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Poker Hand Analysis
Flopped the house, and then.....
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Topic: Flopped the house, and then..... (Read 3765 times)
TightEnd
Administrator
Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Flopped the house, and then.....
«
on:
May 04, 2009, 11:26:49 PM »
£100 freezeout, Luton
1st level, 25-50
8,000 starting
Three limpers.....to Hero on SB with
raise to 500, it being tricky to ascertain what raise might get the field thinned but not completely thinned....
Two callers, Jim McBride in the cut off, knows his onions but could be any pocket pair here. He often set mines to raises early on. More likely than an unmade hand like AQ/KJ/A10 etc
Second caller is a South African gentleman, played him before but mental notes are sparse. Not a lot to go on, but not a novice, and not spewy.
So 1600 in the pot when the flop comes the magnificent
I lead for 1200 here. Slow play check too suspicious from me
Called in both spots, which is equally magnificent. Lets hope there's a bare ten out, or a meaningful pocket pair or KQ
turn
Now how do we like it?
1. How do you play the turn here?
I choose to check, admittedly this may be very weak but I have a ten in the range of the second caller on the flop. I suddenly want to keep the pot small
It's checked round
2. How then do you play the river?
I check again, intending to check call. I'll leave the rest for the moment
OK
Please take me through how you would play this on the turn and river
I am interested really in how many streets of value I should be extracting here against two opponents, and at what point I should be slowing down to action
I fully accept my line was the weakest possible....but I'm here to listen!!
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George2Loose
Hero Member
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Posts: 15127
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #1 on:
May 04, 2009, 11:47:21 PM »
I think your personally missing value here.
I would lead turn. Case King is just as likely as the 10.
Also QJ is obviously out there.
I may then check/call river but most likely go to bustoville if someone has quadded up
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Ole Ole Ole Ole!
outragous76
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Posts: 13315
Yeah Bitch! ......... MAGNETS! owwwh!
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #2 on:
May 04, 2009, 11:59:31 PM »
weak bet the turn - 75% v bet on river (could be all in?) - and not folding at any point
just coolered if beat and obv case K pays you off
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".....and then I spent 2 hours talking with Stu which blew my mind.........."
Newportlad
Hero Member
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Posts: 1789
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #3 on:
May 05, 2009, 12:31:36 AM »
You are only losing here to the
. I'm betting 50% of the pot after the turn. Hopefully keep them both interested, but you want at least one of them. Hopefully the river is no A or
! and im then betting about 75%
«
Last Edit: May 05, 2009, 12:36:36 AM by Newportlad
»
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Dewi_cool
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Posts: 9972
Dusk Till Dawn - It's like going home
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #4 on:
May 05, 2009, 01:14:16 AM »
fold
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The very last hand of the night goes to Dewi James, who finds ACES and talks Raymond O’Mahoney into calling his all-in preflop bet of 15k. “If I had AQ, I’d call!” says Dewi. Raymond calls holding pocket 66’s.
Royal Flush
Hero Member
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Booooccccceeeeeee
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #5 on:
May 05, 2009, 03:24:48 AM »
I don't mind checking the turn then bet folding the river.
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[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
cod meharly
#9 - Evans
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#9 - Evans
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #6 on:
May 05, 2009, 04:49:09 AM »
Quote from: Royal Flush on May 05, 2009, 03:24:48 AM
I don't mind checking the turn then bet folding the river.
u sure will bet fold the river once u check the turn james...u will level urself and 3bet jam the river for value imo thinking the guy is gna call with 88 or some hand like this looooool
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[ ] im good hu
Royal Flush
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Posts: 22690
Booooccccceeeeeee
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #7 on:
May 05, 2009, 05:01:44 AM »
Quote from: cod meharly on May 05, 2009, 04:49:09 AM
Quote from: Royal Flush on May 05, 2009, 03:24:48 AM
I don't mind checking the turn then bet folding the river.
u sure will bet fold the river once u check the turn james...u will level urself and 3bet jam the river for value imo thinking the guy is gna call with 88 or some hand like this looooool
Meh live poker 100f on a weekday, i am guessing he aint going to bluff shove the river level 1 against a known rock because then he would have to drive all the way home again or wait around for 2hrs till the cash game starts.
