Tips for Tikay

[bergeroo]

Nice boost, I already bet it. Shame  I will miss the Afghanistan v Zimbabwe game, could be the best one so far...

Bad brokes have a cricket price boost tomorrow, Afghans and Scotland are 11/4. First game kicks off at 9.30am. Bet is listed under "daily price boosts".

Afghanistan are 1.89 on the machine, they were outsiders but have been steadily supported into favouritism over Zimbabwe. Extra pace of their attack could be the difference between the sides. Afghans' are ranked number 9 in the ICC T20I rankings, above Bangladesh. They have 79 ranking points compared to Zimbabwe (58 points in 11th place). They have a pretty competent side for an associate nation and look a lot more solid than Zimbabwe, who rely on a few individuals (Hamilton Mazakadza, Sean Williams).

Scotland are even shorter at 1.63 on the machine. They've have never won a game at a major event, but won't have a better chance than tomorrow against Hong Kong. Scotland are ranked ahead of Hong Kong (12th v 14th, 57 points to 46). They have the potential to have a decent top 3 and their young spinner Watt impressed me in the last game. They don't have a lot but they look to have the measure of Hong Kong, who may rely solely on their top order and have a very weak bowling attack.

Double pays just over 2/1 on bf, so 11/4 looks good value

[Peter-27]

Peter any thoughts on good old Force India this year?  Will they kick on again or do you think a similar show to last year?  Any other midfield runners that have impressed you in testing?

Force India have taken a big step forward compared to 2015, but the problem they have is that actually, everyone appears to have taken a significant step forward. I've been following F1 for 19 years and I've never seen a situation quite like this where all teams are looking so much stronger than the previous season.

My testing analysis shows that early on in the season, Force India will be the 5th quickest team. The big surprise thrown up by my data is that I have Toro Rosso as third fastest! However, when you take into consideration teams' normal development rates, and the order of the tracks on the calendar - I do expect Toro Rosso to fall away as the season progresses. In summary, I see a major battle between Toro Rosso, Williams, Force India and Red Bull for 3rd this season - it should be very close at the end of the year - too close to call really.

Interesting.  On that basis force India/Rosso are buys and red bull/Williams perhaps sells?  Any view on Renault?  They have a derogatory quote - presumably they have a big budget now?

For those four teams (Force India/Toro Rosso/Red Bull/Williams) it's hard to say, they should all be close - but how many points they all score is quite hard to determine given just how tight it will be - Williams is potentially a sell, but I wouldn't strongly recommend anything really.

Renault don't really have a huge budget now. As far as I'm aware, they're not planning on spending huge sums. Even if they did, they're starting from well far back (next to no development last season), with a deficient Renault engine that can't really be improved that much due to engine regulation restrictions - I expect them to finish a firm 7th in the championship.

[Peter-27]

As I'm sure you're all aware, it's just one week until the 2016 F1 season kicks off in Australia - I'll be scouring the betting markets tomorrow & Sunday to try and pick out some spots for us.

In the mean time, it's the Mexican ePrix this weekend at the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez (the circuit also used for F1). As was the case for Monaco in season one, the track has been temporarily and significantly shortened/modified for Formula E. There are just two words to sum up the layout; crash fest.

https://www.facebook.com/fiaformulae/videos/vb.490941397612413/1103966816309865/?type=2&theater

A la Monaco 2015, an opening lap pile up at turn one is inevitable here.

I have one bet to suggest at the moment;

Podium Finish: Jerome d'Ambrosio @ 5/1 with SkaiBet OR Race Winner: Jerome d'Ambrosio @ 20/1 EW (1/3 1-2) with Lolbrokes. Suggest £10 (or £20 in total for the EW).

This is a "proper" smooth purpose built racetrack, so I expect the guys with F1 experience, like Jerome, to shine.

