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Author Topic: NFL Betting blog  (Read 155480 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #855 on: December 19, 2011, 11:22:22 PM »

Another crazy NFL week.

And LOL that this is still possible......

If:
Wk 16: Jets (h) beat Giants, Eagles win @ Dallas
Wk 17: Eagles (h) beat Redskins, Giants (h) beat Dallas

Then the 8-8 Eagles would make the playoffs as NFC East Champions and No 4 seed, as they hold all the tie-breakers in the NFC East.  NB: If any one of those results goes the other way then it's mathematically impossible for them to get there.


shhhh

Eagles at Dallas is a monster

then Dallas at Giants

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« Reply #856 on: December 19, 2011, 11:56:56 PM »

Pitt +3.5 4/5.  Having a look at first TD now...anyone involved?
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action man
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« Reply #857 on: December 20, 2011, 12:10:30 AM »

thoughts behind this plz red?
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Sheriff Fatman
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« Reply #858 on: December 20, 2011, 12:16:01 AM »

Pitt +3.5 4/5.  Having a look at first TD now...anyone involved?


Involved only to the extent that a Steelers win takes SF out of the NFC seed spots and would finally let me exit my long-term sell on them at a price which reflects them having to play a wild card game.

As for 1st TD, I think Antonio Brown at 10/1 looks decent value as he's a deep threat and a fairly static Big Ben might have to throw a few bombs.  Maybe also Isaac Redman at 33/1 as a long shot.

No value in the likes of Mendenhall, Gore, Wallace, etc IMO.

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« Reply #859 on: December 20, 2011, 12:16:29 AM »

had a small double earlier on Palace and Pitts O/R. Not really a strong fancy, something to rail tho. Hopefully they're on the level with Big Ben and hes fine, unlikely tho.

only TD we've done is Antonio Brown 1st Pitts TD 11/2.
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the sicilian
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« Reply #860 on: December 20, 2011, 12:31:14 AM »

Don't like the way bens moving... His mobility is part of his game... I see him getting intercepted a few time trying to throw big..if he he gets real pressure his in trouble.. Very close... I give it to sf.. Taken -3.5 for odds.  Ben healthy would be other way round..got the under 40 points to...gonna be close
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« Reply #861 on: December 20, 2011, 01:30:18 AM »

thoughts behind this plz red?

Just a price thing really...I prefer Pitts intensity and we saw yesterday a lot of the teams that have their div's tied up struggle but it was +3 everywhere and the yanks started going -120 +3 so it was effectively an arb price when i took it given the three is worth about 30 cents normally.  Lights are out there at the moment so we might not get a game.
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« Reply #862 on: December 20, 2011, 01:30:32 AM »

marv, powers gone at stadium.
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redarmi
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« Reply #863 on: December 20, 2011, 01:44:41 AM »

Just on Big Ben, he is probably the toughest QB I have seen since the linesmen carried Byron Leftwich down the field after every play in his college Bowl game and I can't see this making 7 points difference like Sicilian thinks......maybe a point and a half although bit worried if they have given him an injection it might wear off during game if they delay for too long.
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LeedsRhodesy
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« Reply #864 on: December 20, 2011, 02:18:45 AM »



after watching pits opening drive i have now got it on SF -6.5  think they will piss it, Don't think Big Ben will last that long imo
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redarmi
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« Reply #865 on: December 20, 2011, 02:25:35 AM »



after watching pits opening drive i have now got it on SF -6.5  think they will piss it, Don't think Big Ben will last that long imo

Price??
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LeedsRhodesy
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« Reply #866 on: December 20, 2011, 02:26:54 AM »



after watching pits opening drive i have now got it on SF -6.5  think they will piss it, Don't think Big Ben will last that long imo

Price??

19/20
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LeedsRhodesy
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« Reply #867 on: December 20, 2011, 02:28:07 AM »



-3.5 evs atm
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the sicilian
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« Reply #868 on: December 20, 2011, 02:30:09 AM »



-3.5 evs atm

Loaded a bit more on -3.5
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« Reply #869 on: December 20, 2011, 02:30:34 AM »



pressssing now
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