haha oh dear.
To repeat the epic results of last year when I tipped up Berdych to trade @ 65.0 (he made the final and was 3.2) and Berdych v Nadal final @ 80s (winner
) seems impossible at this stage.
I was just saying to Linux that theres a possibility that I won't have a big outright bet for the first slam in years.
I've got this on Del Potro:
Juan Martin Del Potro 34.98 £50.93 £1,730.51
But then I laid off at:
Juan Martin Del Potro 29.8 £50.00 £1,440.07
for a £300 freeroll as after watching him in the preparatory grass tournaments I'm just not convinced he can adapt well to the surface and has no sort of record at Wimbledon in the past. He might win the US Open but will be short enough.
Anyway, as I was saying, at this stage its really waiting for the draw, I'm really not sure who is going to win.
Nadal wasn't good at Queens but you can forgive that as he was tired and has disappointed there in the past and gone on to win Wimbledon but all season really upto the French Open he hasn't looked like the Nadal of 2010. Losing to Davydenko and Ferrer then all those losses to Djokovic then going 2-1 down to Isner at the French then struggling against Andujar.
Federer has been in steady decline for 2 years now and hasn't won a slam in that period. He looked a lot better at the French and is great on grass and I'd love him to do it but 5/2 when he lost to Berdych and Hewitt on grass last year and hasn't looked like winning a slam for a couple of years, really?
Djokovic has never looked like making a Wimbledon final. Obviously hes been a different player this season but is his net play really up there at the top top with the other principles which is so important at Wimbledon, I'm not sure. If I absolutely had to have a bet it would probably be him at the prices but doesn't exactly make mass appeal at 4.7.
And Murray will no doubt bottle it in a grand slam semi final vs Nadal, Federer or Djokovic. I nearly backed him a few weeks ago @ 11.0 but didn't bother and now hes 7.6 after winning queens and only really beat a constantly crippled Roddick and an inconsistent Tsonga.
So its wait for the draw time. You might think what I've said about the big 4 means there might be some value in outsiders. But who? Berdych and Soderling have been nowhere near their 2009-10 form this year, Roddick has gone at the game, Raonic and Isner could go a long way but are all serve and its not 1998, Tsonga and Gasquet will entertain and threaten but ultimately not deliver.
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