Tips for Tikay

[DMorgan]

Fred has £39.75 with me

Tony, do you still use account number ending 932?

Details are from a fair few years ago I think

[Mark_Porter]

"Event has started and betting is suspended"

What! She better hold out till May-I got a £2 free bet riding on this!

Bet should go through now. Mine has.

[MereNovice]

April 2015 Figures

Closed bets: 123
Amount wagered: £3,131.16
Profit/loss: £1,066.99
ROI: 34.08%

Number of "sports" bet on: 12
Most popular: Horses (20), MotorSport (16), Basketball (14).
Most profitable: Football (£673.61), Basketball (£430.00),  Horses (£169.26)
Least profitable: MotorSport (-£95.38), Snooker (-£92.00), Tennis (-£61.25)

Number of tipsters: 34 including 3 new tipsters.


Overall statistics (since February 2012)

Total closed bets: 4,596
Amount wagered: £137,260.82
Profit/loss: £6,364.78
ROI: 4.64%

Number of "sports" bet on: 30
Most popular:  Horses(1,139), Football (1,105), Golf (367), Cricket(275).

Most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Sport               Profit  Amt Bet       ROI   No.
Football   3,389.31   33,714.89   10.05   1,105
Misc.   1,946.70   5,593.44   34.80   142
Baseball   1,037.20   1,726.00   60.09   37
...
Snooker   -495.00   1,255.00   -39.44   37
Golf   -498.13   9,912.84   -5.03   367
RU   -617.30   4,381.39   -14.09   228


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4


Total number of tipsters: 173


Number of different bookies/exchanges/agents: 53

Most and least profitable bookies (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Bookie          Profit     Amt Bet   ROI     No.
BoyleSports      2,505.40   4,520.45   55.42   116
Ladbrokes      2,162.18   17,110.46   12.64   606
WilliamHill      1,964.70   24,499.44   8.02   812
...
Coral      -429.19   8,486.40   -5.06   305
PaddyPower      -535.15   7,678.64   -6.97   362
BetFred      -1,303.35   10,417.92   -12.51   353


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=7


This was the second most profitable month ever for the thread, beaten only by £1,087.60 in March 2013.
In that month there were 157 bets placed for a total of £4,106.53 and an ROI of 26.48% so this month compares favourably in terms of ROI.   
Congratulations everyone.

[Pete2504]

OK as a fairly long term lurker now simply because I have never really had anything of value to add, the time might have come that I have noticed possible value not yet put up. 

If it is not value then obviously feel free to ignore as despite tradition being 1st rec gets backed I am not overly proud to have this subject as my bet.   

Lolbrokes have a name & gender forecast market for the royal baby  and are 4/6 for A-M & Girl.  Given that it's now 1/2 best price for a girl and that the top 3 names in the market all come before M, is this almost 4/6 on it being a girl and therefore a good bet?  Please feel free to shoot me down, if only for trawling such silly markets.

https://m.oddschecker.com/t/#novelty-royal-baby-ii-name-of-baby

https://m.ladbrokes.com/en/#event_details?id=218975767

[Doobs]

OK as a fairly long term lurker now simply because I have never really had anything of value to add, the time might have come that I have noticed possible value not yet put up. 

If it is not value then obviously feel free to ignore as despite tradition being 1st rec gets backed I am not overly proud to have this subject as my bet.   

Lolbrokes have a name & gender forecast market for the royal baby  and are 4/6 for A-M & Girl.  Given that it's now 1/2 best price for a girl and that the top 3 names in the market all come before M, is this almost 4/6 on it being a girl and therefore a good bet?  Please feel free to shoot me down, if only for trawling such silly markets.

https://m.oddschecker.com/t/#novelty-royal-baby-ii-name-of-baby

https://m.ladbrokes.com/en/#event_details?id=218975767

Sorry, it is terrible.

On those odds, chance of a girl = 67%
Chance of a girl and A to M = 60%

For this to be value you have to believe A-M is a greater than a 90% chance (60/67).  Whatever the chance is, it isn't ever greater than 90%.

 

[Aspen]

Pete,beauty is in the eye of the beholder.  I think you would also need to believe that 1/2 is a fair/genuine price also.  Shoot me down also 

[nuros]

Dante Fowler pick 3 nice nice

[Pete2504]

Haha cheers guys, should stick to what I know best.  Appreciate the feedback.   

[Tal]

Dante Fowler pick 3 nice nice

Lovely.

Two quarterbacks in the first two picks. Won't get another one for at least another twenty picks. Hopefully, New Orleans or someone around there decides to gamble.

[Marky147]

Dante Fowler pick 3 nice nice

Lovely.

Two quarterbacks in the first two picks. Won't get another one for at least another twenty picks. Hopefully, New Orleans or someone around there decides to gamble.

Great shout, well done.

Hopefully they won't be too long, as I'm yawning already, and don't know if I can make it to the end of R1...

[Marky147]

Haha cheers guys, should stick to what I know best.  Appreciate the feedback.   

Stay away from those Strawberry alcopops mate

[TightEnd]

Two running backs go in the first 15 picks

Gurley to Rams at 10

Grdon to Chargers at 15

[nuros]

Nice one tighty:) Was about to type this but you beat me to it, can't believe I've watched this much of it to be honest definitely time for bed soon!

[McGlashan]

Two running backs go in the first 15 picks

Gurley to Rams at 10

Grdon to Chargers at 15

Nice one.

The Theophane fight is a real tight one going into the tenth and final round.

[McGlashan]

Theopane was bossing the final round and was all set for 10-9 to probably seal the fight but got knocked down with 15 secs to go. That should be a 10-8 final round in favour of Montes.