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Author Topic: My tennis betting diary  (Read 85742 times)
MereNovice
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« Reply #165 on: January 16, 2012, 11:27:04 PM »

Rosol @ 9/4 v Petzschner
Chela @ 11/13 v Russell
Bachinger @ 10/11 v Sweeting
Mello @ 5/6 v Bautista-Agut (2 units)
Mello to win 3-0 @ 4/1
Bellucci @ 11/10 v Sela (3 units)
Bellucci to win 3-0 @ 11/2
Troicki - 4.5 @ 9/10 (2 units)
Gasquet - 5.5 @ evens
Gajdosova @ 6/5 v Kirilenko (2 units)
Cirstea @ 18/5 v Stosur
Riske @ evens v U Radwanska (3 units)
Riske to win 2-0 @ 23/10
Zakopalova @ 3/1 v Pavlyuchenkova

1 unit on a Bellucci 3-0, Riske 2-0 double.

Just for the sake of interest; the four I'd pick tonight are: Bellucci, Gajdosova, Riske, Stephens.

Will no doubt add more later.

Some aggressive choices with the women there - good luck.

I've gone for Scheepers over Kuznetsova as my outside bet. If Kuznetsova struggled with the heat in Sydney she's definitely going to struggle in Melbourne. On the other hand, she's fourth match on so it should have cooled a bit by then.
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« Reply #166 on: January 16, 2012, 11:41:09 PM »

5/6 yesterday so was looking really good until I somehow managed to lose half my profits trading on the Cornet Niculescu game. Poor play by me, I hadn't slept for about 30 hours, should have just gone to bed.

Trappier card tonight, stale prices everywhere, can't see anything in the Womens.

Backing 4 outsiders pre-match:

Ito > Starace @ 2.32
Kukushkin > GGL @ 2.66
Haase > Roddick @ 4.1
Stebe > Hewitt @ 7/2

Going to trade on Stebe later and think I will have a punt on the Ito match. Depends on what I'm watching etc. As a bet to trade Kukushkin offers a little value, but not much, imo.

Don't fancy Haase at all.

Bellucci is massively overpriced. Probably my NAP of the day if can hold his mental state together.

Can understand how you struggled a bit on the Cornet match. Was fucking ridiculous to say the least. Also possibly one of the worse matches I've seen in years.

@MereNovice: To which picks do you refer too sir?

Scheepers not a bad shout. Will keep my eye out for that.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #167 on: January 16, 2012, 11:49:20 PM »

Cirstea and Zakopalova.
Obviously Pavlyuchenkova and Stosur aren't setting the world alight at the moment but both will be good enough, I think.
It will be interesting to see.
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« Reply #168 on: January 16, 2012, 11:50:51 PM »

Cirstea and Zakopalova.
Obviously Pavlyuchenkova and Stosur aren't setting the world alight at the moment but both will be good enough, I think.
It will be interesting to see.

Intend to take on Stosur at every single opportunity. Pav's second serve has completely disintegrated so she's worth opposing too.

I don't expect either to win, but at their current odds both Stosur and Pav have to be opposed.
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Solaris
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« Reply #169 on: January 17, 2012, 12:44:14 AM »

Fuck me, I can only hope Rosol intends on retiring.

0-6 0-3*

 Great pick
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MereNovice
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« Reply #170 on: January 17, 2012, 12:48:53 AM »

Fuck me, I can only hope Rosol intends on retiring.

0-6 0-3*

 Great pick

On the other hand, Zakopalova is hanging in well against Pavlyuchenkova and Gajdosova hasn't thrown the toys out of the pram despite going a break down early.
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« Reply #171 on: January 17, 2012, 12:51:08 AM »

Fuck me, I can only hope Rosol intends on retiring.

0-6 0-3*

 Great pick

On the other hand, Zakopalova is hanging in well against Pavlyuchenkova and Gajdosova hasn't thrown the toys out of the pram despite going a break down early.

Gajd is so unbelievably brain dead though. She tries to hit winners from ridiculous angles. Getting very frustrated watching her.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #172 on: January 17, 2012, 12:53:18 AM »

Fuck me, I can only hope Rosol intends on retiring.

