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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16427365 times)
MattyHollis
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« Reply #114705 on: March 11, 2016, 09:48:17 PM »

Pretty safe to say its suiting the wides now Matty?  t5 goes off a pony on the machine and hoses up leading pillar to post.  t6 following it home.  Couldn't possibly win on all known form with 3 and 6 tight in behind. 

3 is a trapper was never going to win without leading. Surprised 6 didn't beat 5 of course however 5 has good sprint form and clearly benefitted from his look last week.

1 ran on well enough and 3 stayed close for longer than I thought, i'm not completely convinced yet. It's obviously absolutely flying at the moment - stupidly so, must be +40ish going at the moment.
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arbboy
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« Reply #114706 on: March 11, 2016, 10:10:14 PM »

The fact your t3 you put up at 7/2 which was a bang railer went off nearly 6/1 on bf says no one wants to be with the railers.  Can't remember last time one of your selections went off nearly double on the machine.  I thought the 3 was a cracking bet at 7/2 before the bias.  I eneded up laying it at 11/2 on the off.
« Last Edit: March 11, 2016, 10:12:35 PM by arbboy » Logged
MattyHollis
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« Reply #114707 on: March 11, 2016, 10:20:14 PM »

The fact your t3 you put up at 7/2 which was a bang railer went off nearly 6/1 on bf says no one wants to be with the railers.  Can't remember last time one of your selections went off nearly double on the machine.  I thought the 3 was a cracking bet at 7/2 before the bias.  I eneded up laying it at 11/2 on the off.

Good lay then! Brave, but good. Shame they go off unders and lose. The dog I said in the 7.47 was 4/1 early and went off 2.9ish on betfair.

Droopys Story was the antepost bet I mentioned on here, nice to see it win just now but I don't think Fred got on it. Nothing getting caught when turning infront tonight.

Need Swabys Millward in the next - bias will be against Bob at least...
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arbboy
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« Reply #114708 on: March 11, 2016, 10:23:10 PM »

Odds on t1 leads on rails finds nothing to the bend on the bad ground.  with no bias with that start t1 goes round in front tight on rails and wins going away.  Finishes tailed off last.  Boom!  1/3 to place!  Lovely.
« Last Edit: March 11, 2016, 10:24:48 PM by arbboy » Logged
arbboy
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« Reply #114709 on: March 11, 2016, 10:32:08 PM »

The fact your t3 you put up at 7/2 which was a bang railer went off nearly 6/1 on bf says no one wants to be with the railers.  Can't remember last time one of your selections went off nearly double on the machine.  I thought the 3 was a cracking bet at 7/2 before the bias.  I eneded up laying it at 11/2 on the off.

Good lay then! Brave, but good. Shame they go off unders and lose. The dog I said in the 7.47 was 4/1 early and went off 2.9ish on betfair.

Droopys Story was the antepost bet I mentioned on here, nice to see it win just now but I don't think Fred got on it. Nothing getting caught when turning infront tonight.

Need Swabys Millward in the next - bias will be against Bob at least...

gl here.  You on the right side of this one.
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arbboy
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« Reply #114710 on: March 11, 2016, 10:33:25 PM »

oioioioi the bias.
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JohnCharver
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« Reply #114711 on: March 11, 2016, 10:33:52 PM »

oioi wd matty, job done at first bend, 5 helped for a laugh
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BigAdz
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« Reply #114712 on: March 11, 2016, 10:35:51 PM »

oioi wd matty, job done at first bend, 5 helped for a laugh

 thumbs up
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
MattyHollis
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« Reply #114713 on: March 11, 2016, 10:44:02 PM »

oioi wd matty, job done at first bend, 5 helped for a laugh

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Thank goodness for the bias otherwise we'd have only won by 3!
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HutchGF
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« Reply #114714 on: March 11, 2016, 10:57:50 PM »

oioi wd matty, job done at first bend, 5 helped for a laugh

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Thank goodness for the bias otherwise we'd have only won by 3!

Autobet for me now! Cheers mate.
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AndrewT
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« Reply #114715 on: March 11, 2016, 11:39:15 PM »

10.40 - Be Witch 13/2 - Bitch running well at the moment and will cope with the step up in distance just needs to find a pitch round the first bend and has a chance at a big price.

