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Poker Hand Analysis
Can you find a fold here?
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Topic: Can you find a fold here? (Read 1563 times)
KarlizLV
Newbie
Offline
Posts: 19
Can you find a fold here?
«
on:
January 09, 2009, 03:28:57 PM »
First time in NL25. Was up to 37$ from 25$. Opp. was very tigh, PF 2 ; AF 0.8. I didn't push preflop because he call - raised, so I figured he has AA or KK, so I decided to call and see the flop. Was there a way I could not lose all my stack on this? Thanks
$0.1/$0.25 Deep No Limit Holdem
8 players
Converted at
weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG teDis (
$28.30
)
UTG+1 Edubcn (
$25.00
)
MP1 77Alexander77 (
$24.75
)
MP2 krayziebone17 (
$48.30
)
CO sunny4603 (
$25.00
)
BTN CraZyJamez (
$32.15
)
SB Hero (
$37.20
)
BB Matze1803 (
$10.65
)
Pre-flop:
(
$0.35, 8 players
)
Hero is SB
2 folds
, 77Alexander77 calls $0.25,
3 folds
,
Hero raises to $0.75
,
1 fold
,
77Alexander77 raises to $1.50
,
Hero raises to $5
,
77Alexander77 raises to $12.50
, Hero calls $7.50
Flop:
(
$25.25, 2 players
)
Hero bets $15.50
,
77Alexander77 goes all-in $12.25
Turn:
:
(
$53, 2 players
)
River:
:
(
$53, 2 players
)
Final Pot:
$49.75
Hero shows: :qh :qs
77Alexander77 shows:
Hero wins $3.25 ( lost -$24.75 )
77Alexander77 wins $47.30 ( won +$22.55 )
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MC
Super
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 6260
Re: Can you find a fold here?
«
Reply #1 on:
January 09, 2009, 03:56:08 PM »
How many hands on the stats?
Assuming reliable stats and your read "you figure he has AA or KK", you don't have implied odds to call preflop to hit your set...
So, perhaps should lay down here, but I'm not going to fault you for how you played it personally. As long as you muck JJ in this spot against this player...
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@epitomised
Cf
Global Moderator
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 8081
Re: Can you find a fold here?
«
Reply #2 on:
January 09, 2009, 03:58:42 PM »
Quote from: MC on January 09, 2009, 03:56:08 PM
How many hands on the stats?
Assuming reliable stats and your read "you figure he has AA or KK", you don't have implied odds to call preflop to hit your set...
So, perhaps should lay down here, but I'm not going to fault you for how you played it personally. As long as you muck JJ in this spot against this player...
This.
Though once you've hit that Q the money is obviously going in the middle, as AA is part of his range.
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KarlizLV
Newbie
Offline
Posts: 19
Re: Can you find a fold here?
«
Reply #3 on:
January 09, 2009, 04:01:24 PM »
~60 hands
Well I was thinking about folding preflop, but...I just find it hard to fold QQ preflop w/ 1 opp.
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GreekStein
Hero Member
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 20728
Re: Can you find a fold here?
«
Reply #4 on:
January 09, 2009, 04:04:46 PM »
After the flop we can't fold but like MC says, you aren't getting the right price with QQ to setmine if you know the guy has AA or KK.
Your play isn't horrible as no-one likes folding queens but when he reraises you so small pre alarm bells should already be going off big time. At NL25 and NL50 players loooove minraising with AA and KK because they think its good play.
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Retired Policeman, Part time troll.
GreekStein
Hero Member
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 20728
Re: Can you find a fold here?
«
Reply #5 on:
January 09, 2009, 04:05:45 PM »
Quote from: KarlizLV on January 09, 2009, 04:01:24 PM
~60 hands
Well I was thinking about folding preflop, but...I just find it hard to fold QQ preflop w/ 1 opp.
Yeah but its one opp who has raised you twice pre!
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Sweetman
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 354
Re: Can you find a fold here?
«
Reply #6 on:
January 09, 2009, 04:25:26 PM »
fold pre.
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gatso
Ninja Mod
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 16192
Let's go round again
Re: Can you find a fold here?
«
Reply #7 on:
January 09, 2009, 04:31:10 PM »
no way I'm ever getting away from this on the flop
pf once he's limp 3 bet then 5 bet us I probs pass to a guy with pfr% of 2. you've only got 60 hands on him but I think that's enough to tell us we're in serious trouble here
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MC
Super
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 6260
Re: Can you find a fold here?
«
Reply #8 on:
January 09, 2009, 05:44:23 PM »
Quote from: KarlizLV on January 09, 2009, 04:01:24 PM
~60 hands
Well I was thinking about folding preflop, but...I just find it hard to fold QQ preflop w/ 1 opp.
Hmm 60 hands but isn't really enough to confirm he's tight enough to only have AA or KK here, so QQ plays a bit better.
I find it hard to fold QQ to 1 opponent too. This might just be one of those spots where it was possible, but by no means definite.
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@epitomised
KarlizLV
Newbie
Offline
Posts: 19
Re: Can you find a fold here?
«
Reply #9 on:
January 09, 2009, 06:02:52 PM »
Thanks a lot for the answers
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pokerfan
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 5551
Re: Can you find a fold here?
«
Reply #10 on:
January 09, 2009, 09:08:06 PM »
thoughts noble?
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