"The Downswings of Property and Poker"

[Eso Kral]

Standard call for me, you just need to run better.

Not sure on this!  As the blinds will go past me and i still have 30k left and there are some stacks that i could be shoving into that make it a tough call for them and winning the blinds only at this stage once per orbit can lock up a seat. Maybe 9's is the bottom of the range  less is an easy fold IDK 

[millidonk]

Only 2 games out of 12 in the JPT tonight less than 2.5 goals. That bet is the way to go! Got me a sweat for Friday

Why whats running??

2 left out of my 6 team acca.. obv this is a massive self bok, but got Shamrock Rovers V Bohemians tonight and tomorrow a bet which i am regretting now.. Germany U-20 v Italy U-20 (what was i thinking with this one??)

Anyways, gonna do some maths and have a look at past results and see if what the scope for some big perms is. 

Already been working on this and the only way i think it can be done is if you concentrate on league 1+2 but thats 24 matches (too many)  so you have to bracket them in 2's which gives you 12 selections and the perm any 6 brackets ( 1x twelvefold) which is 924 bets x say 5p and you show a small profit if you get 1 up any more is good. You probs should cover 8 brackets as well which is 495 bets which gives you a sixteen fold and IMO you need to place this with William Hill as the odds are greater and they let you cover up to 24folds, the biggest pain is writing out the slip and also how do you pick the teams??
Ie  lucky dip or your selections or top tema from league 1 etc etc

Easy part to answer is selecting teams. I largely go off H2H results, in form teams, worst defences etc.

Brackets is a great idea but would be a massive ballache on writing them out in a slip, not aware of any online sites where you can do this? ie (Team 1 and Team 2) + (Team 3 and Team 4) etc etc.

Was looking at straight perms, but to see decent returns it could get pretty pricey.

I figure 14 teams, x1 £5 Acca + perm 4 folds (1001 bets @5p = £50), would rather do 20 teams of 10 brackets and perm from them.

Will let you know if i figure anything out.

[kinboshi]

Standard call for me, you just need to run better.

Not sure on this!  As the blinds will go past me and i still have 30k left and there are some stacks that i could be shoving into that make it a tough call for them and winning the blinds only at this stage once per orbit can lock up a seat. Maybe 9's is the bottom of the range  less is an easy fold IDK 

He's shoving range is ATC? I know it's horrible calling and then hoping you hold, but in that position you might be waiting a long time to get the opportunity to be first in to a pot, and you know you're way ahead of his range.

I think it's a standard call here, but waiting to be told I'm wrong, again.

[SuuPRlim]

I genuinely cannot keep up with this diary. I think you might be a little too mental for me.

[Lucky]

I thought it was a good call Richard, especially after some of the moves Paul had been making.

Similarly I thought my shove with AQ was right in the previous hand and unlucky to find he'd opened with AK. (Not sure why the BB called with Queen high though!).

[Marky147]

If you fancy playing in Clacton let me know and I'll tell them to put you on the list. I think you might have to join the snooker club to play but it's free anyway. I'm guessing only the £100 would be worth playing anyway for yourself on the Saturday night. I've just been looking at trains and it's a complete mission to get there from the sleepy hollows of Dorchester!!

[boldie]

Standard call for me, you just need to run better.

Not sure on this!  As the blinds will go past me and i still have 30k left and there are some stacks that i could be shoving into that make it a tough call for them and winning the blinds only at this stage once per orbit can lock up a seat. Maybe 9's is the bottom of the range  less is an easy fold IDK 

He's shoving range is ATC? I know it's horrible calling and then hoping you hold, but in that position you might be waiting a long time to get the opportunity to be first in to a pot, and you know you're way ahead of his range.

I think it's a standard call here, but waiting to be told I'm wrong, again.

You're not wrong, Eso knows you're not wrong as well..he just got knocked out and is therefore questioning his perfectly valid call.

