Tips for Tikay

[sonour]

Looks inside at monmore bags this afternoon.

http://www.gbgb.org.uk/resultsRace.aspx?id=1876834

Unlike me to open my mouth and be right on a 123 combo tricast very next race!

Craving some Mrs Bandit kisses really!

So most online bookie sites have a max bet button, so why when you go in a shop won't they tell you how much you can have on ?

It often seems as if you ask for £1000 they offer you £50 but if you ask for £500 they offer you £100. It seems as if you ask for too much it really annoys them. Why don't they just tell us the maximum we can have ?

I don't understand the silly game we are playing.

Educate me Arb.

xx

[Tal]

Looks inside at monmore bags this afternoon.

http://www.gbgb.org.uk/resultsRace.aspx?id=1876834

Unlike me to open my mouth and be right on a 123 combo tricast very next race!

Craving some Mrs Bandit kisses really!

So most online bookie sites have a max bet button, so why when you go in a shop won't they tell you how much you can have on ?

It often seems as if you ask for £1000 they offer you £50 but if you ask for £500 they offer you £100. It seems as if you ask for too much it really annoys them. Why don't they just tell us the maximum we can have ?

I don't understand the silly game we are playing.

Educate me Arb.

xx

Is there a responsible gambling reason why they don't advertise the maximum bet? Could be interpreted as encouraging higher bets, I suppose.

Or do you mean the chap behind the counter should recognise the pleasant lady bearing cakes and say "Oh no, not you again! What have we got wrong this time and how much is it going to cost us to find out?"

[david3103]

Looks inside at monmore bags this afternoon.

http://www.gbgb.org.uk/resultsRace.aspx?id=1876834

Unlike me to open my mouth and be right on a 123 combo tricast very next race!

Craving some Mrs Bandit kisses really!

So most online bookie sites have a max bet button, so why when you go in a shop won't they tell you how much you can have on ?

It often seems as if you ask for £1000 they offer you £50 but if you ask for £500 they offer you £100. It seems as if you ask for too much it really annoys them. Why don't they just tell us the maximum we can have ?

I don't understand the silly game we are playing.

Educate me Arb.

xx

Is there a responsible gambling reason why they don't advertise the maximum bet? Could be interpreted as encouraging higher bets, I suppose.

Or do you mean the chap behind the counter should recognise the pleasant lady bearing cakes and say "Oh no, not you again! What have we got wrong this time and how much is it going to cost us to find out?"

I laughed. Thanks.

[MereNovice]

Can someone please explain why Serena is 5/2 to win the French Open?

Thought she would be around Evens (as i think she was last year).

Thanks in advance.

Really tough draw (Azarenka, Ivanovic and Kerber before she gets to the final)

Plus her sponsorship deal with Winalot hasn't gone as planned.

I think that the price for Serena Williams is based on her lack of dominance in recent times. She has only won one tournament since Cincinnati last year and has lost the last two Grand Slam events (Australia and the US Open). The draw has not affected her price despite being drawn to meet Azarenka in the quarter-finals potentially.

Azarenka has a back problem which I think will hamper her although she has had over a week to rest after her first round loss to Begu in Rome – it might even be worth backing Karin Knapp at 20/1 to beat her in the first round. Azarenka's tournament price has drifted on Betfair which may be an indication that people are unsure about her fitness.
Ivanovic is really no threat at all mainly due to her mental frailties and Kerber has been erratic since her win at the Australian Open. Kerber has lost in the opening round of her last two tournaments (Rome and Madrid) and both were on clay.
Serena won the “Premier 5” event in Rome on clay at a canter and looked calm throughout the tournament so I'd say that her lack of match practice (even by her standards) isn't too much of a worry.
Unibet have a price boost to 4/1 if you can get any of that.
I've backed Serena myself (along with half the field).

[Peter-27]

last year i put up the red bulls at 20 or 25-1 e/w for monaco

this year its 10-1 the pair, with both priced shorter than Raikkonen

meh.


anyway, i suppose we have done dafter bets

        Bet Type: Single
            Monaco GP - Race Winner Outright Winner
                Jenson Button 200/1
                Each Way: 1/3 1 - 2
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 2,686.67 GBP
    2 bets @
    10.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 20.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 2,686.67 GBP


        Bet Type: Single
            Monaco GP - Race Winner Outright Winner
                Fernando Alonso 150/1
                Each Way: 1/3 1 - 2
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 2,020.00 GBP
    2 bets @
    10.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 20.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 2,020.00 GBP


Coral would only lay a pound each way Alonso at 200s so i went where i knew we could get on

150/1 & 200/1? I wouldn't say that represents value on a top two finish for McLaren really .. but let's see what happens, you can get crazy results at Monaco.

