Tips for Tikay

[nuros]

Unibet offering 3/1 Che to win PL until 12:45pm tomorrow, was limited to £21 so you guys probably won't be able to get much on!

[Stopsleyhatter]

100% book in an nfl submarket

Will the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?

Yes 9/4 (Billy Mountains)
No 4/9 (TV's Tony Kendall)

The line on season wins is 8.5 (20/21 over and Evs under). Last season,  the Bills made 9-7 with a much less tolerable offense in a less competitive AFC. The division is nasty but far from insurmountable, as the Jets continue to hover by the self destruct button and Miami are no better on paper at least than Buffalo, still having the least effective home bias in footbawl. The Pats will do what the Pats do, but 9-7 may well be enough this season, as the best teams (New England and Denver) aren't as far ahead and the weaker teams (Jacksonville, Oakland) are more competitive.

Bias or no bias, Buffalo are in the top ten teams in the AFC. The question is how good will the teams finishing second in their division be? Only two of four can progress. The Colts should dominate their division and I can't see Houston getting 10 wins this time around. In the West, The Chargers look like a busted flush at the moment, rather than a franchise making progress. Denver will lose games but should win their division.

The danger may again be in the North, where three teams may finish with 8-8 or better. I am personally keen on the Bengals, but I look around the conference and do question whether Buffalo might be the team that makes the playoffs this year.

At 9/4, does anyone fancy being a Bills fan?

Tal Bengals are 11/4 with S J to win the afc north  probably the best price we'll get as it seems nobody will go 3/1

[Tal]

100% book in an nfl submarket

Will the Buffalo Bills make the playoffs?

Yes 9/4 (Billy Mountains)
No 4/9 (TV's Tony Kendall)

The line on season wins is 8.5 (20/21 over and Evs under). Last season,  the Bills made 9-7 with a much less tolerable offense in a less competitive AFC. The division is nasty but far from insurmountable, as the Jets continue to hover by the self destruct button and Miami are no better on paper at least than Buffalo, still having the least effective home bias in footbawl. The Pats will do what the Pats do, but 9-7 may well be enough this season, as the best teams (New England and Denver) aren't as far ahead and the weaker teams (Jacksonville, Oakland) are more competitive.

Bias or no bias, Buffalo are in the top ten teams in the AFC. The question is how good will the teams finishing second in their division be? Only two of four can progress. The Colts should dominate their division and I can't see Houston getting 10 wins this time around. In the West, The Chargers look like a busted flush at the moment, rather than a franchise making progress. Denver will lose games but should win their division.

The danger may again be in the North, where three teams may finish with 8-8 or better. I am personally keen on the Bengals, but I look around the conference and do question whether Buffalo might be the team that makes the playoffs this year.

At 9/4, does anyone fancy being a Bills fan?

Tal Bengals are 11/4 with S J to win the afc north  probably the best price we'll get as it seems nobody will go 3/1

Please!

Only a complete 1980s Vienetta would have a functioning Stan J@mes account.






(Ahem...Thanks for the heads up )

[arbboy]

Surprised manure haven't drifted more in the outright markets for the EPL given the keeper looks certain to leave now after being dropped for tomorrow.  He was so important to them last year.  Not like they have a replacement anywhere near his quality.

Sorely tempted to have a decent bet on Man City top NW at 8/13.  Sporting have them 6 points between man city and manure with a further 9 points to lolapool. 

4/7 man city is available just in a straight match v manure.  8/11 arsenal v manure available

Obviously all of these were priced up before the effective confirmation today of the keeper leaving.

Anyone got any thoughts?  They the 4/7 man city match bet looks the best option.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-northwest-club

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/season-match-bets/man-city-v-man-utd/tournament-match-betting

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/season-match-bets/arsenal-v-man-utd/tournament-match-betting

[Ant040689]

Haven't got much of an opinion on the above Arb, but wonder what people think about Tottenham at 11/2 away to Man U and Stoke at 27/11 at home to Liverpool.

Both seem a bit big.

[Buttertubs Pass]

Arbboy you ever consider providing exchange bet tips for money?  Like a paid tipping service but avoiding all the classic bookies (because unless you are a multi accounter you cannot get on of course).

I am sceptical of 99.9% of tipsters but I would pay for your exchange bet tips.

No for various reasons.

1) I couldn't be arsed dealing with the shit Neil and Joe have had to deal with from clueless punters when they have a tiny short term downswing.

2) The vast majority of my dog lays are done within 60 seconds of the off on a race as the bf market for the vast majority of dog races isn't liquid until a minute or two before the race is practically it would be impossible to tell you what i am laying because it is all price dependent and i don't know myself what i am backing/laying until the market is formed.  Also the volumes for getting on any dog race which is not on TV is very difficult.  I struggle to get on myself to full limits for the vast majority of BAGS races at the right price never mind sell the info for other exchange users to use.  For example i have just tried to lay the 2/1 fav in the 408 at hove to lose a grand and only got £125 matched a minute ago.  £4k was matched on the race in total.  I would say 50% of my turnover is done within 30 seconds of the hare running.

It would be more workable on the rpgtv races in the evening but again the same problems would happen regarding timing issues.

3) I choose to become a pro punter to have a better lifestyle choice and not answer to people therefore selling tips etc would feel like running a business to me and i have never been remotely motivated to do it even though it probably costs me money.  In a similar sense i can count the number of times i have got involved in staking on one hand to any decent level and again it is just too business and work like monitoring it.  If i wanted all that hassle i would just get a senior trading job.  I started working for myself to get away from admin etc as much as possible.

