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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16413401 times)
Karabiner
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« Reply #117630 on: May 22, 2016, 07:11:09 PM »

Minding  just got turned over in the irish guineas.

They must have been pretty confident about Jet Setting.

Supplemented for €30K which was almost exactly 3rd place money.
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« Reply #117631 on: May 22, 2016, 07:53:35 PM »

Minding  just got turned over in the irish guineas.

They must have been pretty confident about Jet Setting.

Supplemented for €30K which was almost exactly 3rd place money.

Is that made public before
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JohnCharver
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« Reply #117632 on: May 22, 2016, 08:23:02 PM »

Minding  just got turned over in the irish guineas.

They must have been pretty confident about Jet Setting.

Supplemented for €30K which was almost exactly 3rd place money.

Is that made public before

Its common knowledge yes. Its not always this positive a guide though, she was supplemented for the english guineas aswell. She obviously needs it soft. Claimed for 12k guineas as a four race maiden as a 2yo, all credit to the trainer.
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Karabiner
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« Reply #117633 on: May 22, 2016, 09:43:07 PM »

Go get 'em Tighty.

Dilly Ding etc.

Go on my cocker!

In the money now so best go for the gold.
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« Reply #117634 on: May 22, 2016, 09:55:57 PM »

Richard Prew is not just a regular at Dusk Till Dawn, but over the years, he has reported on thousands upon thousands of hands himself as a reporter in the poker industry. He’s generally based right here at DTD, and this weekend decided to give playing a shot instead for a change.

Having made the money, he was very short-stacked, but just decided that the time was right to make a move. Henry McGrathraised to 20,000 UTG and was called by big-stacked Mark Brockwell in the cut-off. Prew moved all-in over-the-top for around 80,000 and was only called by McGrath, who actually re-shoved only for Brockwell to dodge the pre-flop showdown. McGrath turned over and he was way ahead of Prew’s .

The flop of  gave Prew’s the open-straight possibilities, but he didn’t need them as the  landed on the turn, the  completing a winning hand for the gregarious personality on the river. McGrath is short-stacked now on 100,000, while Prew has double that. Brockwell is still looking very comfortable on 710,000, double the average in the tournament with 72 left.
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Killerkilsby
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« Reply #117635 on: May 22, 2016, 09:56:46 PM »

Richard Prew is not just a regular at Dusk Till Dawn, but over the years, he has reported on thousands upon thousands of hands himself as a reporter in the poker industry. He’s generally based right here at DTD, and this weekend decided to give playing a shot instead for a change.

Having made the money, he was very short-stacked, but just decided that the time was right to make a move. Henry McGrathraised to 20,000 UTG and was called by big-stacked Mark Brockwell in the cut-off. Prew moved all-in over-the-top for around 80,000 and was only called by McGrath, who actually re-shoved only for Brockwell to dodge the pre-flop showdown. McGrath turned over and he was way ahead of Prew’s .

The flop of  gave Prew’s the open-straight possibilities, but he didn’t need them as the  landed on the turn, the  completing a winning hand for the gregarious personality on the river. McGrath is short-stacked now on 100,000, while Prew has double that. Brockwell is still looking very comfortable on 710,000, double the average in the tournament with 72 left.


Couldn't C&P the cards. But cliffs: 44 v 1010. Flop 567. Turn 4
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tikay
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« Reply #117636 on: May 22, 2016, 09:58:07 PM »

Go get 'em Tighty.

Dilly Ding etc.

Go on my cocker!

In the money now so best go for the gold.

Go on Tighty, GL GL.
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« Reply #117637 on: May 22, 2016, 10:31:34 PM »

Mercier won a scoop!! Multiple finals too. Should be locked up I think.

Never easy, nkeyno second in the 1k horse and is 3/8 on 2k stud final

Gap closes to 35 points if we wins that, still probs needs Jason to brick everything today and tomorrow though



I think I read somewhere that an extra SCOOP event had been added halfway through, (after SCOOP had begun) & after the betting market was formed.

Is that correct, & if so, does the original market stand?

After the SNE debacle who knows what they'll try

When the market opened it was 5/1 Mercier 8/1 danzer then a bunch at 14/1 and some 33/1 rags. They were 5/2 Mercier 5/1 Danzer when the market was pulled and they were laying each of them to lose £5k

Seems reasonable to conclude that with the big movements they're likely to be losing chunks if Mercier wins it. Wouldn't surprise me if they tried to use the alteration to the schedule to weasel out of paying. In the press release they said that they'd be providing regular updates on their blog but there has only been one, could see them being pretty over the whole coup.


Don't think they would have a chance voiding - even IBAS would rule against them. 


I was more curious that if the betting market was formed on X number of events, then they add an event, it changes things, or can. The extra event can turn a winning bet into a loser, surely?

They have been adding extra horses to antepost markets for years and presumably do it with other markets, so changes in the make-up of a market have precedents.  Also I really can't see how such a minor change could possibly affect the odds.

 
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« Reply #117638 on: May 22, 2016, 10:37:32 PM »

Mercier should have it locked no matter what, he is number 1 on the whole scoop leaderboard I think. 5 or 6 final tables this week.
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« Reply #117639 on: May 22, 2016, 10:41:57 PM »

Mercier should have it locked no matter what, he is number 1 on the whole scoop leaderboard I think. 5 or 6 final tables this week.

Yeah, keyno bust the $2k stud in 6th, and he looked like the only one that could get close.
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« Reply #117640 on: May 22, 2016, 10:42:29 PM »

Go get 'em Tighty.

Dilly Ding etc.

Go on my cocker!

In the money now so best go for the gold.

Go on Tighty, GL GL.
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Geo the Sarge
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« Reply #117641 on: May 22, 2016, 10:43:04 PM »

Go get 'em Tighty.

Dilly Ding etc.

Go on my cocker!

In the money now so best go for the gold.

Go on Tighty, GL GL.

Good luck Tighty

Geo
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Chompy
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« Reply #117642 on: May 23, 2016, 09:42:02 AM »

Minding  just got turned over in the irish guineas.

They must have been pretty confident about Jet Setting.

Supplemented for €30K which was almost exactly 3rd place money.

Is that made public before

Its common knowledge yes. Its not always this positive a guide though, she was supplemented for the english guineas aswell. She obviously needs it soft. Claimed for 12k guineas as a four race maiden as a 2yo, all credit to the trainer.

Bought for 12,000gns at the autumn sales, rather than claimed. Not even Hannon would be clueless enough to run her in a seller/claimer.

Supplementary entries are always interesting. I remember Spinning World was supplemented for the Derby back in the early 90s before he ran as a 3yo. He turned out ok.

An extra event, or an extra ten events, shouldn't stop Mercier being paid out as a winner imo.
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« Reply #117643 on: May 23, 2016, 10:32:21 AM »

Good luck Tighty!
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« Reply #117644 on: May 23, 2016, 01:14:19 PM »

LVG gone
Bfsb 5/2 mourinho confirmed by midnight
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