Golf Betting 2012

[bobby1]

Looks like no studying required. Each way cross Atlantic double on the good things

One of the subscription tipping lines has put this up.

[bobby1]

Every now and then I get stumped by a comp as a lot of the players I have on my course/current form list also end up on my to lay list simply because of the price.

This week could have the mother of all those with Bryce Molder, who is in great form and has been top ten here the last two years.

However, two weeks ago at Torrey, a course he doesn't have much form on but on the same poa anna greens I backed him at 160. That week Nick Watney was a solid favourite on the off at 18 on BF. Molder played well and ran 13th. Watney played well for two rounds , then came down with flu( which I haven't seen mentioned in any if this weeks previews), he faded away over the weekend and then withdrew from last weeks event to get over it.

This week on a course that Molder has finished 6th and 10th on the last two years he is 34.0 and Watney is 26. That is a 134 point difference between their prices two weeks ago and this week.When you delve into that Molder course form he actually blew two really good chances to win, a 9 on the 14th two years ago being a pretty spectacular blow up. Just to make it even more ridic, Tiger is in the field this week too.

On the same point D A Points was a 45.0 chance two weeks ago, he finished in front of Molder then and actually won this event last year , yet this week he is also a 45.0 chance. His last 5 finishes on poa anna were 5th, first( in this last year) MC 9th and 8th.

Molder has all the form indicators, both on the course and current yet his price is woeful. He also features in almost every subscription tipping line/newspaper column tips for this week too. I get the feeling most of these would have tipped him if he had been 100 or 80 or 25, simply seems to have been picked because of his course form, only the Sporting Life guy mentions his claims but is put off by the price. Molder can deffo win but at that price I have to have him on the lay list.

Others in the same boat with great course form but miles shorter than they usually are(and also tipped up in places) Perez, Mallinger and Trahan. Two weeks ago I was on Levin at 100, last week he fell apart and blew a 7 shot lead at one stage, this week with Tiger in the field he is 44.0. Nothing he did when falling apart last week would make me bet him at 44 this week but his course form is also very good.


So for bets I have ignored the overbet course form selections and taken.

Watney, has ok form on the course and is around the same price as players he is better than this week.

Zach Johnson, Doesnt have much form here, and in fact hasn't had it on his schedule the last few years. As a very religious and clean living guy he might just hate the jolly up atmosphere of the Pro am but he is in nice form, and the one thing he has going for him this week is some of the par fives on the course rotation are three shot holes. This means he is not at the disadvantage he is most weeks when the big hitters can get to all the par 5's and he cannot.

D A Points, loves the greens, loves the course, in good form and loads of PMA with the whole event. Will have Bill Murray by his side to make it fun and laid back which he said helped a lot last year.

Sean Ohair. Two top twelve finishes here, changed his swing last season so most of that form can be written off but started the season nicely and has now built a very laid back fun reputation so should enjoy the craic.

Thrown the last dart at Jimmy Walker, who was out in the last group on day 4 last year but shot 75, he has three top ten finishes in his last 4 events on poa anna too.

Tiger is obv the man to beat and some of the next few in the market have some question marks against them at the moment. I just cant bring myself to bet at 11/2 ish. I thought Jay Townsend's description of his performance on the Euro tour two weeks ago was spot on. He called his performance ' Tiger lite' as it was nice but lacked the shots. That was spot on as he did simply just hit a fade on almost every hole off the tee and then did the same to a lot of greens.

I'm going to concentrate in running on the Euro, the course  got tougher over the last two rounds last year as the course gets very firm  in the hot weather. Rory traded at under 11/8 last year but put up 74 and 75 in the last two rounds, he is by far the most solid selection but at 4/1 I would rather leave him and try to lay a few that I don't think are the right price in running.

good luck us

[FUN4FRASER]

You write really well Phil with some pretty astute observations not only on the golf but other sports in general .

I only wish we had discussed things in greater depth when we played together in The William Hill Football Team back in The mid 90s , as we may have formulated some good punting strategy prior to The Internet Boom   

[bobby1]

You write really well Phil with some pretty astute observations not only on the golf but other sports in general .

I only wish we had discussed things in greater depth when we played together in The William Hill Football Team back in The mid 90s , as we may have formulated some good punting strategy prior to The Internet Boom    

Yes we could have had some coups up our sleeves there mate. The only problem is you were always on the pitch and I was always holding the oranges and hoping to get ten minutes at the end. 