I might well most some more suggestions as practice progresses, schedule is:

12/03 – 14:10 to 15:10 – Practice 1
12/03 – 16:25 to 17:10 – Practice 2
12/03 – 17:45 to 19:10 – Qualifying
12/03 – 21:30 to 23:30 – Race

All times are UK times.

[TightEnd]

Bad brokes have a cricket price boost tomorrow, Afghans and Scotland are 11/4. First game kicks off at 9.30am. Bet is listed under "daily price boosts".

Afghanistan are 1.89 on the machine, they were outsiders but have been steadily supported into favouritism over Zimbabwe. Extra pace of their attack could be the difference between the sides. Afghans' are ranked number 9 in the ICC T20I rankings, above Bangladesh. They have 79 ranking points compared to Zimbabwe (58 points in 11th place). They have a pretty competent side for an associate nation and look a lot more solid than Zimbabwe, who rely on a few individuals (Hamilton Mazakadza, Sean Williams).

Scotland are even shorter at 1.63 on the machine. They've have never won a game at a major event, but won't have a better chance than tomorrow against Hong Kong. Scotland are ranked ahead of Hong Kong (12th v 14th, 57 points to 46). They have the potential to have a decent top 3 and their young spinner Watt impressed me in the last game. They don't have a lot but they look to have the measure of Hong Kong, who may rely solely on their top order and have a very weak bowling attack.

Double pays just over 2/1 on bf, so 11/4 looks good value

Afghanistan and Scotland both to win was 5/2 NOW 11/4
(Price Boost)
Cricket - Afghanistan and Scotland both to win was 5/2 NOW 11/4 Daily Price Boosts
£20

[TightEnd]

As I'm sure you're all aware, it's just one week until the 2016 F1 season kicks off in Australia - I'll be scouring the betting markets tomorrow & Sunday to try and pick out some spots for us.

In the mean time, it's the Mexican ePrix this weekend at the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez (the circuit also used for F1). As was the case for Monaco in season one, the track has been temporarily and significantly shortened/modified for Formula E. There are just two words to sum up the layout; crash fest.

https://www.facebook.com/fiaformulae/videos/vb.490941397612413/1103966816309865/?type=2&theater

A la Monaco 2015, an opening lap pile up at turn one is inevitable here.

I have one bet to suggest at the moment;

Podium Finish: Jerome d'Ambrosio @ 5/1 with SkaiBet OR Race Winner: Jerome d'Ambrosio @ 20/1 EW (1/3 1-2) with Lolbrokes. Suggest £10 (or £20 in total for the EW).

This is a "proper" smooth purpose built racetrack, so I expect the guys with F1 experience, like Jerome, to shine.

I might well most some more suggestions as practice progresses, schedule is:

12/03 – 14:10 to 15:10 – Practice 1
12/03 – 16:25 to 17:10 – Practice 2
12/03 – 17:45 to 19:10 – Qualifying
12/03 – 21:30 to 23:30 – Race

All times are UK times.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-e

no prices available

i am not around from lunchtime so will probably miss any later recommendations

[Nico29]

10.40 - Be Witch 13/2 - Bitch running well at the moment and will cope with the step up in distance just needs to find a pitch round the first bend and has a chance at a big price.

Went off at threes and had a decent run but the fav in 6 got a flyer and was never getting beat.

Yeah jobbed up in the last. Bet all day long the 6 dog and is over at the first bend, we ran a good race considering.

Oh and the bias helped the 6 dog.

Didn't need the bias to win.  Easy to see why it was backed all day long.  As soon as the bias was obvious early doors they just smashed in even more.  47.30 dog 3 months ago.  Bias just made it win by 12 lengths instead of 6 lengths.  Good night for everyone.  Wish it was always that straightforward.

Matty do potential going conditions which you have no control of in the slightest earlier in the day not put you off spending ages running round the shops getting on knowing you could potentially be on the wrong end of a gamble just because of the way the track runs?

Firstly : Whoooooosh. 