Now we have hit 11k, I think it must be about time for peak banzai.

It is generally accepted in formula 1 that the engine has been letting down the McLaren over the last couple of years.  This year it has definitely improved so that they are genuine mid-tablers.  Over the last few days, I have heard it mentioned that they think they have the 3rd best chassis a couple of times.  Here is Alonso earlier    

http://www.crash.net/f1/news/230415/1/alonso-mclaren-has-stronger-chassis-than-ferrari.html


“We are behind Mercedes and Red Bull but they are very strong so we need to show in the next few races that we can improve our efficiency and mechanically grip,” Alonso said. “Maybe it is a surprise we are in front of many of our competitors but it is not for us. Good to be in front of Williams, Force India, Ferrari in terms of chassis.

I am fairly sure I read somewhere they were 3rd quickest in the tricky sector at the Spanish Grand Prix.

There is some testing going on in Barcelona today and Button is topping the charts, with a time a second quicker that in qualifying for the Spanish Grand Prix.  Of course they could have put something illegal on the car, but I think it is a sign they are still getting quicker.

http://www.motorsport.com/f1/news/barcelona-f1-test-button-leads-first-morning-for-mclaren-737589/

A week on Sunday we have the Monaco grand prix.  This is likely the grand prix where the engine makes least difference and the chassis is all important.  It is also the grand prix that has produced a number of shocks over the years.  Senna "won" here in the terrible Toleman; Trulli and Panis managed their only wins here;  and an inferior Rosberg has managed to beat Hamilton here 3 years running!

So I think we have a perfect combination here for a very good McLaren performance.  We could easily see a McLaren or 2 in the first 3 rows of the grid.

After that we have realistic hopes for a coming together of some Mercedes or Red Bulls, and there has been many a careless driver clipped a wall or hit a backmarker here.

There probably doesn't need to be much more justifcation for backing a 200/1 chance.

Button is 200/1 in several spots, and 250/1 with Shy.  Alonso is 200/1 in several spots.  It really is a shame we don't get 3 spots on each way now, but I think we can manage with 2.

Can we try and get as much as we can on Alonso (150 up) and Button (200 up) each way.  I guess you can stop once we get to £40 each way, not that we will get that far.  I managed to get a little more than that.  Choral is probably a good place to start.

If you fail you can have a fiver e/w Alonso at 150/1 and Button at 200/1 with me (I guess the prices aren't going to hold for long).

These are bets which will almost always lose, but I'm pretty sure we are the correct side of value with them, & I thought they were a great spot. Be handy if Nico & Lewis bang heads again on the first lap, too.

Love the Monaco GP, always a viewing highlight.

I love this bet.  Shame it got restricted by Tighty.  The price is going to look fantastic if they get on the front 3 rows.

I know these things are fairly meaningless, but I have loooked at the long range weather forecast on a couple of sites, and both have a bit of rain forecast for the end of next week, which can only help the bet. http://www.accuweather.com/en/mc/monaco/5174/daily-weather-forecast/5174?day=11.  

I do tend to take such things with a pinch of salt, but using the Peter27 happiness index, Jenson Button is in a good place right now too.

Click to see full-size image.

Tough life huh?

Note.  other pictures have been excluded as people may be at work.  
 

My happiness index? xD

[pleno1]

Mercier won a scoop!! Multiple finals too. Should be locked up I think.

[nellberg]

Pune 8/11 to beat Punjab in the early IPL game today to see who comes bottom. Both have nothing but pride to play for, so we could see some fringe players getting a game. Bit of rain around, winning the toss and bowling first could be the difference. Good luck us!

[tikay]

Pune 8/11 to beat Punjab in the early IPL game today to see who comes bottom. Both have nothing but pride to play for, so we could see some fringe players getting a game. Bit of rain around, winning the toss and bowling first could be the difference. Good luck us!

Nelly, ( & other cricket sorts)

T20 Blast

I noted a shrewd judge tipped Worcs for this & they started off with a comfy win last night.

They were tipped at 28/1 (1/2 odds, 1,2) but are now down to 20/1.

Whilst we have missed the 28/1 boat, are they still decent value @ 20/1?

[Peter-27]

Just an FYI thing; I have been looking for Formula E odds, haven't seen any as of yet. Qualifying within in the hour.

[McGlashan]

Mercier won a scoop!! Multiple finals too. Should be locked up I think.

Thank you Pleno.

[bergeroo]

What do you think about Bacsinszky or Keys to win the second quarter at 7/1?

Don't see how Kerber with her bad form can be such a favourite, even though it is a weakish quarter.
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/french-open/womens/player-to-win-2nd-quarter

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/french-open/womens/player-to-win-2nd-quarter

Can someone please explain why Serena is 5/2 to win the French Open?