[Karabiner]

I've had a couple of stabs/darts at the euro-event which look decent enough value to me:

Manassero @70, and FMolinari @55, both in the BF win market.

Good luck everyone.

PS

Absolutely loving the pre-tourney course reports that Bobby1 is penning, quality stuff.

[bobby1]

I've had a couple of stabs/darts at the euro-event which look decent enough value to me:

Manassero @70, and FMolinari @55, both in the BF win market.

Good luck everyone.

PS

Absolutely loving the pre-tourney course reports that Bobby1 is penning, quality stuff.

tx mate, good luck with your guys.

[Dubai]

Looks like no studying required. Each way cross Atlantic double on the good things

One of the subscription tipping lines has put this up.

Yeah i actually backed it- quite funny seeing what i was limited too. Skybet allowed me £22ew double after being a standout price on Tiger@ 11-2, so therefore CHOOSING to take him on, but not actually laying it. Hilarious really. If they go a generic 5-1 and dont lay then its different, but taking him on and not laying is just lol

[FUN4FRASER]

You write really well Phil with some pretty astute observations not only on the golf but other sports in general .

I only wish we had discussed things in greater depth when we played together in The William Hill Football Team back in The mid 90s , as we may have formulated some good punting strategy prior to The Internet Boom    

Yes we could have had some coups up our sleeves there mate. The only problem is you were always on the pitch and I was always holding the oranges and hoping to get ten minutes at the end. 

You should of been on the pitch more  as You had a "cultured " left foot  I recall   

Digressing...Im going to be punting even more within the next couple of months and do have some opinions on golfers ( I rate Harrison Frazar very highly ) on certain courses so i will be seeking your opinion mate

[bobby1]

Looks like no studying required. Each way cross Atlantic double on the good things

One of the subscription tipping lines has put this up.

Yeah i actually backed it- quite funny seeing what i was limited too. Skybet allowed me £22ew double after being a standout price on Tiger@ 11-2, so therefore CHOOSING to take him on, but not actually laying it. Hilarious really. If they go a generic 5-1 and dont lay then its different, but taking him on and not laying is just lol

I hope you got what you wanted somewhere else mate

[bobby1]

You write really well Phil with some pretty astute observations not only on the golf but other sports in general .

I only wish we had discussed things in greater depth when we played together in The William Hill Football Team back in The mid 90s , as we may have formulated some good punting strategy prior to The Internet Boom    

Yes we could have had some coups up our sleeves there mate. The only problem is you were always on the pitch and I was always holding the oranges and hoping to get ten minutes at the end. 

You should of been on the pitch more  as You had a "cultured " left foot  I recall   

Digressing...Im going to be punting even more within the next couple of months and do have some opinions on golfers ( I rate Harrison Frazar very highly ) on certain courses so i will be seeking your opinion mate

I think fitness was the main issue ;o)

Yes no probs mate

[T_Mar]

Couple of small interests in Dubai for me,

Richard Green @ 150 - was so pleased when I got matched on Monday given he was like 80/1 with books only to see him available at 200 since, sigh - been close to spite going in again, but managed to hold off! Got some decent course form down the years, and played solid enough in Quatar last week

Seung Yoh Noh @ 90 -  Little bit erratic but hits it a mile, possible comparison to Quiros?! Can definately contend on a going week so thrown a dart as they say!

Backed Watney in US @ 25/1 for no other reason than I haven't had time to look properly but bobby thinks he's value

GLGL

[Karabiner]

Couldn't resist a further dabble on Danny Willett a player I really like @220 in Dubai.

[Horneris]

You love Danny Willett

[ChipRich]

Didnt post picks up last week, was no good anyway.

Disappointed i was on Lawrie the week before @210s but didnt follow up a week later at 50s. Wd to the guys that did have him though.

Then had Crane in US @ 70.0 make a run at it on the Sunday when i was out for the Superbowl and checking the scores on my phone. Wasnt too fun when BH was loving showing me his phone & prices when Stanley went like 1.02. But a decent effort from Crane finishing a shot behind. Shame i wasnt on e/w though.

No huge fancies this week, especially European Tour so taken a few shots for something to rail on:

US:

Watney
Levin
D A Points
Ricky Barnes

Europe:

Kingston
Olesen
The Hoover


gl all

[Karabiner]

You love Danny Willett

Very talented, very long hitter, a little bit hyper but will deffo come good eventually imo.

I've gone with Vijay in The US this week @95, he's got plenty of course form but just needs a hot week with the putter.