Tips for Tikay

[DungBeetle]

Derby looked really undercooked last night - Bent and Martin looked really sluggish.  They made a number of changes but the team still featured at various stages Martin/Bent/Weimann/Shackell/Russell/Ince/Thorne/Kendrick so hardly the reserves.   I think we should oppose them at short odds at home to Charlton on Saturday.  Charlton positives given yesterday.

Suggest laying Derby on betfair £30 exposure at 11/20.

Suggest also £5 at 6-1 on an away win. 

[TightEnd]

Derby looked really undercooked last night - Bent and Martin looked really sluggish.  They made a number of changes but the team still featured at various stages Martin/Bent/Weimann/Shackell/Russell/Ince/Thorne/Kendrick so hardly the reserves.   I think we should oppose them at short odds at home to Charlton on Saturday.  Charlton positives given yesterday.

Suggest laying Derby on betfair £30 exposure at 11/20.

Suggest also £5 at 6-1 on an away win. 

£5.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Derby County v Charlton Athletic
Match Result
   Charlton Athletic   6/1   
Total stake   £ 5.00
Estimated return   £ 35.00
Full stake   £ 5.00
Full estimated return   £ 35.00

Lay (Bet Against) Backer's odds backer's stake Your liability

Derby 1.62 £50.00 £31.00

Ref: 53925846779

[TightEnd]

There is a £189 "book" on the USPGA that begins shortly

for your reference

doubleup   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   kjeldsen   350/1   4   £2 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6
doubleup   betfred   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   stenson   25/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6
doubleup   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   Furyk   55/1   20         £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6
doubleup   williamhill   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top ROW Lee   16/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4
swinebag22   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top 5   Martin   66/1   5            
swinebag22   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top 10   Martin   28/1   5            
swinebag22   betfair   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   Martin   590   5            
karabiner   betvictor   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   willetts   100/1   10   £5 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6
doobs   betfairsportsbook   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   fowler   20/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6
doobs   betfairsportsbook   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   matsuyama   45/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6
doobs   williamhill   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA   scott   33/1   20         £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6
swinebag22   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top Asian    jaidee   14/1   20   £10 e/w 1/5 1,2,3
swinebag22   coral   8/16/2015   golf   USPGA Top Continental euro   luiten   28/1   20   £10 e/w 1/4 1,2,3

[arbboy]

big outside at sheff dogs this morning.  T5 and T6 won every race including several very big priced winners.

[arbboy]

last two winners t5 and t6 as well.  T6 just hosed up in the last race by half the track.

[DungBeetle]

Arb do you ever trade Spin's "Banana" markets when you identify an inside or outside bias at the dogs meeting?  Could be profitable I imagine.

[arbboy]

Arb do you ever trade Spin's "Banana" markets when you identify an inside or outside bias at the dogs meeting?  Could be profitable I imagine.

I have only ever had one spread bet in my life in 1998 with hillsindex and it went badly wrong!!!  I have never had an account since!  The banana market is very swingy isn't it?  combo tricasts in each race multiplied?

[arbboy]

Another 654 combo for you dung!!!  Assume you are having it right off!!

[DungBeetle]

Yeah very swingy.  Actually a better one for what you identify would be "Barking Mad" which is just the 1st and 2nd numbers multiplied so between 2 and 30 per race.  The Bananas one is annoying when you are long because 5 and 6 hose up and then the 1 dog sneaks in third to ruin the bonanza!

[DungBeetle]

Another 654 combo for you dung!!!  Assume you are having it right off!!

Unfortunately I very rarely play that market.  Might try it next time you spot a trend though!

[arbboy]

Yeah very swingy.  Actually a better one for what you identify would be "Barking Mad" which is just the 1st and 2nd numbers multiplied so between 2 and 30 per race.  The Bananas one is annoying when you are long because 5 and 6 hose up and then the 1 dog sneaks in third to ruin the bonanza!

It's a proper sick bet for degen's.  Wonder what kind of action they book on that on a normal morning bags meeting?

[arbboy]

Yeah very swingy.  Actually a better one for what you identify would be "Barking Mad" which is just the 1st and 2nd numbers multiplied so between 2 and 30 per race.  The Bananas one is annoying when you are long because 5 and 6 hose up and then the 1 dog sneaks in third to ruin the bonanza!

The flip side is when t4 wins, like the last race, but 5 and 6 run on for the places that you still get the max 120 payout even though neither wide won the race.  Swings and roundabouts.

[arbboy]

Next race sheff is hcap so the 5 and 6 dogs aren't necessarily wides just for everyone's information.  Wouldn't be backing 5 and 6 blind here.  t6 is actually a railer (t5 mid runner) when they run in non hcap races.

t6 is probably a lay here tbh.  Lot of wagons will just be following the bias not realising this is a railer in t6 in a hcap.

265 combo.  Not a bad return for the banana boys given the circumstances.

[arbboy]

624 in the last.  t6 in the last race was 2-37 in the grade lifetime which kinda shows the strength of the bias there today.  All the fun over now.  Off to romford and crayford down sarfffffffffff for the afternoon.

[Tal]

Good day, arbboy?