Secondly : LOL, would you bet anything ever if you were worried about such things? Yes granted if there were signs of a consistent bias (over the course of a few meetings) then I would be concerned/cautious however all BAGs this week have been fine round Romford so no indication of such bias.

I still don't agree with you on the bias front by the way, the track was flying (fast) early doors allowing a couple of big prices to get infront and not be caught - it slowed up later on in the meeting, I don't believe there was any real bias one way or the other tonight apart from for the dog that turned the corner infront early on.

Tbf Stevie Wonder could see there was a bias last night.

[tikay]

Bad brokes have a cricket price boost tomorrow, Afghans and Scotland are 11/4. First game kicks off at 9.30am. Bet is listed under "daily price boosts".

Afghanistan are 1.89 on the machine, they were outsiders but have been steadily supported into favouritism over Zimbabwe. Extra pace of their attack could be the difference between the sides. Afghans' are ranked number 9 in the ICC T20I rankings, above Bangladesh. They have 79 ranking points compared to Zimbabwe (58 points in 11th place). They have a pretty competent side for an associate nation and look a lot more solid than Zimbabwe, who rely on a few individuals (Hamilton Mazakadza, Sean Williams).

Scotland are even shorter at 1.63 on the machine. They've have never won a game at a major event, but won't have a better chance than tomorrow against Hong Kong. Scotland are ranked ahead of Hong Kong (12th v 14th, 57 points to 46). They have the potential to have a decent top 3 and their young spinner Watt impressed me in the last game. They don't have a lot but they look to have the measure of Hong Kong, who may rely solely on their top order and have a very weak bowling attack.

Double pays just over 2/1 on bf, so 11/4 looks good value

Afghanistan are currently 96-4 off 13.

When Zimbabwe bat, we might hope for some more of this - quite extraordinary.

[hector62]

Morning tighty.

Last nights rugby league bet was a loser, Wigan scored about as many points as I expected ( but should have been more ) and Leeds didn't get the 18 points I expected. I will keep opposing Leeds to any half decent team.

Today our tennis bod gets under way. There is a bet I like as well. Bernard Tomic faces Rajeev Ram and they are closely matched. They have played each other twice already this year with it being 1-1. In the game Tomic won it came just 3 days after Ram played in the final of Delray Beach. Today Ram is well rested and has already had a qualifying match on these courts and Tomic played in the Davis cup last weekend. I also like he fact that Ram is American and I expect the crowd to get to Tomic. I don't expect much between these 2 and I could even see all sets going to tie breaks.

Suggest £15 Ram @ 27/10 with betfair sportsbook but anything 2/1 or over is good.

[RobbieP]

Good luck to everyone betting today im at work until midnight and its my birthday ohhhhh the joy

[nellberg]

Bad brokes have a cricket price boost tomorrow, Afghans and Scotland are 11/4. First game kicks off at 9.30am. Bet is listed under "daily price boosts".

Afghanistan are 1.89 on the machine, they were outsiders but have been steadily supported into favouritism over Zimbabwe. Extra pace of their attack could be the difference between the sides. Afghans' are ranked number 9 in the ICC T20I rankings, above Bangladesh. They have 79 ranking points compared to Zimbabwe (58 points in 11th place). They have a pretty competent side for an associate nation and look a lot more solid than Zimbabwe, who rely on a few individuals (Hamilton Mazakadza, Sean Williams).

Scotland are even shorter at 1.63 on the machine. They've have never won a game at a major event, but won't have a better chance than tomorrow against Hong Kong. Scotland are ranked ahead of Hong Kong (12th v 14th, 57 points to 46). They have the potential to have a decent top 3 and their young spinner Watt impressed me in the last game. They don't have a lot but they look to have the measure of Hong Kong, who may rely solely on their top order and have a very weak bowling attack.

Double pays just over 2/1 on bf, so 11/4 looks good value

Afghanistan are currently 96-4 off 13.

When Zimbabwe bat, we might hope for some more of this - quite extraordinary.

