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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16352145 times)
mulhuzz
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« Reply #106980 on: September 18, 2015, 04:00:26 PM »

England are going to win by 30pts or more. At 24 points it's boots on wade in for me.

Similarly, I like Aus for the title at 9/1 and 15/8 to win the group looks too big as well.

If we think both Eng and Aus will beat the other three teams by similar margins, aren't Eng v Aus a pickem?

If be looking to oppose England wherever I can for group/stages/etc as they are chronically over backed.

That said, eng-24 looks an absolute corker of a bet.
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kukushkin88
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« Reply #106981 on: September 18, 2015, 04:27:53 PM »

England are going to win by 30pts or more. At 24 points it's boots on wade in for me.

Similarly, I like Aus for the title at 9/1 and 15/8 to win the group looks too big as well.

If we think both Eng and Aus will beat the other three teams by similar margins, aren't Eng v Aus a pickem?

If be looking to oppose England wherever I can for group/stages/etc as they are chronically over backed.

That said, eng-24 looks an absolute corker of a bet.

Wales are better than you think, so are England and Australia are worse.
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Jamier-Host
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« Reply #106982 on: September 18, 2015, 04:37:53 PM »


If be looking to oppose England wherever I can for group/stages/etc as they are chronically over backed.

That said, eng-24 looks an absolute corker of a bet.

A bit contradictory! Smiley

Feels a bit like people are getting carried away about a home England team playing against a supposed minnow of the game. Fiji are quite capable of scoring and so to cover the handicap England are probably going to have to put up 35+ points themselves which they don't do too often in test rugby, especially with the pressure of opening the World Cup on them.

It's one of those where making a bold prediction either way could make one look a bit silly come 10pm tonight. Personally I don't think the mark is far off and so wouldn't want to get heavily involved. If my arm was twisted i'd probably actually go with the Fiji head start expecting a ~20 point win for the home team.
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« Reply #106983 on: September 18, 2015, 04:52:08 PM »

A very mixed up FP2 session just finished. It's quickly becoming apparent that pace won't win this race, but being kind on the tyres will.

Will be very interesting to go through the markets as they re-form. My bets will be up later Smiley
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« Reply #106984 on: September 18, 2015, 04:54:11 PM »

very encouraging for my kvyat i thought

easier on the tyres than the merc, comparable pace

might be able to two stop competitively, ham looks like a three stop

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« Reply #106985 on: September 18, 2015, 04:59:04 PM »

safety car 1/5 should be shorter right?

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/singapore-grand-prix/safety-car

never been a singapore gp without a safety car (7 modern singapore night races since 2008)....tyres degrade a lot there...abrasive track, hot race for the drivers=mistakes

teams even build safety cars into their strategy...
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« Reply #106986 on: September 18, 2015, 05:00:26 PM »

Anyone have bwin and ok to put a big brother bet on? PM me if so. Will pass some on to thread obvs.
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« Reply #106987 on: September 18, 2015, 05:13:43 PM »

Waisea Nayacalevu - winger - Stade Francais - 56 games - 27 trys - Fiji 11 games, 5 trys - 11/2 BSB anytime. A bit of an insult price really.

Nemani Nadolo - winger - Crusaders - 27 games, 21 trys - Fiji - 20 games, 15 trys - 9/2 BSB anytime. Fill your boots, crazy price for one of the most destructive wingers in World Rugby.

Edit - prices have disappeared for try scorers, not sure what these will be when they come back up.
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« Reply #106988 on: September 18, 2015, 05:19:44 PM »

Palpable error i reckon...
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« Reply #106989 on: September 18, 2015, 05:20:01 PM »

safety car 1/5 should be shorter right?

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/singapore-grand-prix/safety-car

never been a singapore gp without a safety car (7 modern singapore night races since 2008)....tyres degrade a lot there...abrasive track, hot race for the drivers=mistakes

teams even build safety cars into their strategy...

I would say there's a 90% chance of a safety car. It might well be value, but would we consider any bet at 1/5? Surely you'd have to put at least £250 on it to make it worthwhile? Seems too risky?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #106990 on: September 18, 2015, 05:20:20 PM »

Waisea Nayacalevu - winger - Stade Francais - 56 games - 27 trys - Fiji 11 games, 5 trys - 11/2 BSB anytime. A bit of an insult price really.

Nemani Nadolo - winger - Crusaders - 27 games, 21 trys - Fiji - 20 games, 15 trys - 9/2 BSB anytime. Fill your boots, crazy price for one of the most destructive wingers in World Rugby.

Edit - prices have disappeared for try scorers, not sure what these will be when they come back up.

7/2 and 9/4 are the prices at bsb

much more like it, yes?

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/rugby-world-cup/england-v-fiji/anytime-tryscorer
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« Reply #106991 on: September 18, 2015, 05:22:27 PM »

anyway Nadolo is only 6f 5i, 19st 10, scores tries and kicks goals

nothing to worry about

 Click to see full-size image.


(fiji will score 15-20 points tonight i reckon, england need 45 to cover?)
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« Reply #106992 on: September 18, 2015, 05:23:41 PM »

safety car 1/5 should be shorter right?

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/singapore-grand-prix/safety-car

never been a singapore gp without a safety car (7 modern singapore night races since 2008)....tyres degrade a lot there...abrasive track, hot race for the drivers=mistakes

teams even build safety cars into their strategy...

I would say there's a 90% chance of a safety car. It might well be value, but would we consider any bet at 1/5? Surely you'd have to put at least £250 on it to make it worthwhile? Seems too risky?

Yes we would and have plenty of times. if we think its 1/10 and we can back it at 1/5 and we have the bankroll, then why not?
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« Reply #106993 on: September 18, 2015, 05:24:36 PM »

Yep, sorry, prices were there when I was typing then disappeared. I got nothing on. Nadolo is being offered odds under his real name which is Nemani Nasiganiyavi on Betfair. Keep an eye out in case someone does something stupid. There are other markets under his Nadolo name as well? Could be a recipe for disaster for somebody.
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« Reply #106994 on: September 18, 2015, 05:25:43 PM »

Yep, sorry, prices were there when I was typing then disappeared. I got nothing on. Nadolo is being offered odds under his real name which is Nemani Nasiganiyavi on Betfair. Keep an eye out in case someone does something stupid. There are other markets under his Nadolo name as well? Could be a recipe for disaster for somebody.

no problem

were you coming up with a rwc post for us, or has time/life beaten you?

no worries if not
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