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Author Topic: Golf Betting 2012  (Read 127818 times)
Karabiner
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« Reply #810 on: May 22, 2012, 05:43:29 PM »

I know he's missed his last few cuts but the 500+ on BF for Richard Sterne was irrisistable.

I seem to remember him having some decent form at Wentworth before he got injured.
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« Reply #811 on: May 23, 2012, 12:43:24 AM »

How about this for a break for Nick Flanagan in the Nationwide tour last week.

Needing a birdie to on the last hole to get into a play off he hit this shot.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kfCBJL7P4U8


and then wins the play off.

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« Reply #812 on: May 23, 2012, 08:50:07 AM »

Sterne now out to 700 on BF, I'm starting to wonder how many limbs he still has...
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« Reply #813 on: May 23, 2012, 09:20:26 AM »

Struggled to find picks in the PGA but had momentof inspiration eating my cornflakes this morning lol

Reckon Colsaerts could be forgotten horse this week - Confidence obv going to be sky high after his win, and has prob been the best and most consistent player on euro tour all year - he has no course form which is a neg obv but his GIR stats are excellent and the extra par 5 will be to his advantage, reckon 50/1 EW is worth  a punt

Also nibbled Lawrie who does have  bits of course form and again been in good nick all year and plays tough courses well... I read there may be some wind over the weekend (let our resident weatherman confirm  that, cheers bobby Smiley  )  which would suit him EW punt @ 60/1
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bobby1
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« Reply #814 on: May 23, 2012, 01:54:39 PM »

Well its a funny old week again, I had been planning to go to Wentworth for a couple of days and then to the Curragh to watch the racing on Sunday but as soon as Sheff Utd made it/fell into the play offs I have had that top of the list. I am taking my 4 year old boy to his first football match coz it might be 10 years before we get a game as big as this again and I don't want to regret making the decision not to take him this time.

If you do happen to see me walking down Wembley way with a big red Sheff Utd 'brother lee love'  foam hand on , complete with pointy finger I am doing it in the name of fatherhood!

Euro tour.

As Paul Casey said 'If you bought an old stately home you wouldn't refurbish it in modern decor and alter the whole feel of it just to make it more modern', well that's exactly what Ernie Els and the owner have done to Wentworth. Every year since the refit Els has talked about how many changes they have made and how he thinks the players will like it and every year most of them hate it.

So I find it hard to be as enthusiastic as I normally am when a big event comes around tho I have got involved as I think there might be a weather angle later in the week.


The forecast is for average winds all thru the day on Thursday, but Friday afternoon will have the strongest winds of the first two days so it looks like a late start Thursday/early Friday will be an advantage over the first two days. Saturday is set to be windy too, with a drop off in speeds on Sunday.

Ive set out to lay a specific set of players, mainly the bigger names that are out on Friday afternoon. There is probably going to be a big help to the players that are out very early on Friday morning and its no surprise to me that others seem to have the same idea with plenty of the fancied runners out early Friday shortening in the market. With the middle part of the draw being soft as the big players get the TV draws in the am and pm it looks to me to be a nice advantage if the forecast is correct. The link is a good one for seeing the current forecast.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2634526

2nd round tee times

http://www.europeantour.com/europeantour/season=2012/tournamentid=2012034/teetimes/index.html

So I am mainly laying this week, tho utside the ones shorter in the market I did like the fact that Victor Dubuisson,who could be the sexiest golfer in the field this week ( if you like that sort of thing) is out in the first group on Friday morning and has current Euro tour form figures of 11,4, 3 in his last three starts. This is a step up in class for sure and I don't really have any evidence that he is someone to be with under pressure but at 140 he got a dart.

Scrolling down the list I was surprised to find good old Michael Hoey lurking at around 400 which just seemed too big for a guy that has won three times in the last calendar year, he might be inspired by winning this very week last year in Madeira. He isn't in much form and doesn't have an early Friday morning tee time in the 2nd round but his wins do seem to come out of the blue with his form figures between his wins last year being

1st 31, 54, 66, 97, 157, 114,34,95,52,48,76,1st.

