My tennis betting diary

[Solaris]

You're placing too many bets IMO

Disagree, but fair enough. Think if I was actually at home could easily have traded out. Game of fine margins too, Djokovic had 3 bp opportunities in the fourth set and doesn't take any, whilst Rafa has none. If Djokovic takes the set (and let's face it he lost it in the closet possible fashion) I win around 25 units rather than just 8. It's just the way it goes.

Was also very frustrated I couldn't get online to get a bet on Djokovic when 4-2 down in the fifth. For anyone who watches tennis regularly they'll know that for all his improvements technically, his mental state is the best in the business and the amount of times he breaks back immediately is incredible.

Any idea on his price at 4-2 down Horneris or anyone else?

[bookiebasher]

He drifted to around 6 on betfair. Tried to get £100 matched but just missed price

[Solaris]

Adding in-play: Phau @ 19/20 (5 units) v Bemelmans 6-7 6-3 *2-3

[Solaris]

He drifted to around 6 on betfair. Tried to get £100 matched but just missed price

Would have been a nice little return!

Adding in-play: Phau @ 19/20 (5 units) v Bemelmans 6-7 6-3 *2-3 WON + 4.5 units

TOTAL PROFIT: + 156.58 units

[Solaris]

Udomchoke to win 2-0 @ 6/5 (4 units)
Brzezicki to win 2-0 @ 7/4 v Trungelliti (3 units)
Adding in-play: Ungur @ 4/1 v Odesnik (4 units) 1-6 2-2

Intend to trade out if I get an opportunity in the Ungur match.

[Solaris]

In-play: Alund @ 7/1 v RRH (3 units) 6-7

[Solaris]

TOTAL PROFIT: + 156.58 units

Udomchoke to win 2-0 @ 6/5 (4 units)
Brzezicki to win 2-0 @ 7/4 v Trungelliti (3 units) WON + 5.25 units
Adding in-play: Ungur @ 4/1 v Odesnik (4 units) 1-6 2-2 LOST - 4 units
In-play: Alund @ 7/1 v RRH (3 units) 6-7 LOST - 3 units
Adding in-play: Ginepri @ 12/5 (5 units) v Soeda 3-6 *5-5 30-15 LOST - 5 units

-6.75 atm

Adding:

Berdych to win ATP Montpellier @ 4/1 (10 units)
Rufin @ 9/5 v Pospisil (3 units)
Robert @ 2/1 v Davydenko (2 units)
Capkovic to win 2-0 @ 13/8 v Ebelthite (5 units)
Zhang @ 10/11 v Vardhan (5 units)
Zhang to win 2-0 @ 11/5 (3 units)

Did say I wouldn't edit posts with selections in, but forgot to add Berdych's price. Will not edit this post after 8am in any case so there will be no editing done after play begins for the day.

Mega fucking sigh with some of the in-plays today. Ginepri lost 7-5 in the tie-break, Alund won the second set but never really gave me a chance to trade out and Ungur lost the second set on a tight tie-break too.

[Solaris]

Adding in-play: Ginepri @ 12/5 (5 units) v Soeda 3-6 *5-5 30-15

[Solaris]

TOTAL PROFIT: + 156.58 units

Brzezicki to win 2-0 @ 7/4 v Trungelliti (3 units) WON + 5.25 units
Adding in-play: Ungur @ 4/1 v Odesnik (4 units) 1-6 2-2 LOST - 4 units
In-play: Alund @ 7/1 v RRH (3 units) 6-7 LOST - 3 units
Adding in-play: Ginepri @ 12/5 (5 units) v Soeda 3-6 *5-5 30-15 LOST - 5 units
Rufin @ 9/5 v Pospisil (3 units) WON + 5.4 units
Robert @ 2/1 v Davydenko (2 units) LOST - 2 units
Capkovic to win 2-0 @ 13/8 v Ebelthite (5 units) LOST - 5 units
Zhang @ 10/11 v Vardhan (5 units) WON + 4.55 units
Zhang to win 2-0 @ 11/5 (3 units) WON + 6.6 units

+ 2.8 units

TOTAL PROFIT: + 159.38 units

Pending:
Udomchoke to win 2-0 @ 6/5 (4 units)
Berdych to win ATP Montpellier @ 4/1 (10 units)

[Solaris]

Challenger Tour:

Sugita to win 2-0 @ evens (5 units)
Wang @ evens v Dustov (3 units)
Jones @ 8/11 v Millman (5 units)
Jones @ 15/8 to win 2-0 (3 units)
Feeney @ 11/10 (2 units)

Will add the ATP stuff later.

[Solaris]

Baghdatis to win ATP Zagreb @ 7/2 (5 units)

ATP matches tomorrow:

Ramos @ 23/10 v Mahut (2 units)
Kunitsyn @ 10/3 v Lopez
Mannarino to win 2-0 @ 11/10 (2 units)
Rochus @ 9/5 v Kohlschreiber (2 units)
Mathieu @ 9/5 v Stebe (3 units)
Gil @ 10/11 v Lorenzi (2 units)
Zeballos @ 5/6 v Ungur (3 units)

[Solaris]

Adding in-play: Giraldo @ 5/2 v Mayer (10 units) 6-7 0-0

[Solaris]

About to get raped in this Giraldo match.

Going to add a few more units and hope Giraldo turns it around so I can trade out. Not looking great, so we'll see.

Giraldo @ 7/1 (3 units) 6-7 *0-3

[Solaris]

Sigh. This is painful viewing. Had intended to back Giraldo to get out asap.

Adding: 5 units @ 10/3 on Giraldo total games under 6.5 LOST - 5 units
Adding in-play: Giraldo @ 5/2 v Mayer (10 units) 6-7 0-0 LOST - 10 units
Giraldo @ 7/1 (3 units) 6-7 *0-3 LOST - 3 units

Would be ridic to lose 18 units on this match. Let's hope Mayer breaks again...

Mayer has a match point but obviously doesn't convert! Super tilting. If he converts I'm a small winner. Still, was always going to be the case I'd get spanked in one or two in-play bets. Disappointing but have to take it on the chin.

TOTAL PROFIT: + 141.38 units

[Solaris]

Adding:

Sugita to win 2-0 @ evens (10 units)
In-play: Mitchell @ 4/1 (4 units) 4-6 2-2

Got 15 units on the Sugita match. Had the (mis)fortune of watching JP Smith play in the Aussie Open qualifiers and he was dreadful. One of the lowest quality matches I've ever watched. Be absolutely amazed if Sugita can't pull through in straight sets.

Would add I'm not on tilt either, just think Sugita offers fantastic value the more and more I look at the stats and whatnot.