2005, 12:21:33 PM »

sorry harry if i'm jumping ahead of myself!! Sad
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« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2005, 12:25:14 PM »

on that board, someone will have either trips, a strong king, a better flush draw, or an up and down str8 draw, 6 handed, to have any chance of getting this through, u will have to bet at least the pot (thats assuming no one does have trips), and u basically have an 8 high, there will be far better chances to get your chips in in this tourney, and the pot at present is only 15, u have only put 2k in, let in go imo, if u do get a free card, then great reaccess it then.
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« Reply #25 on: November 03, 2005, 12:26:51 PM »

and oh yeah, hello everyone, been reading this for a while , bout time i started posting i thought.

(check out my poker blog)
www.norwichfan.blogspot.com


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The Truth
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« Reply #26 on: November 03, 2005, 12:52:23 PM »


So when I move all-in on the turn they don't have a clue what I have.
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matt674
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« Reply #27 on: November 03, 2005, 12:56:43 PM »


So when I move all-in on the turn they don't have a clue what I have.

Are you laying your hand down if you get reraised on the flop?

Are you going all in on the turn regardless of how many callers and what card hits?
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« Reply #28 on: November 03, 2005, 01:00:10 PM »

I don't believe I will be reraised.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #29 on: November 03, 2005, 01:03:43 PM »

you wouldn't be re-raised by trips or UTG with a good king (finding out where he was)?


there's every chance you'd be reraised
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