It's been noted that the anomaly in his winning events is that he seems to win when other Irish players have had good results, an inspiration by comparison angle that seems to have some depth to it. He may be inspired again by G Mac going close last weekend or just the fact that he is playing in the same events as his Irish heroes this week and in his victory in the Dunhill links last year he managed to beat off Mcdowell, and Mcilroy into second and third place which again might show how they inspire him to play well.

At 400 I had to have a bet tho he is has no real course form. His weakness is his putting at times but the greens here could turn out to be pretty poor and if the greens are poor maybe nobody will be holing much.. He also loves a bit of wind which will help him at the weekend if he does start ok. Dart thown!


« Last Edit: May 23, 2012, 02:09:09 PM by bobby1 » Logged

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« Reply #815 on: May 23, 2012, 02:07:32 PM »

US Tour

Just a bit uninspiring again with consistent strongish winds throughout the first day, calming for the last three days.

The course is very firm and it seems like a week to concentrate on driving accuracy as getting it in play to give you a better chance of getting to the right part of the green will be important, the problem is that all the fancied runners are also high up in that ranking too, it just looks like a week where the obvious ones at the head of the market look strong.

Further down the list and following on from the Euro selection I also found a player that has won three times in the last year or so but is a three figure price. Mark Wilson also has a high driving accuracy ranking, has some ok form around here averaging just over 69 for his last 18 rounds, which is a little behind the market leaders but he is 140 ish on BF and BDAQ.

He is thought of as a guy that plays well early in the season and then fades,and he has done the same this year but what might be different is he really wants to try and qualify for the Ryder cup which is in his home state this year. He has missed his last two cuts tho, but this is a drop in class from the Players Championship tho and there are plenty of golfers in front of him in the list that aren't as good as him when he plays well and short tidy courses suit him well.

Just to get the ball rolling really, he got a small dart thrown at him too.
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« Reply #816 on: May 23, 2012, 04:52:30 PM »

Good enough for me and a cheeky £10 at each #inbobbywetrust
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« Reply #817 on: May 23, 2012, 05:03:38 PM »

As i can't read properly I now have a bet on Oliver Wilson in the BMW as well. GLGLGL the Wilsons
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« Reply #818 on: May 23, 2012, 08:00:47 PM »

I'm going to oppose kjeldsen in almost all the 72 hole match bets available .
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« Reply #819 on: May 23, 2012, 08:34:57 PM »

Sterne now out to 700 on BF, I'm starting to wonder how many limbs he still has...

rofl
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« Reply #820 on: May 23, 2012, 08:36:27 PM »

I'm going to oppose kjeldsen in almost all the 72 hole match bets available .

Why is that, Tom?
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« Reply #821 on: May 23, 2012, 09:34:43 PM »

Good luck everyone, sorry TMar ive just realised I ignored your post. Gl mate

What do you know about Kjeldsen Tom?
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« Reply #822 on: May 23, 2012, 10:04:20 PM »

Oops, I've  just realised that looked a bit rude, what I meant to say was, do you know something is wrong with kjeldsen, or do you noy like his chances?
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« Reply #823 on: May 23, 2012, 10:33:14 PM »

I don't rate his chances at all. No special info. Course changes don't suit him, neither does the course generally. He doesn't have the length especially if they put the tees back for the good weather. He hits a draw when a fade suits the course better.

I think the compilers have over reacted to his good finish last week.

he'll win it now of course.
« Last Edit: May 24, 2012, 09:44:43 AM by ACE2M » Logged
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« Reply #824 on: May 23, 2012, 11:21:27 PM »

BMW

Westy
Rose
Els
Colsearts
Rock
Oleson
Lewis
Wood
Quesne

US tour

Zach
Sergio
Stenson
Yang
Gainey
Romero
English

Done a couple of speculative EW doubles too... Gotta be in it to win it!
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