Golf Betting 2012

[Karabiner]

Manassero @ 230.0

might be a bit long for him though.

I would expect him to be hitting the ball a bit further this season. He certainly added some length last year.

[LeKnave]

Manassero @ 230.0

might be a bit long for him though.

I would expect him to be hitting the ball a bit further this season. He certainly added some length last year.

joyous news, come on manny.

[bobby1]

The weather forecast in the Euro event looks to favour the early starters 2morrow as the winds will be 5mph in the morning but rising to 20 mph in the afternoon, that isn't that unusual in the Middle Eastern events. The bonus for these early starters in the first round tho is that the winds look pretty consistent throughout the second round.

I probably wouldn't be wanting to back a late starter to beat an early starter in a match bet given that forecast


In the he US event the weather looks to be spot on, so shouldn't be a huge bias over the two courses they are using weather wise, which there was last week. They are playing on two courses tho again this week with the North course being around 4 shots easier than the South course.

The main difference between this week and the previous three events is after 3 events on Bermuda grass greens we are on poa anna grass for the next three weeks, This strain is very difficult to read, as there is little or no grain as against bermuda.

I would say poa anna greens are the ones which are hardest to come to grips with, and local players, California based have a big advantage. So might make sense to look at the back form of players in this event than recent form on different grass, as year after year players that do/don't play well on this grass remain the same.

Poa anna is also used at Pebble, the Northern Trust Open and the Frys.com open so form at those events will be relevant too.

[Karabiner]

Nice preview Phil.

It's convinced me to give your namesake Mickelson a chance to redeem himself this week, well that and the 16/1.

[tikay]

Agree, nice analysis, Phil, this grass & that grass, wind speed, tee-times, the lot.

It might all be tosh, but it impressed me.

The temptation to resume punting, after a decade or so of abstinence, with, in particular, golf in mind, is temporarily held at bay, as I am working asll weekend in Luton, so no TV for me - & the fun of the punting would be almost exclusively in the watching.

I'm also being subtly nagged by a very good friend, not to be so daft as to ever bet again.

For now, he holds sway. Next week, who knows?

[The Camel]

Agree, nice analysis, Phil, this grass & that grass, wind speed, tee-times, the lot.

It might all be tosh, but it impressed me.

The temptation to resume punting, after a decade or so of abstinence, with, in particular, golf in mind, is temporarily held at bay, as I am working asll weekend in Luton, so no TV for me - & the fun of the punting would be almost exclusively in the watching.

I'm also being subtly nagged by a very good friend, not to be so daft as to ever bet again.

For now, he holds sway. Next week, who knows?

How about this?

We start a thread, called Tikay's Tips and the regular contributors on here are allowed to put a maxmum of one value bet a week on there and you are only allowed to bet on those..

Karabiner and Phil on golf

Horneris on football

Redarmi on horse racing

Solaris on tennis

Dubai on just about anything

I almost guarantee you'll have won by the end of the year.

You start with a bank of say, £1000 and no-one is allowed to suggest a bet of more than 5% of your roll.

What do you think?

[The Camel]

And you take us all out for dinner at the end of the year with the profits!

[bobby1]

Agree, nice analysis, Phil, this grass & that grass, wind speed, tee-times, the lot.

It might all be tosh, but it impressed me.

The temptation to resume punting, after a decade or so of abstinence, with, in particular, golf in mind, is temporarily held at bay, as I am working asll weekend in Luton, so no TV for me - & the fun of the punting would be almost exclusively in the watching.

I'm also being subtly nagged by a very good friend, not to be so daft as to ever bet again.

For now, he holds sway. Next week, who knows?

lol, grass and wind, i sound  like a farmer.

I've laid a few in the Euro golf, mainly players teeing off in the afternoon. Of the big 5 in the market, Mcilroy, Woods and Donald all play in the same group in the morning. Kaymer and Westwood are out with Garcia in the afternoon. It night just make the difference.

You will like this Tony, Martin Kaymer's last 4 tourneys around this track he has won 3 times and was 2nd in the other event.

In the US most of the main contenders love the grass( which is probably why they are here) and are priced accordingly

A few darts have been thrown at
 
D A Points, 12th and 6th in two events this season but his last 4 events on poa anna 5th,1st MC, 9th

Bryce Molder, his form here is poor, two MC and a disq but his last 8 events on PA grass have 4 finishes of 1st,6th,10th and 32nd amongst them. It could be that the course is just too long for him but at 160 ish I don't mind paying to find out.

Spencer Levins last 4 events on PA have produced finishes of 20th,4th,12th and 7th, he doesn't really look good in a finish but if we can get him in contention then we can play with it.

Jimmy Walkers last 3 PA events were 29,9,4

Marc Leishman's last 7 events on PA were 9th,21st mc,36th 2nd,15th mc but the two best results were at this course.

A guy that Leknave backed last week too Tom Gillis, his PA  results are 17th,3rd,MC,27th,8th, so had to add him in at around 470+ on BF

Backed them small and will just play the event as a whole in running each day


gl with big Phil Ralph,he must kinow every blade of grass around here.

[Karabiner]

I've gone for a few this week in Abu Dhabi:

Karlsson @ 60, Aiken @ 150, Manassero @ 240, Ollie Fisher @ 480 and one other longshot as yet unmatched.

Smallish stakes approximately £100 invested in total.

[bobby1]

I've gone for a few this week in Abu Dhabi:

Karlsson @ 60, Aiken @ 150, Manassero @ 240, Ollie Fisher @ 480 and one other longshot as yet unmatched.

Smallish stakes approximately £100 invested in total.

gl mate

[ChipRich]

thrown darts at:

US:

Bradley @ 40
D.A Points @ 48
Garrigus @ 80
Rollins @ 75

Abu Dhabi:

Quiros @ 34
Hanson @ 48
Lawrie @ 210
Manassero @ 230

And 1 other in each event that not matched on yet, Tom 'Gillis' Gillis at a big price and Ricardo Gonzalez in the Abu Dhabi.

Am glad you also like Points and Gillis Bobby!

[T_Mar]

Backed Ricccccckie Fowler in  US @ 33/1  (encouraged by Bobbys poa grass comments as he has form both here and in frys)

F Mol and Robert Karllson @ 50/1 in Abu Dhabi

gla

[bobby1]

good luck us, sounds like we need to set up the Tom Gillis fan club

[ChipRich]

good luck us, sounds like we need to set up the Tom Gillis fan club

already is 1 i think

Hes been my Stars avatar for the last year.

[Karabiner]

Best of luck to you too Phil and everyone else for that matter as long as they're not in a playoff with one of mine.

I'm looking to trade in-running too, this is merely a starting-point.

You can't beat betting on golf if you get a bit of a run at it.