Tips for Tikay

[fatcatstu]

Not very sure the ball was out before Rhodes finished it there. Taken control after some early Leeds pressure

[horseplayer]

Willie collum up to his usual tricks in the Aberdeen game

[fatcatstu]

Goal should have stood, bossed the second half, look like we are going to get screwed over. Sorry guys.

[Ironside]

aberdeen and the ref gifted caley the 3 points tonight

only plus side is rooney scored

[aaron1867]

Just want to put a couple up for discussion

Burnley are 8/13 at home to Rotherham. Not usually a Fred position, but two teams doing completely the opposite to each other and Rotherham have 2 suspensions to deal with. Would suggest a chunky bet

Wednesday to win the Championship is very unlikely, but we are the form team, 6 points off top and are 66-1 to win the league. I think there might be a tenner bet in there, if we have winner. 20's for top two and 5 points off.

In fact, winner still have us at 4/5 to finish top 6. when others are 1/3.

[TightEnd]

Loss yesterday £25

Profit on Month £221.92

Outstanding bets £3513.62

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=19


-£25 Middlesborough

Aberdeen lost to ICT, so remain 3 points behind Celtic, Celtic have a game in hand

Rooney scored for Aberdeen, now has 19 for the season three behind Griffiths

[TightEnd]

Spanish news outlet OK Diario are reporting that Diego Simeone has told Atletico Madrid he has decided to leave the Vicente Calderon at the end of the season, ahead of a move to Chelsea.

this is interesting, as we are on Allegri who was odds-on

[BigAdz]

Spanish news outlet OK Diario are reporting that Diego Simeone has told Atletico Madrid he has decided to leave the Vicente Calderon at the end of the season, ahead of a move to Chelsea.

this is interesting, as we are on Allegri who was odds-on

Corals 16-1 to be in charge at start of next season....Paddy only 4-1

[Tal]

Spanish news outlet OK Diario are reporting that Diego Simeone has told Atletico Madrid he has decided to leave the Vicente Calderon at the end of the season, ahead of a move to Chelsea.

this is interesting, as we are on Allegri who was odds-on

Corals 16-1 to be in charge at start of next season....Paddy only 4-1

That lasted...

2/1

Good morning, Traders!

[BigAdz]

Spanish news outlet OK Diario are reporting that Diego Simeone has told Atletico Madrid he has decided to leave the Vicente Calderon at the end of the season, ahead of a move to Chelsea.

this is interesting, as we are on Allegri who was odds-on

Corals 16-1 to be in charge at start of next season....Paddy only 4-1

That lasted...

2/1

Good morning, Traders!

Ooops. Mrs Adz may have got a little carried away.....naughty lady

[Chompy]

Just want to put a couple up for discussion

Burnley are 8/13 at home to Rotherham. Not usually a Fred position, but two teams doing completely the opposite to each other and Rotherham have 2 suspensions to deal with. Would suggest a chunky bet

Wednesday to win the Championship is very unlikely, but we are the form team, 6 points off top and are 66-1 to win the league. I think there might be a tenner bet in there, if we have winner. 20's for top two and 5 points off.

In fact, winner still have us at 4/5 to finish top 6. when others are 1/3.

Winner prices have been incorrect/not updated for weeks in a lot of football markets on oddschecker. Not sure how nobody at oddschecker has spotted.

[Tal]

I think we should consider a position in the Candidates chess tournament for next month. This is the tournament that determines who gets to play Magnus Carlsen for the World Championship.

Hikaru Nakamura, Levon Aronian and Fabiano Caruana are all around the 7/2 mark. Nakamura is inconsistent, Caruana played reasonably in Wijk aan Zee but had a monumental blow up in his last game and Aronian is, despite his incredible talent, known for struggling in big elite comps when the pressure is really on. In horse racing terms, they are understandably at the head of the market, but one jumps untidily, one has stamina doubts and one struggles at Cheltenham.

Karjakin can't draw his way to victory. He's The Giant Bolster or TeaForThree type: he will plod around the course and finish high enough to make you think he's always in contention,  but he probably isn't. Giri is better than that but he has a mistake in his locker and 9/2 is about his price.

That leaves us with the three outsiders. As much as I like Peter Svidler (and he has just spent two weeks analysing most of these chaps' games for the commentary at Wijk aan Zee), I don't see him having the power to outmuscle or the skill to outplay this field.

Now, we have the only two people in the field who have competed for a World Title.

Veselin Topalov - the making who came roaring back in 2015 after a few years of relative indifference - is 9/1. He was world number 2 in July last year, behind only Carlsen. However, he got royally beaten up in the London Chess Classic in December and hasn't been back since. He has an attacking style but with that comes risk.

That leaves 46 year old Viswanathan Anand. He was the last World Champ, losing to Carlsen the last twice. He surprised the bookies when he won the last Candidates comp and I look at this field and see exactly the same sort of field: question marks, plodders and so on.

He's currently playing a quickplay event this weekend in Zurich against Giri, Aronian, Nakamura, Shirov and Kramnik. He had a great Saturday, defeating Giri and spanking Aronian. If he wins this event, I can't see 13/1 lasting. I will say Anand has a poor record against Nakamura historically, but this is a high pressure tournament and you can't back a 13/1 shot without accepting some negatives.

Two former World Champions (Topalov won the FIDE World Championship a few years ago, which was the chess equivalent of the BDO Darts) and two people who have been through the Candidates cycle and won it. Course and distance winners and both in the top three in the ratings just a few months ago.

I'm holding fire on Topalov for now. His price won't improve much between now and kick off, whereas Anand's may well.

The 13/1 is with Three Fat Ladies (888), which I understand we have. Recommend £20 on Vishy Anand to win.

Now 7/1 best price with three fat ladies and Snickers, after losing the Zurich tournament only on tie break to Nakamura.

[Marky147]

I had a chuckaway tenner on Holywell a while back, and Jonjo looks to have him down to a decent racing weight.

Can't do any harm for fred to have atenner on the nose @ 33/1

http://www.oddschecker.com/grand-national/winner?dcmp=twt22

£10 @ 33/1 Holywell  (Grand National)

[TightEnd]

Holywell Grand National Winner
33/1
Total Stake: £10.00
Potential Returns: £340.00

[TightEnd]

there is a bet365 offer tonight PSG/Chelsea

not for the thread

PSG/PSG for the nitty?