Went off at threes and had a decent run but the fav in 6 got a flyer and was never getting beat.
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MattyHollis
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« Reply #114716 on: March 11, 2016, 11:40:26 PM »

10.40 - Be Witch 13/2 - Bitch running well at the moment and will cope with the step up in distance just needs to find a pitch round the first bend and has a chance at a big price.

Went off at threes and had a decent run but the fav in 6 got a flyer and was never getting beat.

Yeah jobbed up in the last. Bet all day long the 6 dog and is over at the first bend, we ran a good race considering.

Oh and the bias helped the 6 dog.
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arbboy
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« Reply #114717 on: March 12, 2016, 12:14:38 AM »

10.40 - Be Witch 13/2 - Bitch running well at the moment and will cope with the step up in distance just needs to find a pitch round the first bend and has a chance at a big price.

Went off at threes and had a decent run but the fav in 6 got a flyer and was never getting beat.

Yeah jobbed up in the last. Bet all day long the 6 dog and is over at the first bend, we ran a good race considering.

Oh and the bias helped the 6 dog.

Didn't need the bias to win.  Easy to see why it was backed all day long.  As soon as the bias was obvious early doors they just smashed in even more.  47.30 dog 3 months ago.  Bias just made it win by 12 lengths instead of 6 lengths.  Good night for everyone.  Wish it was always that straightforward.

Matty do potential going conditions which you have no control of in the slightest earlier in the day not put you off spending ages running round the shops getting on knowing you could potentially be on the wrong end of a gamble just because of the way the track runs?

« Last Edit: March 12, 2016, 12:17:38 AM by arbboy » Logged
MattyHollis
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« Reply #114718 on: March 12, 2016, 12:25:56 AM »

10.40 - Be Witch 13/2 - Bitch running well at the moment and will cope with the step up in distance just needs to find a pitch round the first bend and has a chance at a big price.

Went off at threes and had a decent run but the fav in 6 got a flyer and was never getting beat.

Yeah jobbed up in the last. Bet all day long the 6 dog and is over at the first bend, we ran a good race considering.

Oh and the bias helped the 6 dog.

Didn't need the bias to win.  Easy to see why it was backed all day long.  As soon as the bias was obvious early doors they just smashed in even more.  47.30 dog 3 months ago.  Bias just made it win by 12 lengths instead of 6 lengths.  Good night for everyone.  Wish it was always that straightforward.

Matty do potential going conditions which you have no control of in the slightest earlier in the day not put you off spending ages running round the shops getting on knowing you could potentially be on the wrong end of a gamble just because of the way the track runs?



Firstly : Whoooooosh. 

Secondly : LOL, would you bet anything ever if you were worried about such things? Yes granted if there were signs of a consistent bias (over the course of a few meetings) then I would be concerned/cautious however all BAGs this week have been fine round Romford so no indication of such bias.

I still don't agree with you on the bias front by the way, the track was flying (fast) early doors allowing a couple of big prices to get infront and not be caught - it slowed up later on in the meeting, I don't believe there was any real bias one way or the other tonight apart from for the dog that turned the corner infront early on.
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nellberg
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« Reply #114719 on: March 12, 2016, 12:39:16 AM »

Bad brokes have a cricket price boost tomorrow, Afghans and Scotland are 11/4. First game kicks off at 9.30am. Bet is listed under "daily price boosts".

Afghanistan are 1.89 on the machine, they were outsiders but have been steadily supported into favouritism over Zimbabwe. Extra pace of their attack could be the difference between the sides. Afghans' are ranked number 9 in the ICC T20I rankings, above Bangladesh. They have 79 ranking points compared to Zimbabwe (58 points in 11th place). They have a pretty competent side for an associate nation and look a lot more solid than Zimbabwe, who rely on a few individuals (Hamilton Mazakadza, Sean Williams).

Scotland are even shorter at 1.63 on the machine. They've have never won a game at a major event, but won't have a better chance than tomorrow against Hong Kong. Scotland are ranked ahead of Hong Kong (12th v 14th, 57 points to 46). They have the potential to have a decent top 3 and their young spinner Watt impressed me in the last game. They don't have a lot but they look to have the measure of Hong Kong, who may rely solely on their top order and have a very weak bowling attack.

Double pays just over 2/1 on bf, so 11/4 looks good value
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