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Author Topic: US open Golf  (Read 14642 times)
chrisbruce
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« on: June 09, 2008, 07:12:53 PM »

the scene of Karabina great triumph last year when he backed Angel Cabrera.

The big question this year though is Tiger Woods ...... recent surgery on his knee for the third time in his career and he has only played one round of golf since ( using a cart) ....big question mark there.

Tiger woods price is drifting big style on the exchanges currently at 4.5 which is massive for someone who is normally 2.4 when he turns up.

on the positive side Tiger has a great all round game. A master at putting and chipping.

If Tigers knee does bother him he may ease of a bit on the TEE and find a few more fairways as a result which may improve his score ?

I am going to see what happens over the next few days and what news there before I reach for the wallet

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bobby1
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« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2008, 07:38:10 PM »

the scene of Karabina great triumph last year when he backed Angel Cabrera.

The big question this year though is Tiger Woods ...... recent surgery on his knee for the third time in his career and he has only played one round of golf since ( using a cart) ....big question mark there.

Tiger woods price is drifting big style on the exchanges currently at 4.5 which is massive for someone who is normally 2.4 when he turns up.

on the positive side Tiger has a great all round game. A master at putting and chipping.

If Tigers knee does bother him he may ease of a bit on the TEE and find a few more fairways as a result which may improve his score ?

I am going to see what happens over the next few days and what news there before I reach for the wallet



Ive had a bet already on Garcia at 27 , Pod at  26 and Weir at 70 on BF over the weekend. With this being Micklesons local course and with the doubts about Tiger I have had a chunk on him at 9.4 too with the idea of laying it back before the start and having a free bet with the diff.

Two that might be best avoided are Adam Scott(laid at 44) who says on his website that he has been ill over the last couple of weeks but has actually got a broken little finger and Cam Villegas who had a virus last week and lost 12 pounds, he was complaining of feeling washed out over the weekend.

Reading Justin Rose's piece in the Times today he commented that the course  heavily favours a fade off most tee's so Mick(hits the left handers equiv of a fade) and players like Ogilvy and Monty should like that, tho not so good for Garcia who mainly hits it the other way.

One bet i have had but could hardly get a bean on was Leonard to beat Toms in a 72 hole match bet, how anyone could make Leonard the evens outsider  in that match must be mad, they have gone 4/5 Leonard and evens Toms now but as they are trading at 70 and 220 on BF. Leonard should be even shorter than that in my book given Toms is considering taking next year off on a medical exemption coz of his bad back and as a real low ball hitter should be totally unsuited to playing on lightening fast greens where the trajectory of his approaches will mean he has difficulty stopping the ball.

Do you ever bet golf spreads Chris??



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Karabiner
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« Reply #2 on: June 09, 2008, 08:14:19 PM »

I'm with you on Garcia Phil, I managed to get some of the 27 yesterday before the price shrunk. I reckon Chapman must have tipped him up in the RP this week.

I've also gone for Fasth who is a very good player of tough courses imo @ 270+, Karlsson @ 110 who seems to be there or there abouts every week presently, and a hunch bet on Davis Love @ 400+ as I remember him saying pre-season that after shoulder surgery he was now fully fit for the first time in years.

Tiger does not appeal to me even @ the 7/2 which is freely available although I would not be that surprised if he were to win.

Last year's £25 @ 270/1 on Cabrera is a rather fond memory Smiley, but he's one to leave alone this year for me.

Good luck everyone.
« Last Edit: June 09, 2008, 08:17:47 PM by Karabiner » Logged

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« Reply #3 on: June 09, 2008, 08:16:51 PM »

quite fancy mickleson has a good record here but that is reflected in the market at 8/1, and as i am a greedy bastard i probably won't back him at that price.

i'll have sabbatini 150/1  bold will make him win imo

leonard 50/1
weekley 66/1
imada 66/1

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Rooky9
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« Reply #4 on: June 09, 2008, 08:17:57 PM »

I can't see Tiger easing off any tee's, though he usually makes more use of his long irons off the tea in US open's anyway doesn't he? I'd be more interested in the amount of time he has had on the practice ground than the number of rounds. I'm guessing he'll play this one twice before Thursday. Having said all this I wouldn't back or lay him!!

I'm going for Furyk, Sabbatini & Ames.
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bobby1
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« Reply #5 on: June 09, 2008, 08:32:28 PM »

I'm with you on Garcia Phil, I managed to get some of the 27 yesterday before the price shrunk. I reckon Chapman must have tipped him up in the RP this week.

I've also gone for Fasth who is a very good player of tough courses imo @ 270+, Karlsson @ 110 who seems to be there or there abouts every week presently, and a hunch bet on Davis Love @ 400+ as I remember him saying pre-season that after shoulder surgery he was now fully fit for the first time in years.

Tiger does not appeal to me even @ the 7/2 which is freely available although I would not be that surprised if he were to win.

Last year's £25 @ 270/1 on Cabrera is a rather fond memory Smiley, but he's one to leave alone this year for me.

Good luck everyone.

That was a superb pick Ralph, I remember on the 10th tee of the final round I had got a pony ew on Ames at 250/1 in running and  pony ew at 100/1 Stricker in running and they were tied for the lead on +4 and neither of them finished in the places!!!
« Last Edit: June 09, 2008, 08:48:44 PM by bobby1 » Logged

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matt674
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« Reply #6 on: June 09, 2008, 09:52:30 PM »

Geoff Ogilvy @ 34
Stewart Cink @ 46
Boo Weekley @ 75

and my "Karabiner" for 2008

Steve Marino @ 550
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Graham C
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« Reply #7 on: June 10, 2008, 12:42:51 AM »

Is Ernie not well?  He's drifted from around 20 to 60.0 on BF.
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bobby1
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« Reply #8 on: June 10, 2008, 01:19:55 AM »

Is Ernie not well?  He's drifted from around 20 to 60.0 on BF.

He has been in very poor form for a while Silo and his bad form dip coincided with an anouncement that one of his children has autism.
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Graham C
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« Reply #9 on: June 10, 2008, 10:40:17 AM »

Cheers Bobby, will leave alone.

So far just Jiminez for me. 
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Matt50
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« Reply #10 on: June 10, 2008, 10:49:39 AM »

I have backed Luke Donald at 42.  He likes this course and has done well there previously.  He is also overdue a decent run in a major.
For a couple of e/w outsiders i have gone for Boo Weekly and Andres Romero.
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crown
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« Reply #11 on: June 10, 2008, 12:54:39 PM »

Bets so far

Camilo Villegas 150/1

Stephen Ames 80/1

Stewart Cink  50/1
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chrisbruce
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« Reply #12 on: June 10, 2008, 09:57:56 PM »

Ive lumped on the Tiger....had a nice result on Holland last night and its all gone on Tiger.

Heres why

Tiger woods at 4.6!!!!!

Just watched his press interview and he (seems) fit and raring to go.

he has played several rounds this week.

This tournament will all be about mental strength as the course will be stupid tough with horrible greens. He is the best at
 hanldling that sort of toughness.

If Tiger is in the top 10 after round 1 his price will tumble big style - take out stake and free roll..........

Good luck with your bets and enjoy
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seven2unsuited
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« Reply #13 on: June 11, 2008, 11:02:21 PM »

damn it just putting my bets on and laddies have changed sabbatini to 100's from 150 almost dont wanna do it now
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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #14 on: June 11, 2008, 11:06:04 PM »

damn it just putting my bets on and laddies have changed sabbatini to 100's from 150 almost dont wanna do it now

Yeah, that shit tilts me big time.
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