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Jamier-Host
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« Reply #15 on: May 11, 2011, 09:58:59 PM » |
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Was involved on this a while back and have:
Hungary £20 win @ 20/1
Hungary £20 e/w @ 18/1 (better terms)
Hungary Top 10 £80 @ 5/4
Azerbaijan £20 e/w @ 14/1
The big risk was whether the (bit rough) Hungarian bird could crack out the voice live. Actually missed the show last night but caught the highlights prior to voting and seemed ok. Still thing it's a good song and should be well in the mix.
The French song stood out for me when I first heard them but just seemed a bit risky to back that as a short favourite.
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Side Project - making games for Amazon Alexa devices pressthe8.com |
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boldie
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« Reply #16 on: May 11, 2011, 10:15:03 PM » |
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what odds can i get on jedward pls?
2nd fav and won't get the votes |
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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Jamier-Host
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« Reply #17 on: May 11, 2011, 10:19:53 PM » |
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Can't quite work out why Jedward have plummeted to 5/1 2nd fave in the betting but you can still get evens on a Top 10 finish. Would rather lay them to qualify from the Semi than back either of those though  |
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Side Project - making games for Amazon Alexa devices pressthe8.com |
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Nico29
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« Reply #18 on: May 12, 2011, 09:22:49 AM » |
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Added austria@50s ew with pads first 4 ew.
Tbh im just following the money moves on betfair and the apparent place value with those that go first 4.
Will wait for the eurovision oracle chompy to tip up something on friday and then i'll wade in with the big stakes.
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Jamier-Host
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« Reply #19 on: May 12, 2011, 04:32:03 PM » |
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Think I might add Estonia @ 16/1 as looks like a freeroll. Good song and should walk it tonight in the Semis so if it gets a good draw it goes to single figures.
Hungary has only weakened due to the poor draw. Not up to speed on the draw stats for past results but think it is less of an issue now that the Semi Finals are a bigger deal so the songs are a bit better known before the final. Not super confident on the win but fairly hopeful of it nabbing a Top 4 for a place.
And Azerbaijan should be a shoe in for a place if you look at results the last few years. Been there or thereabouts every time despite shocking songs. This time it's half decent and they won't be far off.
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Side Project - making games for Amazon Alexa devices pressthe8.com |
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Chompy
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« Reply #20 on: May 12, 2011, 05:33:37 PM » |
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Draw is still mega important. Azerbaijan came out of the 1 box last year and it definitely cost them. They finished fifth. A later draw and they'd have been top three imo.
Would put you off Estonia. Guatanteed to qualify but I don't think it'll go single figures even with a late draw.
Finland is drawn 1 this year and I'm getting more interested in Denmark to be top scandie country.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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Cf
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« Reply #21 on: May 12, 2011, 09:12:01 PM » |
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I love Belarus and think they will win.
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Blue text
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Cf
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« Reply #22 on: May 12, 2011, 09:20:00 PM » |
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I'm sorry, this is all terrible. Why are these countries even submitting.
Haven't listened to our song. I imagine it's just as terrible.
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Blue text
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stribling
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« Reply #23 on: May 12, 2011, 09:36:09 PM » |
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My money on Slovenia to Qualify... Come on European men! Vottee!!!
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You have to Risk it for the biscuit!!!
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Chompy
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« Reply #24 on: May 12, 2011, 09:52:03 PM » |
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Massively on the right side of Denmark in the outrights. On the wrong side of Russia but happy to let it ride.
Back you get Jedward, ya pair of talentless feckers
Someone please explain the very basics of betting to Scott Mills
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« Last Edit: May 12, 2011, 10:00:25 PM by Chompy »
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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Chompy
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« Reply #25 on: May 12, 2011, 11:10:39 PM » |
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Urgh, Bosnia drawn 2, Denmark drawn 3
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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Laxie
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« Reply #26 on: May 12, 2011, 11:27:09 PM » |
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Being drawn early is a bad thing, yes?
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I bet when Hugh Hefner dies, you won't hear anyone say, "He's in a better place."
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Dubai
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« Reply #27 on: May 12, 2011, 11:28:08 PM » |
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IN any reality tv show, the draw is everything. Being drawn low is disasterous, just like X factor
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boldie
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« Reply #28 on: May 13, 2011, 07:29:04 AM » |
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Meh, russia drawn 10. Will still get the votes though
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Give a man a gun and he can rob a bank, give a man a bank and he can rob the world.
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Eso Kral
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« Reply #29 on: May 13, 2011, 09:45:16 AM » |
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Can some pls post the draw up or post a link to it?
Chompy what is your best bet for this year now all the finalists are announced?
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Andrew Charles Blacklock - Lived for those he loved and those he loved remember.
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