Pre show id backed lucie to go at 28s and rachel at 5-2. Also usual lay of j&e for btm 2 at 5-2. Was originally tempted to also back jamie to go at 11s but bottled it when i realised it was a rock week. My long term positions include danyl to win the show, j&e ew at mass odds and simon's category to win for a chunky bet. Keep meaning to bet stacey for best girl as she looks nailed on, but don't want to tie to much money up longterm and at the skinny price it would have to be a very large bet to be worth it.
Afer the show last night i realised danyl is in grave danger of going this week. Agree with trigg that he looked like he's lost his mojo, unlike olly who seems to grow in confidence each week. Tbh, if i didn't think danyl was by far the biggest talent in the show i'd have to get on him leaving at 7-1 with boylesports. Gotta admit i think he's value at that price. Problem is his peformance this week was so bad compared to his usual standard, i cannot see how he'll pick up votes. And unless up against lloyd-who i doubt will be btm 2, or the twins-who WON'T be bottom 2-i'd be pretty certain bar simon he'd be voted off, although as simon controls it all, then whatever he decides will happen. Just gotta see through all the smoke.
Im still not liking rachel at all and have topped up on her leaving again at just under 4-1 on betfair. If she's up against either lucie or jamie i'd be pretty certain they'd vote her off. And despite lucie looking great and sounding okay, she won't pick up votes and could easily be up against danyl or rachel this week. Problem is i think she'd probably get kept in against either of those, but that's why she was a big price to go.
Joe didn't have his greatest week, jamie seems to be unable to truely sparkle, stacey looks a keeper without winning-she'll get a chat show, and lloyd just cannot sing. This competition looks like it could be set up for an olly v twins finale right now, go twins!