[leethefish]

on the market for 105k its a 2/3 bed terrace with an extension.

we have a mortgage and need to pay off few debts
but selling will save us £500 a month

will be left with 25k ish but anything under the £105 will obviously reduce that

may go on holiday put some away etc

had an offer on house today 93k ....tempted but declined with counter offer 97k good move or take the money?
first time buyer no chain and we no chain so made sound better!

[Eso Kral]

on the market for 105k its a 2/3 bed terrace with an extension.

we have a mortgage and need to pay off few debts
but selling will save us £500 a month

will be left with 25k ish but anything under the £105 will obviously reduce that

may go on holiday put some away etc

had an offer on house today 93k ....tempted but declined with counter offer 97k good move or take the money?
first time buyer no chain and we no chain so made sound better!

Tell the agent to call the buyer and say that 97k is still a bit light and see if they will raise a bitbut tell them "not to lose the buyer" if they dont raise try to chip a bit off the agents fee by saying you cant quite make the figures work and see what they say. Dont give up if the agent say they cant just say you need to put some figs together and try again, they will probs chuck in a bit if it means tying up the deal.

[Eso Kral]

I thought it was a good call Richard, especially after some of the moves Paul had been making.

Similarly I thought my shove with AQ was right in the previous hand and unlucky to find he'd opened with AK. (Not sure why the BB called with Queen high though!).

If I am in Pauls spot i do the same and yeah the AQ was right   true true on the BB??

Still not sure if a call is correct so gonna post on PHA for the definitive response!!

[Eso Kral]

I genuinely cannot keep up with this diary. I think you might be a little too mental for me.

Wiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii   keep reading!!

[millidonk]

Fuck off, Shamrock vs Bohemians 1-1.... Back to the drawing board. Would of been a nice £660 sweat.

[Eso Kral]

Fuck off, Shamrock vs Bohemians 1-1.... Back to the drawing board. Would of been a nice £660 sweat.

Ul bud, i read the racing post at lunch and they tipped 0-0 in this match tonight but obv i hoped they were wrong for you!!

Horse runs tomorrow!

[kinboshi]

Sigh

Played the satellite tonight for the 300 and with 10 seats gtd i sat snug early but was pretty card dead all night and from 3/600 - 8/1600 i never got above 10 bigs and was just shipping against stacks.
Then with 20 left got moved but found the CL on my right, I didnt know who he was but saw him shove a few times then he near enough tripled through with AK v AQ v Q8 aipf and knocked out Lucky. He then open shoved the next 8 hands and when it gets to my BB he types "I Love Richard Blacklock" i knew his name was Paul but which one??

He ships 160k in the middle and i have    and 35k at 1500/3000 just about to go 2/4000 i look at the other table and there are not enough shorties to gtee a seat so i call.
IS THIS BAD??

obv Q2 off gets there on the river when the Q hits and i find out its  PAUL HO!!

So i shall be buying in Friday now and if needs be Saturday also...

I see you've posted a 'similar' hand on the PHA board

[Eso Kral]

Sigh

Played the satellite tonight for the 300 and with 10 seats gtd i sat snug early but was pretty card dead all night and from 3/600 - 8/1600 i never got above 10 bigs and was just shipping against stacks.
Then with 20 left got moved but found the CL on my right, I didnt know who he was but saw him shove a few times then he near enough tripled through with AK v AQ v Q8 aipf and knocked out Lucky. He then open shoved the next 8 hands and when it gets to my BB he types "I Love Richard Blacklock" i knew his name was Paul but which one??

He ships 160k in the middle and i have    and 35k at 1500/3000 just about to go 2/4000 i look at the other table and there are not enough shorties to gtee a seat so i call.
IS THIS BAD??

obv Q2 off gets there on the river when the Q hits and i find out its  PAUL HO!!

So i shall be buying in Friday now and if needs be Saturday also...

I see you've posted a 'similar' hand on the PHA board

ssssssssssshhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh   just wanted to see   I will have a beer bet with you as you know I am not a gambling man than its roughly 50/50 on call/fold responses!!