He's 2/2 for run-out's this tournament, the first one he didn't slide his bat in so even though he was well past the crease he was still run out ... some truly under-11's stuff from him despite him being ranked the 8th best T20I batsman in the world

[TightEnd]

Rajeev Ram Bernard Tomic v Rajeev Ram Winner
12/5
Total Stake: £15.00
Potential Returns: £51.00


bfsb limited to £3.70 at 27/10
Matchbook is 3.58 but can't do that currently
can't do anywhere that's 5/2
so had to do 12/5

[tikay]

Bad brokes have a cricket price boost tomorrow, Afghans and Scotland are 11/4. First game kicks off at 9.30am. Bet is listed under "daily price boosts".

Afghanistan are 1.89 on the machine, they were outsiders but have been steadily supported into favouritism over Zimbabwe. Extra pace of their attack could be the difference between the sides. Afghans' are ranked number 9 in the ICC T20I rankings, above Bangladesh. They have 79 ranking points compared to Zimbabwe (58 points in 11th place). They have a pretty competent side for an associate nation and look a lot more solid than Zimbabwe, who rely on a few individuals (Hamilton Mazakadza, Sean Williams).

Scotland are even shorter at 1.63 on the machine. They've have never won a game at a major event, but won't have a better chance than tomorrow against Hong Kong. Scotland are ranked ahead of Hong Kong (12th v 14th, 57 points to 46). They have the potential to have a decent top 3 and their young spinner Watt impressed me in the last game. They don't have a lot but they look to have the measure of Hong Kong, who may rely solely on their top order and have a very weak bowling attack.

Double pays just over 2/1 on bf, so 11/4 looks good value

Afghanistan are currently 96-4 off 13.

When Zimbabwe bat, we might hope for some more of this - quite extraordinary.

He's 2/2 for run-out's this tournament, the first one he didn't slide his bat in so even though he was well past the crease he was still run out ... some truly under-11's stuff from him despite him being ranked the 8th best T20I batsman in the world

AFG ended on 186/6, (17 wides) which seemed a decent recovery.

[nellberg]

Afghan's 186-6, 20-30 above par on what we've seen in previous games. Afghan's 1/6 at the half way stage

[Peter-27]

As I'm sure you're all aware, it's just one week until the 2016 F1 season kicks off in Australia - I'll be scouring the betting markets tomorrow & Sunday to try and pick out some spots for us.

In the mean time, it's the Mexican ePrix this weekend at the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez (the circuit also used for F1). As was the case for Monaco in season one, the track has been temporarily and significantly shortened/modified for Formula E. There are just two words to sum up the layout; crash fest.

https://www.facebook.com/fiaformulae/videos/vb.490941397612413/1103966816309865/?type=2&theater

A la Monaco 2015, an opening lap pile up at turn one is inevitable here.

I have one bet to suggest at the moment;

Podium Finish: Jerome d'Ambrosio @ 5/1 with SkaiBet OR Race Winner: Jerome d'Ambrosio @ 20/1 EW (1/3 1-2) with Lolbrokes. Suggest £10 (or £20 in total for the EW).

This is a "proper" smooth purpose built racetrack, so I expect the guys with F1 experience, like Jerome, to shine.

I might well most some more suggestions as practice progresses, schedule is:

12/03 – 14:10 to 15:10 – Practice 1
12/03 – 16:25 to 17:10 – Practice 2
12/03 – 17:45 to 19:10 – Qualifying
12/03 – 21:30 to 23:30 – Race

All times are UK times.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-e

no prices available

i am not around from lunchtime so will probably miss any later recommendations

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/race-betting/race-5-mexico-city/221769493/

For some reason oddschecker doesn't seem to always pick up motorsport markets.

[TightEnd]

Jerome d'Ambrosio
(Race winner)
Race 5 - Mexico City Formula E
20/1
£10 e/w
1/3 1,2