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Author Topic: My tennis betting diary  (Read 67785 times)
Solaris
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« Reply #450 on: January 28, 2012, 11:04:39 PM »

TOTAL PROFIT: + 149.04 units

ACES handicap Nadal + 3.5 @ evens (5 units)
Djokovic - 3.5 games @ evens (5 units)
Over 40.5 games @ 18/19 (5 units)

Adding in-play: Sugita to win 2-0 @ 3/1 (5 units) - 6-2 0-2* 15-15
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Solaris
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« Reply #451 on: January 29, 2012, 12:47:54 AM »

Hate getting the feeling of spamming your own thread...

Going to throw in a few extra bets as well as some normal stuff. The bets in this post include the bets previously made in other posts.

Exact Sets: Djokovic to WWLW @ 11/1 (2 units)
Djokovic to win @ 4/6 (5 units)
ACES handicap Nadal + 3.5 @ evens (5 units)
Djokovic - 3.5 games @ evens (5 units)
Over 40.5 games @ 18/19 (5 units)
Djokovic to win the first set @ 4/5 (5 units)
Total Djokovic games over 20.5 @ 9/10 (5 units)

Adding in-play: Sugita to win 2-0 @ 3/1 (5 units) - 6-2 0-2* 15-15 LOST - 5 units

Sugita served for the match at 5-4, then proceeded to lose 8 of the next 10 games. Sigh.

TOTAL PROFIT: + 144.04 units

I'm off to bed. GL to all having a punt.

C'mon Novak!

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Solaris
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« Reply #452 on: January 29, 2012, 10:08:38 AM »

Exact Sets: Djokovic to WWLW @ 11/1 (2 units) LOST - 2 units
Djokovic to win @ 4/6 (5 units)
ACES handicap Nadal + 3.5 @ evens (5 units)
Djokovic - 3.5 games @ evens (5 units)
Over 40.5 games @ 18/19 (5 units)
Djokovic to win the first set @ 4/5 (5 units)
Total Djokovic games over 20.5 @ 9/10 (5 units)

- 2 units

TOTAL PROFIT: + 144.04 units

Adding in-play: Djokovic @ 6/4 5 units 5-7 down

Firmly believe this match is still in Djokovic's hands. It's entirely dependent on his fitness.
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Solaris
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« Reply #453 on: January 29, 2012, 11:26:06 AM »

Currently: 5-7 6-4 1-1

Under 44.5 games (10 units)
Djokovic to win 3-1 in sets @ 6/4 (5 units)

Nadal getting absolute no free points on his serve.
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redarmi
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« Reply #454 on: January 29, 2012, 11:47:44 AM »

Solaris - you currently have by my reckoning 47 units units in play in this individual match.  You bankroll is, I believe, 294 units.  Most of the bets either involve Djokovic winning in some form or are closely correlated to that.  Does that mean that you think Djokovic is one of the best bets you have ever seen?
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Solaris
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« Reply #455 on: January 29, 2012, 11:51:32 AM »

Solaris - you currently have by my reckoning 47 units units in play in this individual match.  You bankroll is, I believe, 294 units.  Most of the bets either involve Djokovic winning in some form or are closely correlated to that.  Does that mean that you think Djokovic is one of the best bets you have ever seen?

Absolutely. I cannot see him losing this at all. No way in hell. Nadal simply cannot get a free point off his serve. The way I like to word it is that the match is on Djokovic's racquet. His winners or errors will decide this. Nadal has no real weapons to hurt him. Has the forehand down the line when he injects some pace, but nothing off the backhand wing at all. Djokovic moves as well as Nadal so Rafa can't manoeuvre him around the court and manipulate him. Simply doesn't work.

Have lost the exact sets bet and the first set winner bet and would expect to lose the overs too.

Edit: Worth noting I'm watching this in-play too, so I am gauging what I see and reacting accordingly. If Nadal pulls this off it would arguably be the greatest win ever and I truly mean that.
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Horneris
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« Reply #456 on: January 29, 2012, 01:40:20 PM »

Gotta root for Rafa here I'm afraid. Lost 6 in a row to this guy and should have lost this one already but his fight is bordering on madness.
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kinboshi
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« Reply #457 on: January 29, 2012, 01:45:32 PM »

Echoes of the Wimbledon final against Federer.
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George2Loose
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« Reply #458 on: January 29, 2012, 01:54:08 PM »

What a final.
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« Reply #459 on: January 29, 2012, 01:57:03 PM »

Rafa is just all heart.
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Horneris
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« Reply #460 on: January 29, 2012, 02:26:15 PM »

Crazy tennis from Djokovic.
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George2Loose
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« Reply #461 on: January 29, 2012, 02:38:47 PM »

Sick
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bobby1
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« Reply #462 on: January 29, 2012, 02:40:00 PM »

I don't watch must tennis but that was brill.
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Solaris
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« Reply #463 on: January 29, 2012, 03:01:39 PM »

The downsides of not wishing to let friends down bit me in the arse unfortunately. Left it as late as humanly possible but had to run out to play football and didn't really get the chance to trade out. Tried to do it on my phone whilst out, but no luck unfortunately. Going to calculate it but took a bit of a hit but so be it. My mistake in being unable to sort out the trading properly but that's life. Not very professional, but it's my money so that's OK!

That said, absolutely ecstatic Djokovic won. Love the guy and think he's an absolutely incredible champion and a fantastic tennis player.

Exact Sets: Djokovic to WWLW @ 11/1 (2 units) LOST - 2 units
Djokovic to win @ 4/6 (5 units) WON + 3.3 units
ACES handicap Nadal + 3.5 @ evens (5 units) WON + 5 units
Djokovic - 3.5 games @ evens (5 units) WON + 5 units
Over 40.5 games @ 18/19 (5 units) WON + 4.74 units
Djokovic to win the first set @ 4/5 (5 units) LOST - 5 units
Total Djokovic games over 20.5 @ 9/10 (5 units) WON + 4.5 units
Under 44.5 games (10 units) LOST - 10 units
Djokovic to win 3-1 in sets @ 6/4 (5 units) LOST - 5 units
Adding in-play: Djokovic @ 6/4 5 units 5-7 down WON + 7.5 units

Total P+L for today + 8.04

TOTAL PROFIT: + 152.08 units

Edit: Forgot to add the in-play win bet.
« Last Edit: January 29, 2012, 03:03:21 PM by Solaris » Logged
AlrightJack
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« Reply #464 on: January 29, 2012, 03:14:28 PM »

You're placing too many bets IMO
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