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[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
MANTIS01
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Posts: 6736
What kind of fuckery is this?
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #8 on:
May 05, 2009, 07:09:05 PM »
Quote from: Royal Flush on May 05, 2009, 03:24:48 AM
I don't mind checking the turn then bet folding the river.
What are you talking about James? The case king never jams right? Bad advice imo.
I don't like how you play this hand Rich. You check the turn/river hoping to keep the pot small with the 2nd nuts (which is poker nasty in itself), but if quads are out there the pot will get big automatically just because of that fact. I think trying to manipulate a small pot vs quads is an impossible task isn't it? Any villain with a 10 is making the same mistake as you by checking the turn and not pot building vs worse hands! I mean think about why quads man checks the turn?? He knows at least one of his oppos has a King they're never folding!! So what's he doing?? All this check check check kings full vs quads. What is going on? I really think you should be trying to get some money into this pot Tighty.
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Hit Squad
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Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #9 on:
May 05, 2009, 08:41:39 PM »
Quote from: Royal Flush on May 05, 2009, 03:24:48 AM
I don't mind checking the turn then bet folding the river.
+1
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@KarlMahrenholz
MANTIS01
Hero Member
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Posts: 6736
What kind of fuckery is this?
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #10 on:
May 05, 2009, 09:48:04 PM »
If you lead for a half pot 2.6k on the river and villain pushes you will face calling your remaining 3.5k into a 14k pot. I think turning down 4/1 about your oppo having a king is pretty rude really. And why do we discount villain having a king again? Don't really get the motivation behind the river bet if you're planning to fold. It would appear to be a weird bet for information that only really tells you what you already know....villain has a king or a 10. Why is it 4x more likely he has a 10 again?
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paulhouk03
Cliqueless
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Posts: 7652
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #11 on:
May 06, 2009, 12:54:06 PM »
3 streets of value for me
or maybe bet 30-60% of the pot on the turn
then check call on river
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Just me
Steve Swift
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Posts: 2024
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #12 on:
May 10, 2009, 12:53:36 PM »
He who dares rodney, guess i am agg i would have them ai.
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TheChipPrince
Hero Member
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Posts: 8664
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #13 on:
May 14, 2009, 09:28:47 AM »
I like how you've played it except betting the river...
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keilan303
Full Member
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Posts: 264
Re: Flopped the house, and then.....
«
Reply #14 on:
May 14, 2009, 12:45:00 PM »
Quote from: MANTIS01 on May 05, 2009, 07:09:05 PM
Quote from: Royal Flush on May 05, 2009, 03:24:48 AM
I don't mind checking the turn then bet folding the river.
What are you talking about James? The case king never jams right? Bad advice imo.
I don't like how you play this hand Rich. You check the turn/river hoping to keep the pot small with the 2nd nuts (which is poker nasty in itself), but if quads are out there the pot will get big automatically just because of that fact. I think trying to manipulate a small pot vs quads is an impossible task isn't it? Any villain with a 10 is making the same mistake as you by checking the turn and not pot building vs worse hands! I mean think about why quads man checks the turn?? He knows at least one of his oppos has a King they're never folding!! So what's he doing?? All this check check check kings full vs quads. What is going on? I really think you should be trying to get some money into this pot Tighty.
I agree with this....I'd bet stronger on the turn, if someone has the ten they should shove as you must have a K, if they smooth called Aces, AK, KQ, KJ, QQ preflop, they maybe think you were representing the ten and shove anyway....I'd go broke on this, if you lose you have a nice bad beat stoy about how some idiot called 10xBB with
and bust your kings
I also wrap the dealers knuckles for having two
's in the deck
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