4) In 2005 i used to run a private members only arb advisory service with certain select big arbers who were willing to pay for my information.  I used to collect every football coupon from every high st shop and review them in detail for possible arbs.  ht/ft/correct scores etc etc.  It was very easy to get on then in shops.  This service was fine back then as i was dealing with other fellow pros who were happy to pay me well to do the leg work for them.  There were no downswings as all i was doing was suggesting arb opportunities so you never had to deal with losers not being able to cope with downswings.  I was obviously having to do this work myself anyway to find arbs so sending a daily email wasn't that much of a hassle and it worked well for a year or so until i moved to Malta and/or the shop arbing scene was starting to move on from it's glory period.

Never say never though because everyone/thing has a price and i might be tempted if the right offer came along but it is not something i think about a lot.  I would rather swop different skill sets/info with other pros without fees but the hard bit is finding suitably skilled pros who's info is worth as much as yours.

Very interesting read,would you class yourself as a greyhound expert so to speak? 

[arbboy]

Arbboy you ever consider providing exchange bet tips for money?  Like a paid tipping service but avoiding all the classic bookies (because unless you are a multi accounter you cannot get on of course).

I am sceptical of 99.9% of tipsters but I would pay for your exchange bet tips.

No for various reasons.

1) I couldn't be arsed dealing with the shit Neil and Joe have had to deal with from clueless punters when they have a tiny short term downswing.

2) The vast majority of my dog lays are done within 60 seconds of the off on a race as the bf market for the vast majority of dog races isn't liquid until a minute or two before the race is practically it would be impossible to tell you what i am laying because it is all price dependent and i don't know myself what i am backing/laying until the market is formed.  Also the volumes for getting on any dog race which is not on TV is very difficult.  I struggle to get on myself to full limits for the vast majority of BAGS races at the right price never mind sell the info for other exchange users to use.  For example i have just tried to lay the 2/1 fav in the 408 at hove to lose a grand and only got £125 matched a minute ago.  £4k was matched on the race in total.  I would say 50% of my turnover is done within 30 seconds of the hare running.

It would be more workable on the rpgtv races in the evening but again the same problems would happen regarding timing issues.

3) I choose to become a pro punter to have a better lifestyle choice and not answer to people therefore selling tips etc would feel like running a business to me and i have never been remotely motivated to do it even though it probably costs me money.  In a similar sense i can count the number of times i have got involved in staking on one hand to any decent level and again it is just too business and work like monitoring it.  If i wanted all that hassle i would just get a senior trading job.  I started working for myself to get away from admin etc as much as possible.

4) In 2005 i used to run a private members only arb advisory service with certain select big arbers who were willing to pay for my information.  I used to collect every football coupon from every high st shop and review them in detail for possible arbs.  ht/ft/correct scores etc etc.  It was very easy to get on then in shops.  This service was fine back then as i was dealing with other fellow pros who were happy to pay me well to do the leg work for them.  There were no downswings as all i was doing was suggesting arb opportunities so you never had to deal with losers not being able to cope with downswings.  I was obviously having to do this work myself anyway to find arbs so sending a daily email wasn't that much of a hassle and it worked well for a year or so until i moved to Malta and/or the shop arbing scene was starting to move on from it's glory period.

Never say never though because everyone/thing has a price and i might be tempted if the right offer came along but it is not something i think about a lot.  I would rather swop different skill sets/info with other pros without fees but the hard bit is finding suitably skilled pros who's info is worth as much as yours.

Very interesting read,would you class yourself as a greyhound expert so to speak? 

Back again lollazza.  Nice to see you.  Subtle as ever.  Not even remotely discreet and forward thinking.  How is the 50/1 golfer doing (your opening post to try and blend in before you start the same rinse/repeat routine with your 2nd post)?

[Buttertubs Pass]

My golfer is having trouble squaring the face up it seems,such a good start.  What is lolzzaa? Sounds like some kind of competition for WD40.

Senior trading position? That would be interesting,we could call you a loltrader,that would kill your ego!

[Buttertubs Pass]

Apologies arb,as much as I would love to reply to your message that isn't possible. Excited for the new football season tomorrow,following you in on all your bets to be honest! Profits all the way no doubt!

[Nico29]

Apologies arb,as much as I would love to reply to your message that isn't possible. Excited for the new football season tomorrow,following you in on all your bets to be honest! Profits all the way no doubt!

Come on lazza at least mix up your posting style mate. That last one was like a carbon copy of all your prev posts. 1.01 isn't even available on it being lazza. There's a space bar you know buddy.

[Buttertubs Pass]

Evening Nico,are you named after that classic Segal film?

You are missing the point Nico,I am not attempting to hide,I just popped by to say hello to arb.  He has a go at folk for taking things too serious on here,I was hoping he had lightened up a little.  I didn't receive the ususl insults this time so we are making progress.

Adios!

[engy]

had a night on he drink larry?

[engy]

arboy would you be interested in laying Liverpool top 6? @ 1/3 ?

[DMorgan]

Is this your homework, Larry?

Click to see full-size image.

[doubleup]

Jim Furyk obv playing well and is available with BF sportsbook at 50-1 6 places EW.  £5 EW recommended.

I should add he was one off the lead in the final day the last time the PGA was held at Whistling Straits, but had a poor round, so the course shouldn't faze him despite its tough reputation.