Thought she would be around Evens (as i think she was last year).

Thanks in advance.

Really tough draw (Azarenka, Ivanovic and Kerber before she gets to the final)

Plus her sponsorship deal with Winalot hasn't gone as planned.

I think that the price for Serena Williams is based on her lack of dominance in recent times. She has only won one tournament since Cincinnati last year and has lost the last two Grand Slam events (Australia and the US Open). The draw has not affected her price despite being drawn to meet Azarenka in the quarter-finals potentially.

Azarenka has a back problem which I think will hamper her although she has had over a week to rest after her first round loss to Begu in Rome – it might even be worth backing Karin Knapp at 20/1 to beat her in the first round. Azarenka's tournament price has drifted on Betfair which may be an indication that people are unsure about her fitness.
Ivanovic is really no threat at all mainly due to her mental frailties and Kerber has been erratic since her win at the Australian Open. Kerber has lost in the opening round of her last two tournaments (Rome and Madrid) and both were on clay.
Serena won the “Premier 5” event in Rome on clay at a canter and looked calm throughout the tournament so I'd say that her lack of match practice (even by her standards) isn't too much of a worry.
Unibet have a price boost to 4/1 if you can get any of that.
I've backed Serena myself (along with half the field).

[bergeroo]

Keys always inconsistent but made the final in Rome and has a new coach

Bacsinszky we know has talent on clay. Don't think she can be backed outright or EW at 40s as in Serena's side of the draw. Potential tricky second round tie but also has Venus and Jankovic in her section so a relatively good draw as Keys is set up to meet Kerber before a possible match in the quarters with Bacsinszky.

[DropTheHammer]

I noted a shrewd judge tipped Worcs for this & they started off with a comfy win last night.

They were tipped at 28/1 (1/2 odds, 1,2) but are now down to 20/1.

Whilst we have missed the 28/1 boat, are they still decent value @ 20/1?

28-1 to 20-1 is a huge drop just for beating one of the weakest/least fancied teams. I would be inclined to wait until Worcester play the strong Birmingham Bears Warwickshire away in the next match. If they lose that then hopefully the odds will go out again?

[MereNovice]

What do you think about Bacsinszky or Keys to win the second quarter at 7/1?

Don't see how Kerber with her bad form can be such a favourite, even though it is a weakish quarter.
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/french-open/womens/player-to-win-2nd-quarter

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/french-open/womens/player-to-win-2nd-quarter

Can someone please explain why Serena is 5/2 to win the French Open?

Thought she would be around Evens (as i think she was last year).

Thanks in advance.

Really tough draw (Azarenka, Ivanovic and Kerber before she gets to the final)

Plus her sponsorship deal with Winalot hasn't gone as planned.

I think that the price for Serena Williams is based on her lack of dominance in recent times. She has only won one tournament since Cincinnati last year and has lost the last two Grand Slam events (Australia and the US Open). The draw has not affected her price despite being drawn to meet Azarenka in the quarter-finals potentially.

Azarenka has a back problem which I think will hamper her although she has had over a week to rest after her first round loss to Begu in Rome – it might even be worth backing Karin Knapp at 20/1 to beat her in the first round. Azarenka's tournament price has drifted on Betfair which may be an indication that people are unsure about her fitness.
Ivanovic is really no threat at all mainly due to her mental frailties and Kerber has been erratic since her win at the Australian Open. Kerber has lost in the opening round of her last two tournaments (Rome and Madrid) and both were on clay.
Serena won the “Premier 5” event in Rome on clay at a canter and looked calm throughout the tournament so I'd say that her lack of match practice (even by her standards) isn't too much of a worry.
Unibet have a price boost to 4/1 if you can get any of that.
I've backed Serena myself (along with half the field).

That's a good spot.
I was really impressed with Keys last time out in Rome where she lost to Serena Williams in the final. Clay is her worst surface and I've always thought that she's too inconsistent to win a Grand Slam event but that changed my mind.
I've backed her for Wimbledon.
Bacsinszky has a tough second round match against an improving Bouchard or the "feisty" Siegemund but I really like her attitude. Apart from that Bacsinszky has the weaker 1/8 of the draw and beat Keys in this event last year so I'd probably favour her. All three seeds in her 1/8 (Venus Williams, Jankovic and Niculescu) are in poor form.

What do you think?

[MereNovice]

Keys always inconsistent but made the final in Rome and has a new coach

Bacsinszky we know has talent on clay. Don't think she can be backed outright or EW at 40s as in Serena's side of the draw. Potential tricky second round tie but also has Venus and Jankovic in her section so a relatively good draw as Keys is set up to meet Kerber before a possible match in the quarters with Bacsinszky.

I was too slow with my reply!