Golf Betting 2012

[Nico29]

Weather forecast in the Madeira Open is for wind and more wind, as soon as I saw the forecast I wanted to be on two really good wind players in Forsyth and the wind king himself Gary Orr. Forsyth was fav and looked about right so I took Orr to small stakes.

One player that did catch my eye lower down was Stephen Dodd who is also a really good wind player, his last 2 wins on the main tour were in Ireland and both weeks it blew. He is a big sturdy guy too which seems to help a little when it is windy.

He is getting on a bit now and has been known to fly to comps on the morning of the events if he has an afternoon tee time so might just be playing his time down to the Senior tour but at 100/1 in this field in conditions he loves I had a bit. His best finish on tour last year was again in tough conditions when he ran 9th behind Garcia in a decent event late last season.

Threw a total dart at Mikael Lundberg who strangely enough ( I think) has won three different events on the same course in Russia, he isnt in any kind of form at the moment but almost nicked a comp on the main tour at the end of last season in the Czech Open, had a top ten on the Challenge tour last month and at his best is ok in the context of this field. Couldnt resist at over 200/1 on BF.

Nice looking dart, joint 3rd and down to 16s now. Hope you had a stab at a place too mate. Tho obv gonna win anyways.

[bobby1]

Hi Nico,

Sadly (If you see what I mean) I am on win only at an average of 220 odd. Was looking like being a tight leaderboard until Del Moral birdied the last three holes to kick on a little. Gary Orr is in the top 12 at the mo too so might get half a sweat from either if the leader stumbles. It's a pity there is no TV coverage.

I think Ralph is a Del Moral fan so I hope he has had a little.

[Karabiner]

I was on Del Moral last week in Seville @ 400+ but didn't play in the Madeira event.

Punting on golf can bite you in the arse sometimes.

[Nico29]

Hi Nico,

Sadly (If you see what I mean) I am on win only at an average of 220 odd. Was looking like being a tight leaderboard until Del Moral birdied the last three holes to kick on a little. Gary Orr is in the top 12 at the mo too so might get half a sweat from either if the leader stumbles. It's a pity there is no TV coverage.

I think Ralph is a Del Moral fan so I hope he has had a little.

1 off lead now and the sweat is on! Ggllglgllgl.

[bobby1]

Sigh, a hit the post mate.

[redarmi]

I haven't done anything like enough work on golf this year to be able to price it up properly but surely Kuchar is value at 2/1 today???  Only three players really in contention and Na has those swing problems.....anyone more up to date got any views??

[sweet potata!]

I'm having a baddish run the last couple of weeks, I wont be-grudge him his win but Rickie Fowler ffs, i always said I needed to be there and on if he was to win but I wasn't.

So David Toms is just itching for me to drop him so he can get a win but that aint gonna happen, I'm sticking with you, I believe! Same goes for Keegan Bradley , hes a bit off form but again I believe.! More to come but for starters...

David Toms 80/1 E.W
Philip Mickelson @ 25
Keegan Bradley @ 85  


Baddeley @ 160

Gonna back Gmac tomorrow.

Unexpected sweat here, let that wind blow please!

[The Camel]

The World Matchplay taking place in May?

In Spain?

WTF?

[bobby1]

The World Matchplay taking place in May?

In Spain?

WTF?

Yes, 2nd year running.

They moved it from Wentworth to Spain and brought it forward to the summer (ish) coz they were fed up of being hit by iffy weather and getting poor fields at the end of the season. Now its warmer but a shit standard, and the format is a complete joke, I think they only lose 8 of the 24 players after 2 days and as holes winning score counts towards the group score I think all the games have to play 18 holes in the group stages.

[T_Mar]

Think Points looks a great bet at the prices this week in US... pretty obvious course/current form but dont think its a strong week and 60/1 when prices first came out is big imo, been in great form all year tbf... also done Harrison Frazer who I was following earlier in the year and has close links to the course, not been in the best recent form but 3 fig price ... also had small punt on P Hanson in the match play

Points EW @ 60/1
Frazar EW @ 100/1
Hanson Win @ 16/1

[bobby1]

The World Matchplay taking place in May?

In Spain?

WTF?

Yes, 2nd year running.

They moved it from Wentworth to Spain and brought it forward to the summer (ish) coz they were fed up of being hit by iffy weather and getting poor fields at the end of the season. Now its warmer but a shit standard, and the format is a complete joke, I think they only lose 8 of the 24 players after 2 days and as holes winning score counts towards the group score I think all the games have to play 18 holes in the group stages.

That was incorrect Keith, they don't use the scores if there are players tied which also means they don't have to play all 18 in each game.They did away with that ridic system before last years event. It is head to head first to split ties in the groups

[bobby1]

A funny week and I can't drum up much enthusiasm for the match play event, given they will play for two days and only lose 8 players, it just seems to make sense to wait until after Fridays play has finalised the last 16 match ups and take it from there.

The Byron Nelson is pretty low key really and given there are only 4 years of course form after the course renovation, and the winning score the last 3 years has been wind dependent at -19,-10 and -3.

We are back on bentgrass greens this week and in Texas so the players that have been making hay in Florida might not play quite as well and the players with proven records in Texas might suddenly play better again.

Forecast

Hot dry and sunny 30-32c winds from South most days 10-12 mph.

Its been very dry and the course looks set to play firm and short, it again has the look of an Aussie course to it and there have been ten Aussie players placed in the top 15 in the last three years. Scott and Hensby were also top 5 in 2008 so maybe that's an angle.

I didn't really fancy much at all as its tough to place too much focus on the course form when the last two winners were making their debuts here.

To follow on that theme then maybe John Huh , who has been in nice form recently and  has a career that's going the right way might go well again if he can stop making horrid starts in round one. Ive had a small win bet.

Els Scott and Oosty look likely to go well at the top end of the market but I had another small bet on Jason Day. Normally I think he is over rated for someone that's won only one PGA tour event, and the consensus at the moment seems to be he has been injured and distracted as his wife is expecting later in the year.

 He ran 9th two weeks ago and has been first and 5th here the last two years. What really caught my attention tho was reading that in last seasons 5th, where Bradley won the event at -3 and Day was 5th at -1, Day actually had 21 birdies in the 72 holes. To only shoot 1 under would seem to indicate that he had a lot of bogeys but what caused him the most pain was in fact the easiest hole on the course. The 11th is a drivable par 4, which he should have played around 1 to 1 1/2 under on the week, he somehow managed to play that hole in 7 over par for the week, so to finish two behind the winner after giving around 8 to 8 1/2 shots away on the easiest hole is pretty amazing really.

An Aussie, with good course form and a top ten two weeks ago after having a few weeks off with an injury that could also have won last year given the mare he had on the easiest hole he looked ok to me.

[bobby1]

I haven't done anything like enough work on golf this year to be able to price it up properly but surely Kuchar is value at 2/1 today???  Only three players really in contention and Na has those swing problems.....anyone more up to date got any views??

Sorry Red, I never saw this. I hope you had a few quid.

[MajorMajor]

I'm on Scott win and the big Easy EW for the US

Colsarts to win the matchplay and young Tom lewis EW

[bobby1]

I'm on Scott win and the big Easy EW for the US

Colsarts to win the matchplay and young Tom lewis EW

good luck mate, and T Mar too Hanson looks to have a nice draw in the matchplay T.