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Gamblor21
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« Reply #600 on: April 21, 2009, 09:57:37 PM » |
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Hey Gamblor, how comes the suprem is only 0-0.2?
Are you trading this game?
Not trading it, its the way it is setup in the model. Basically we still ave liverpool as favs, irrespective of the goal it'll drift if it stays the same during the game out towards 1. Or we want to cover our liability on liverpool, but we probably had it as 1-1 pre game so currently going with the prediction and price to go along with that. Though your comments would be more note worthy! The betfair prices was 2.36 arse, 3.5 scousers.. (and I thought liverpool were underpriced fwiw).. that suggests your price should be 0.2-0.4 or even 0.3-0.5. I assume the betfair price taken into account in the model? This result is not good for SPIN, goals galore are never good. Betfair is taken into account, though we may alter the price based on liabilty and the fact that we expect people to trade in a certain direction, so we don't give the majority any edge but the odd shrewd punter will go the other side as our price is too low/high. |
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Hear me knocking... Let me in then!
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Horneris
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« Reply #601 on: April 21, 2009, 09:57:52 PM » |
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OMGOMG I HATE BH!
hes had a diver on 4-4 again!
Greasefire, obv havent. |
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Karabiner
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« Reply #602 on: April 21, 2009, 09:58:08 PM » |
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Oh well it's not all bad as I have Arshavin and Torres in my fantasy team and one twisted spud done a $50  |
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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amcgrath1uk
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« Reply #603 on: April 21, 2009, 09:58:42 PM » |
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what a game ... superb entertainment
what do u reckon Kev... arse quivering more now or on Friday? |
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kinboshi
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« Reply #604 on: April 21, 2009, 10:00:31 PM » |
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Bloody hell that was a game!
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'The meme for blind faith secures its own perpetuation by the simple unconscious expedient of discouraging rational inquiry.'
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Geo the Sarge
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« Reply #605 on: April 21, 2009, 10:06:48 PM » |
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 to both sides Great game Geo
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When you get..........give. When you learn.......teach
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Graham C
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« Reply #607 on: April 21, 2009, 11:33:11 PM » |
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Fabrigas and Arshavin to score first for me
Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee  Totally missed the game though, replay at 12:30 ftw. |
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The Baron
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« Reply #608 on: April 21, 2009, 11:59:11 PM » |
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What a couple of weeks for liverpool!
Man Utd 1 v 4 Liverpool
Liverpool 4 v 0 Real Madrid
Chelsea 4 v 4 Liverpool
Liverpool 4 v 4 Arsenal
Thanks for the entertainment, but i think Man Utd have won the league tonight!
All i can say night is:
Come on the Catalonians!
Not to mention Blackburn at 4-0! I agree with the rest! Messi ftw! |
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The Camel
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« Reply #609 on: April 22, 2009, 12:43:48 AM » |
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wow. That's like reverse swimming against the tide surely?!
The tide is everyone wants to back Liverpool. The difference between Bendtner and Arshavin and Adebayor and Van Persie is tiny if there is any difference at all. It certainly doesn't warrent the scousers being backed from evens to 4/6. Oh I forgot. Arshavin is rubbish after all |
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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The Camel
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« Reply #610 on: May 03, 2009, 10:55:51 AM » |
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1.27 Liverpool is a total nonsense against the Toon today.
LAY 500pts Liverpool @ 1.27.
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists
"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012
"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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Robert HM
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« Reply #611 on: May 03, 2009, 11:22:17 AM » |
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doned
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Robert HM
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« Reply #612 on: May 03, 2009, 08:56:49 PM » |
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Hoping you can see some value in the play offs MR Camel.
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Dubai
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« Reply #613 on: May 10, 2009, 01:45:51 PM » |
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Gotta be on Alex Cejka today @13-8 with a 5shot lead, the only reason he isnt 4-6/4-7 is that Tiger Woods is taking up 25% of the market. Swim against the Woods tide the one time i reckon
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Nutter5932
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« Reply #614 on: May 10, 2009, 02:36:27 PM » |
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On him to seems a wierd price even if tiger is the better overall player - final round and 5 shot lead
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