We are in the Grand Prix, day 1a at dtd on a juicy table with no competant players.. We have even gotten prop bets going with 3 of the table (in a tournament yes) and have been 'getting the table going', while playing very few hands and winning them all, up to around 18k.
Background - we have seen villan 1 in this hand play AQ oop as follows: donk AQx call raise, donk x call raise, check x.
Also played AK oop cautious on Axx, however didn't seem to be able to click the fold button when the other in the hand. He seems bad but relatively 'solid' with startings hands and obv never folding top pair.
I am certain he is the kind to call it off bad but rarely raise bluff.. obv a common 'type' in these and other <£1k comps.
So, our hand..
We have
in the SB and there is a raise from MP2, called by villain 1 in hijack and villain 2 on btn.
Flop
We check, OR checks, Villain 1 bets 200, Villain 2 raises to 900, we call. Then Villain 1 makes it 2200.... Hmmm - he got an A = wiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii! (with the intention of check shoving ANY non club turn - wana rep a draw innit, n these boys won't fold any A if they have one).
(hmmm thats a good flop
)
Turn
We check with the hate of 'how can we get all our moneys in now' he probably aint going to stack off without a big club but lets check to see if we can get him to bet his Ax/ clubs/ any A with any club..
He bets 1200 (yes 1200 into like 5.5k), we believe this to be him trying to 'get us to open our flush hands by raising' while he still gets value from worse Ax's or maybe even induce a raise from us if he has a flush. We call. He's defo level 1 thinking!
River
We decide that the only value we're getting here is from Ax or clubs and that we've played this hand exactly like a weak A.. so a check, small raise here will give him the opportunity to get to showdown cheap-ish without looking too silly if we have better. And we win a 13k pot with like 9k behind and continue our good start.
We check and he bets 1600.. we make it 5850 and he says 'Oh is that a raise....... I'm all in'.
We snap before even thinking... 38k or so in the middle...
I think that because he bet raises the flop he should never have
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which are the only hands that actually beat us.
However from the previous hands we've seen him play AK/ AQ.. he obviously isn't raising here with them. Which only leaves him with
and the rest of the 'nut flushes' or
type 'value' hands (in this spot I personally think he is NEVER bluffing), Obv we beat all of those..
There are a couple of other houses he can have..
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... and we beat all those..
BUT IS HE EVER RAISING THEM ON THE FLOP??? however he did raise pretty small on the flop really. 900 to 2200 vs two opponents??
I realise I'm asking whether we are going to ever consider folding a full house on this river in a £60 comp with lots of ability to re-entry and so on.. but what I guess im asking is that even though there are only 6 hands in the entire world that could beat us if he is allowed to pick any hand he wants,
does he EVER raise here without them?
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