NFL Betting blog

[Marky147]

Could have done with another bullseye on it as it was only a free bet

Get us paiiiiiiiiiiiiiid Big Blue and outright so Yorky gets weighed in too!!

[LeKnave]

WHAT A GAME.

JASON PIERRE-PAUL YOU ARE A FKIN STAR!

[ChipRich]

incred scenes

Eli, what a man.

Jacobs, awesome

Pierre-Paul, wonderful wonderful stuff.

[redarmi]

Amazing game.  How can you not love this game?

[LeKnave]

WHAT A GAME.

JASON PIERRE-PAUL YOU ARE A FKIN STAR!

special game from Eli and Jacobs too, what heart they all have!

[Marky147]

What a fking night!!

Thank you Big Blueeeeeeeeeeeeeee I'll never doubt you again Eli and your bunch of heroes!!

[Linux]

Poor Romo, outstanding game then let down by his mug team

[the sicilian]

Ok so 8 Game Acca 1
Pittsburgh
New York Jets
New Orleans
New England
Green bay
Miami
Denver
San francisco

I have done 3 further as the odds on these games not brilliant

Acca 2
Swapped San Francisco for Baltimore

Acca 3
Swapped Miami for Carolina

Acca 4
Swapped Pittsburgh for Detroit

One final acca decision based on best odds of the picks
New Orleans
Carolina
Denver
Miami
San Francisco
New England
San Diego
New York Jets

Single Pickems

Carolina
Denver
New Orleans
Miami
San Francisco

All 1.5-1.6 except Carolina who are about 2.2

Miami & frisco let me down bad and cant believe Carolina let that lead go.. Pizzled was round watching the games with me as I loaded up on the Saints IR and was pissing himself as I screamed at the Saints defense to kill the Titans QB on the last play.....loaded up Denver & the 49's as well... thankfully Teebow came through for me for the third week running. Had the giants pre game and loaded up more IR when they were slightly behind...Eli thankfully got me out of the hole..... Big one on chelsea game tonight on the +2.5 for break even weekend.. lolz massive Sunday sweat as we swung a grand either way through the night...

[Horneris]

Landed a sweet tenfold on Jacksonville, Atlanta, Giants, Arizona, Houston, Denver, San Diego, Detroit, Patriots & Green Bay

Got an 11fold with all those and Seattle tonight.

Also landed a "touch" on a 1st touchdown 4 fold, went for Sanchez @ 50s, Laurent Robinson @ 12s, Early Douchet @ 22s & Ryan Grant @ 11s.

Also got on Ryan Taylor 2nd td in the Green Bay game @ 100s.

They were the only 4 bets I had this weekend.

[millidonk]

Landed a sweet tenfold on Jacksonville, Atlanta, Giants, Arizona, Houston, Denver, San Diego, Detroit, Patriots & Green Bay

Got an 11fold with all those and Seattle tonight.

Also landed a "touch" on a 1st touchdown 4 fold, went for Sanchez @ 50s, Laurent Robinson @ 12s, Early Douchet @ 22s & Ryan Grant @ 11s.

Also got on Ryan Taylor 2nd td in the Green Bay game @ 100s.

They were the only 4 bets I had this weekend.

Either this is a level or you are stinking rich right now.

[Marky147]

Landed a sweet tenfold on Jacksonville, Atlanta, Giants, Arizona, Houston, Denver, San Diego, Detroit, Patriots & Green Bay

Got an 11fold with all those and Seattle tonight.

Also landed a "touch" on a 1st touchdown 4 fold, went for Sanchez @ 50s, Laurent Robinson @ 12s, Early Douchet @ 22s & Ryan Grant @ 11s.

Also got on Ryan Taylor 2nd td in the Green Bay game @ 100s.

They were the only 4 bets I had this weekend.

ROFL

[X] New keyboard required

[LeKnave]

PaddyPower giiiiiving it away on Doug Baldwin tonight

10/1 first seahawk
16/1 first td

get on, get paid.

[Marky147]

PaddyPower giiiiiving it away on Doug Baldwin tonight

10/1 first seahawk
16/1 first td

get on, get paid.

With a sprinkling of -10 for a full punting experience

Be nice if Paddy Power would take bets bigger than the price of a happy meal!!

[redarmi]

Bit boring but I can't really see past Marshawn Lynch for first TD scorer.  My thinking is pretty simple.  They are probably 66% to score first and they have a pretty equal split of rushing and passing TD's this year but Lynch has scored 80% of their rushing TD's this year so his price is 0.66*.5*.80=26.4% chance of scoring first and 4/1 available.  26.4*5=EV of $132.  Where am I going wrong?

[Marky147]

Bit boring but I can't really see past Marshawn Lynch for first TD scorer.  My thinking is pretty simple.  They are probably 66% to score first and they have a pretty equal split of rushing and passing TD's this year but Lynch has scored 80% of their rushing TD's this year so his price is 0.66*.5*.80=26.4% chance of scoring first and 4/1 available.  26.4*5=EV of $132.  Where am I going wrong?

I think Jones uses a similar formula when pricing up for us lot