NFL 09-10 Thread.

[LeKnave]

Carolina +9 in the late game tonight

nice one mate, me and brent got on the +7.5 with betfair.

paiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii

[bobby1]

Carolina +9 in the late game tonight

nice one mate, me and brent got on the +7.5 with betfair.

paiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii

good work men.

[Marky147]

WD Gents

GG me I obv go to bed at 2 w/o trying to get out of it FMFL

[Pab]

lost on patriots and chargers, got some back on eagles then got out of it on carolina wiiiiiiiiiiii

[TightEnd]

10/11 - Denver -14

They're playing Oakland, says it all really.

I love Denver put there's no way I'd put money on them -14.                                                                                                      

and Oakland have been improving, from the depths, for 5-6 weeks now

Would want to be on Oakland big time with a 14 point start.

[  ] I had a chance to back this up with cash. Sigh.

[Royal Flush]

Norrrrrr did it in on Pats and Chargers, won on Philli, Colts and Dallas.

[bobby1]

10/11 - Denver -14

They're playing Oakland, says it all really.

I love Denver put there's no way I'd put money on them -14.                                                                                                      

and Oakland have been improving, from the depths, for 5-6 weeks now

Would want to be on Oakland big time with a 14 point start.

[  ] I had a chance to back this up with cash. Sigh.

That was a good call Rich and the analysis that Ware chasing Bree's would be the turning point in the Saints game was spot on too.

[Rookie (Rodney)]

After sickness of the GB game has cost me £500 i'm now all in on Giants -3 tonight.

[bobby1]

gl rookie,

No bet for me tonight unless I spot something in the side markets.

In the last 5 weeks Washington have turned into one of my favourite teams to bet on as they have improved since they took the offense play calling away from coach Zorn and gave it to someone else. Zorn had basically zero confidnece in Campbell at QB and the lack of mutual confidence spread all thru the team, the new guy calling the plays has called great games recently and with Zorn 99% likely to get the sack after the season the players seem to now have a freedom about them they didnt have when he was fully in charge.

The problem is in the last five weeks they have covered when getting 4 from Denver, 11 from Dallas, 9 1/2 from Philly, 9 1/2 from New orleans and beat Oakland in a scratch game last week. This week they are only getting 3 from a team that would rank fractionally behind teams they were getting 11 and 9 1/2 from only a few weeks ago, so even tho I expected to be with Washington again this week I am not sure that +3 is a bet number. I should really bet the plus 3 cos in my mind they could easily win the game tonight but I was expecting a few more points.

One other thing is where teams like the Saints going to cold exposed grounds like Washington from their super quick indoor dome is a  problem the Giants play in very similar conditions at their ground too so won't be affected by the cold weather or wind 2night as they usually play in those conditions.

[Rookie (Rodney)]

gl rookie,

No bet for me tonight unless I spot something in the side markets.

In the last 5 weeks Washington have turned into one of my favourite teams to bet on as they have improved since they took the offence play calling away from coach Zorn and gave it to someone else. Zorn had basically zero confidnece in Campbell at QB and the lack of mutual confidence spread all thru the team, the new guy calling the plays has called great games recently and with Zorn 99% likely to get the sack after the season the players seem to now have a freedom about them they didnt have when he was fully in charge.

The problem is in the last five weeks they have covered when getting 4 from Denver, 11 from Dallas, 9 1/2 from Philly, 9 1/2 from New orleans and beat Oakland in a scratch game last week. This week they are only getting 3 from a team that would rank fractionally behind teams they were getting 11 and 9 1/2 from only a few weeks ago, so even tho I expected to be with Washington again this week I am not sure that +3 is a bet number. I should really bet the plus 3 cos in my mind they could easily win the game tonight but I was expecting a few more points.

One other thing is where teams like the Saints going to cold exposed grounds like Washington from their super quick indoor dome is a  problem the Giants play in very similar conditions at their ground too so won't be affected by the cold weather or wind 2night as they usually play in those conditions.

Cheers mate,

Yeah I dunno whether I would be having a bet if it wasn't for chasing on the weekend, you gotta try and get out lol.

I thought the same as you tbh, I agree Washington have definitely become a better team of late but I also think that this is too big a game for Giants tonight and as you said with the weather it shouldnt be affecting the Giants really.

[Horneris]

I had a double last Thursday on Tampa +7 and Giants -3.

I need it to bink but obviously concerned with Washington coming in in price and also the details Bobby mentioned.

gogo

[TightEnd]

The thing that was very noticeable this weekend was the poor Offensive Line play of both the Saints and the Vikings

Offensive Line is not a glamorous position but its pretty vital. It's not an accident that Left tackles, pass rushers and cornerbacks are the premium positions in drafts picked very early, QBs aside.

In the New Orleans team the LT against Ware was a turnstile, Brees was sacked four times and in the play offs the Saints have to beat the pass rush of Allen (Vikings) Ware (Cowboys) Cole (Eagles) depending on the seedings

In their last three games the score is 77-76 to Saints opponents and I just do not see them as Superbowl favourites from the NFC with the OL struggling and have sold them on the 100 index spread.

