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JaffaCake
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« Reply #10410 on: July 11, 2012, 06:53:02 PM » |
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Agree that Windies price looks too short, this leftarmer Bolt is swinging it nicely
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Snowball
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« Reply #10411 on: July 11, 2012, 07:07:13 PM » |
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NZ are awful, this pitch is a Road and has the shortest boundaries in ODI's.
Average for first team to Bat is 285 and WI's have a great Batting line up.
Expect a fair few 6's when Gayle and co get warmed up.
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redarmi
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« Reply #10412 on: July 11, 2012, 07:13:31 PM » |
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It is still too short. Is one of those situations where either the price is spot on or they are too big. It is almost never -EV. I can see no coneivable way, for example, the Windies are true 1/6 shots here.
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Snowball
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« Reply #10413 on: July 11, 2012, 07:24:09 PM » |
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Gayle gawn and now 1.58
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Dubai
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« Reply #10414 on: July 11, 2012, 07:42:54 PM » |
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3.1 now
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MereNovice
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« Reply #10415 on: July 11, 2012, 07:55:45 PM » |
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Try 4.2
I hope that you all laid them big time at 1.16.
Fred dithered.
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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Dubai
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« Reply #10416 on: July 11, 2012, 07:56:14 PM » |
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Only posted on thread for luck. Run like God on here
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MereNovice
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« Reply #10417 on: July 11, 2012, 07:56:46 PM » |
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Only posted on thread for luck. Run like God on here
 Nice one. |
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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Dubai
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« Reply #10418 on: July 11, 2012, 08:07:12 PM » |
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yeah read it- deleted post sorry
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JaffaCake
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« Reply #10419 on: July 11, 2012, 08:09:03 PM » |
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I find the pricing up of things the trickiest part of sports betting to find true value, but I just don't get who the market finds west indies at 66/5 after 18 are still more likely to win than NZ were before this innings started?
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Dubai
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« Reply #10420 on: July 11, 2012, 08:11:16 PM » |
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Problem is when you take a view its rare the market ever corrects itself to the point where you think the prices are right. Pollard is obviously destructive and the market has been pro WI since the start
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claypole
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« Reply #10421 on: July 11, 2012, 08:13:47 PM » |
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Problem is when you take a view its rare the market ever corrects itself to the point where you think the prices are right. Pollard is obviously destructive and the market has been pro WI since the start
Wish I ran like you - decent lay? PS - I had a 14/1 winner today that went of  ....don't tell Trigg forgot to text him  |
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redarmi
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« Reply #10422 on: July 11, 2012, 08:14:15 PM » |
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This is past posting a bit but I thought 4/1 the Windies was a fairly big price too. If Pollard gets 60-70 quickly as he can they are still in this.
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Dubai
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« Reply #10423 on: July 11, 2012, 08:15:32 PM » |
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Problem is when you take a view its rare the market ever corrects itself to the point where you think the prices are right. Pollard is obviously destructive and the market has been pro WI since the start
Wish I ran like you - decent lay? PS - I had a 14/1 winner today that went of ....don't tell Trigg forgot to text him My phone forgot to buzz too! |
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horseplayer
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« Reply #10424 on: July 11, 2012, 08:35:00 PM » |
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its a massive gap to bridge but psg for the champions league anyone at 25-1 (20's on betfair now)
looks tonight they have agreed a joint 60 million for zlatan and thiago silva which is a massive deal, also seem to be close to agreeing for modric
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