0-6 0-3*

 Great pick

On the other hand, Zakopalova is hanging in well against Pavlyuchenkova and Gajdosova hasn't thrown the toys out of the pram despite going a break down early.

Gajd is so unbelievably brain dead though. She tries to hit winners from ridiculous angles. Getting very frustrated watching her.

I know exactly what you mean. She drives me potty sometimes.
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« Reply #173 on: January 17, 2012, 01:04:41 AM »

Fuck me, I can only hope Rosol intends on retiring.

0-6 0-3*

 Great pick

On the other hand, Zakopalova is hanging in well against Pavlyuchenkova and Gajdosova hasn't thrown the toys out of the pram despite going a break down early.

Gajd is so unbelievably brain dead though. She tries to hit winners from ridiculous angles. Getting very frustrated watching her.

I know exactly what you mean. She drives me potty sometimes.

Arguably the worst set of tennis I've ever seen tactics wise. Appalling.

4-5*15-30 on Kiri's second serve she tries and smashes a winner off the serve. Why? Despite Kiri choking twice on set point with double faults, gifting Gajd a chance back into the set she proceeds to blow it trying to smash winners left, right and center.

Awful.
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Solaris
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« Reply #174 on: January 17, 2012, 01:50:58 AM »

Adding in-play: Russell @ 11/10 3-2 15-0 (5 units) LOST  - 5 units
Bachinger @ 10/11 v Sweeting LOST - 1 unit
Rosol @ 9/4 v Petzschner LOST - 1 unit
Gajdosova @ 6/5 v Kirilenko (2 units) LOST - 2 units
Zakopalova @ 3/1 v Pavlyuchenkova LOST  - 1 unit
Riske to win 2-0 @ 23/10 LOST  - 1 unit
1 unit on a Bellucci 3-0, Riske 2-0 double LOST  - 1 unit
Riske @ evens v U Radwanska (3 units)  LOST  - 3 units
Adding in-play: Chela to win 3-0 at 4/6 (10 units) WON  + 6.6 units
Chela @ 11/13 v Russell WON  0.84 unit
Gasquet - 5.5 @ evens WON  + 1 unit
Ito @ 5/4 v Starace (2 units) WON  + 2.5 units
Cirstea @ 18/5 v Stosur WON  + 3.6 units
Mello @ 5/6 v Bautista-Agut WON  + 1.66 units
Mello to win 3-0 @ 4/1 WON  + 4 units
Bellucci to win 3-0 @ 11/2 WON  + 5.5 units
Bellucci @ 11/10 v Sela (3 units) WON  + 3.3 units

Troicki - 4.5 @ 9/10 (2 units)

Just for the sake of interest; the four I'd pick tonight are: Bellucci, Gajdosova, Riske, Stephens.

+ 14 units atm.

In-play: Roger-Vasselin @ 6/4 *1-0 40-15 (3 units) VOID
« Last Edit: January 17, 2012, 07:55:15 AM by Solaris » Logged
MereNovice
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« Reply #175 on: January 17, 2012, 01:52:41 AM »

At least you "forgot" to tip against Vania King. Smiley
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« Reply #176 on: January 17, 2012, 01:54:37 AM »

At least you "forgot" to tip against Vania King. Smiley

Couldn't on the basis it was Bondarenko's first match back from injury! Don't worry, I'll be opposing her in the next round.

Zakopalova had set-points in that match too. Super frustrating because if she takes it I trade out for profit. Hey ho.
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« Reply #177 on: January 17, 2012, 01:59:52 AM »

Adding:

Ito @ 5/4 v Starace (2 units)
In-play: Roger-Vasselin @ 6/4 *1-0 40-15 (3 units)
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« Reply #178 on: January 17, 2012, 02:40:28 AM »

Adding in-play: Russell @ 11/10 3-2 15-0 (5 units)

Chela looks massively disinterested.
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MereNovice
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« Reply #179 on: January 17, 2012, 03:08:47 AM »

Adding in-play: Russell @ 11/10 3-2 15-0 (5 units)

Chela looks massively disinterested.

Zvonareva struggling again.
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