I see it more with the Vikings with that superb defense but looking at what Peppers did to LT McKinnie last night I am beginning to wonder, 9/1 is a very decent e/w price though

Best Superbowl odds. I think bobby1 likes GreenBay. I like the Cardinals to go deep in the play offs, based on the certainty of them hosting a wild card team and then hoping they upset one of the big two

In the AFC, the Bengals at a price to me based off their defense. No disgrace to lose by three to the Chargers away after the week they had. See no value in the Colts, and the Chargers are hot now and represent much better value but the price has shifted a lot already. Hence looking at alternatives. Bengals, assuming they hold off the Ravens, for me


Indianapolis Colts   3   Totesport   
New Orleans Saints   3   Paddy Power   
San Diego Chargers   11/2   Sky Bet   
Minnesota Vikings   9   Betfred   
Philadelphia Eagles   10   Paddy Power   
New England Patriots   12   Ladbrokes   
Arizona Cardinals   18   Sky Bet   
Dallas Cowboys   25   Sky Bet   
Green Bay Packers 28 Skybet   
Baltimore Ravens   33   Betfred
Cincinnati Bengals 33 Betfred

NFC

New Orleans Saints   6/5   Totesport   
Minnesota Vikings   7/2   Boylesports
Philadelphia Eagles   6   Betfred   
Arizona Cardinals   8   Sky Bet   
Dallas Cowboys   12   Sky Bet   


Interestingly the NFC playoffs are set to take place virtually all in domes...Vikings, Saints, Cardinals, Cowboys..only the Eagles an exception to this, with Green Bay unlikely to host a game

In the AFC the Colts are the only Dome team, thus a lot of winter weather outside games. Defence and Running game wins in those. Bengals. Two class cornerbacks, great linebackers and Cedric Benson pounding it up the middle.

[bobby1]

The thing that was very noticeable this weekend was the poor Offensive Line play of both the Saints and the Vikings

Offensive Line is not a glamorous position but its pretty vital. It's not an accident that Left tackles, pass rushers and cornerbacks are the premium positions in drafts picked very early, QBs aside.

In the New Orleans team the LT against Ware was a turnstile, Brees was sacked four times and in the play offs the Saints have to beat the pass rush of Allen (Vikings) Ware (Cowboys) Cole (Eagles) depending on the seedings

In their last three games the score is 77-76 to Saints opponents and I just do not see them as Superbowl favourites from the NFC with the OL struggling and have sold them on the 100 index spread.

I see it more with the Vikings with that superb defense but looking at what Peppers did to LT McKinnie last night I am beginning to wonder, 9/1 is a very decent e/w price though

Best Superbowl odds. I think bobby1 likes GreenBay. I like the Cardinals to go deep in the play offs, based on the certainty of them hosting a wild card team and then hoping they upset one of the big two

In the AFC, the Bengals at a price to me based off their defense. No disgrace to lose by three to the Chargers away after the week they had. See no value in the Colts, and the Chargers are hot now and represent much better value but the price has shifted a lot already. Hence looking at alternatives. Bengals, assuming they hold off the Ravens, for me


Indianapolis Colts   3   Totesport   
New Orleans Saints   3   Paddy Power   
San Diego Chargers   11/2   Sky Bet   
Minnesota Vikings   9   Betfred   
Philadelphia Eagles   10   Paddy Power   
New England Patriots   12   Ladbrokes   
Arizona Cardinals   18   Sky Bet   
Dallas Cowboys   25   Sky Bet   
Green Bay Packers 28 Skybet   
Baltimore Ravens   33   Betfred
Cincinnati Bengals 33 Betfred

NFC

New Orleans Saints   6/5   Totesport   
Minnesota Vikings   7/2   Boylesports
Philadelphia Eagles   6   Betfred   
Arizona Cardinals   8   Sky Bet   
Dallas Cowboys   12   Sky Bet   


Interestingly the NFC playoffs are set to take place virtually all in domes...Vikings, Saints, Cardinals, Cowboys..only the Eagles an exception to this, with Green Bay unlikely to host a game

In the AFC the Colts are the only Dome team, thus a lot of winter weather outside games. Defence and Running game wins in those. Bengals. Two class cornerbacks, great linebackers and Cedric Benson pounding it up the middle.

Great write up Rich and I have been against the Saints in 3 of the last 4 weeks for mainly the same reasons. The have bottomed out in my eyes and seem really banged up at RB and I really believe they would be a better team without Reggie Bush in their backfield because when he is there the opponents know it almost certain to be a pass. Nobody in the league is worried about him as a RB now.

At the prices it was Arizona I liked as they are a match on offense againt the two teams likely to be ranked above them in the NFC and as you say its very likely that they will be playing shootout games in domes all the way thru the play offs. I think their D is getting stronger too and the top two seem to be struggling as we saw this weekend. It might prove to be too tough a run of games but at the prices I would much rather be on them at 21 on Betfair than either Minny or the Saints.

The one problem could be if Philly sneak the 2nd seed as that will be a tough place to go thru the winter and they are currently winning the tie breaker against Minny tho they need to overcome a one game deficit for it to count.

[Royal Flush]

I like the saints more now they have lost TBH, the entire O-Line was carrying an injury against Dallas and i wouldn't be surprised to see them just rest anyone with a hint of injury and be fighting fit for the playoffs.

I am not feeling so bad about the Pats again though, might just get it together again afterall.

[Rookie (Rodney)]

I got on Chargers and Green Bay last week.