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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13526742 times)
exstream
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« Reply #123585 on: November 18, 2016, 11:19:13 PM »

Hills are evens on BTTS in arsenal Man U game tomorrow st 10am for £20
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McGlashan
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« Reply #123586 on: November 18, 2016, 11:36:01 PM »

Forgive my ignorance,  George groves is 1/25 to win his fight tonight yet he's odds against to win by knockout.  I'd have assumed someone that short would be knocking him out,  no?

It's a good question to ask as last time we mentioned him in the thread he was a hyped puncher at 6/4 to KO Badou Jack and 11/4 for a points win. Tonight's KO price closed at evens so was probably a bit shorter than what you were looking at yet with questions over his gas tank I fancy Groves to be conservative down the stretch.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #123587 on: November 19, 2016, 09:47:58 AM »

i am away today but hopefully tikay is around. if not no worries, please put saturday ideas up for general use/brags and sweats

i note that racing punters have the thrills of heavy ground at Haydock to contend with, good luck!
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Doobs
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« Reply #123588 on: November 19, 2016, 09:54:31 AM »

Hi Doobs, my initial thought was Sivananco looks big price at 15/2

Seems about right to me.  Horse is a bit up and down and is probably on the slide.  But this may be its target, guess they won't want to bottom Cue Card on heavy ground if it looks like getting beat.  Long season and all that.  I have just done the 7/4 with Hills because I think I still get the offer.   Think this and a lot of the card is just for watching today.

Would have loved to have got Irish Cavalier with 3 places.

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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #123589 on: November 19, 2016, 09:55:45 AM »

i am away today but hopefully tikay is around. if not no worries, please put saturday ideas up for general use/brags and sweats

i note that racing punters have the thrills of heavy ground at Haydock to contend with, good luck!

Heading down the M1 to Watford?

If so, enjoy.

Rumour reaches me that Karabiner is heading north, to Old Trafford.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
TightEnd
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« Reply #123590 on: November 19, 2016, 09:59:58 AM »

i am away today but hopefully tikay is around. if not no worries, please put saturday ideas up for general use/brags and sweats

i note that racing punters have the thrills of heavy ground at Haydock to contend with, good luck!

Heading down the M1 to Watford?

If so, enjoy.

Rumour reaches me that Karabiner is heading north, to Old Trafford.

afraid not. nearly a month without a match now (nervous twitch, withdrawal symtpoms)
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
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« Reply #123591 on: November 19, 2016, 10:09:23 AM »

i am away today but hopefully tikay is around. if not no worries, please put saturday ideas up for general use/brags and sweats

i note that racing punters have the thrills of heavy ground at Haydock to contend with, good luck!

Heading down the M1 to Watford?

If so, enjoy.

Rumour reaches me that Karabiner is heading north, to Old Trafford.

afraid not. nearly a month without a match now (nervous twitch, withdrawal symtpoms)

Ahh, shame.

I hope your Daughter is on the mend now. It must have been a rotten time for you.
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exstream
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« Reply #123592 on: November 19, 2016, 10:59:29 AM »

Hi Doobs, my initial thought was Sivananco looks big price at 15/2

Seems about right to me.  Horse is a bit up and down and is probably on the slide.  But this may be its target, guess they won't want to bottom Cue Card on heavy ground if it looks like getting beat.  Long season and all that.  I have just done the 7/4 with Hills because I think I still get the offer.   Think this and a lot of the card is just for watching today.

Would have loved to have got Irish Cavalier with 3 places.



The William hill offer
If I'm reading it correctly, only applies now if the winner wins by 5 lengths+ right?
If race is won less than 5 lengths neither offer will apply
Still good?
« Last Edit: November 19, 2016, 11:19:09 AM by exstream » Logged
Killerkilsby
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« Reply #123593 on: November 19, 2016, 11:10:25 AM »

i am away today but hopefully tikay is around. if not no worries, please put saturday ideas up for general use/brags and sweats

i note that racing punters have the thrills of heavy ground at Haydock to contend with, good luck!

Heading down the M1 to Watford?

If so, enjoy.

Rumour reaches me that Karabiner is heading north, to Old Trafford.

If your coming down to the Watford game Tighty let me know, would be good to buy you a beer pre-match (may have to find a neutral venue though!)
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Lonohray2
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« Reply #123594 on: November 19, 2016, 11:23:20 AM »

2.25 Haydock is down to 13 runners and Betfair are paying 4 1/4!

Was originally on Unowhatimeanharry but declared a NR this morning

Westren Warrior has done well on Soft/Heavy in the past but has gone a little short to 7.5 on BFSB, the exchange has him at 7.8 but the 4 and a 1/4 makes the place terms very good.


Any opinions? Fred can have £25 e/w with me with BFSB!! If anyone else thinks there's value here
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Doobs
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« Reply #123595 on: November 19, 2016, 11:27:12 AM »

Hi Doobs, my initial thought was Sivananco looks big price at 15/2

Seems about right to me.  Horse is a bit up and down and is probably on the slide.  But this may be its target, guess they won't want to bottom Cue Card on heavy ground if it looks like getting beat.  Long season and all that.  I have just done the 7/4 with Hills because I think I still get the offer.   Think this and a lot of the card is just for watching today.

Would have loved to have got Irish Cavalier with 3 places.



The William hill offer
If I'm reading it correctly, only applies now if the winner wins by 5 lengths+ right?
If race is won less than 5 lengths neither offer will apply
Still good?

I had no idea it had changed.  

I haven't really got much of an idea how often races are won by more than 5 lengths, but suspect races like this are going to be more likely than handicaps.  Heavy ground is going to make distances bigger too.  

My intstinct is this must be generally worse than the previous offer, but today's race will likely be as good as any for the offer.  Assuming we get the 6 runners anyway.

Edit b365 are 2/1 cue card and 18/1 Irish Cavalier.  They were both beating bf just now.  And will get BOG on top too.  Crazy.
« Last Edit: November 19, 2016, 11:40:27 AM by Doobs » Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #123596 on: November 19, 2016, 11:32:45 AM »

2.25 Haydock is down to 13 runners and Betfair are paying 4 1/4!

Was originally on Unowhatimeanharry but declared a NR this morning

Westren Warrior has done well on Soft/Heavy in the past but has gone a little short to 7.5 on BFSB, the exchange has him at 7.8 but the 4 and a 1/4 makes the place terms very good.


Any opinions? Fred can have £25 e/w with me with BFSB!! If anyone else thinks there's value here

Looks fantastic to me.  I can't see the ts and cs on my mobile, but it still shows as quarter first 4.

Edit.  Sportsbook laid me 20 each way which was a pleasant surprise.  They normally limit me to 10% of that or less.  Will probably find that I am on at fifth first 2 now!

« Last Edit: November 19, 2016, 11:36:37 AM by Doobs » Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Lonohray2
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« Reply #123597 on: November 19, 2016, 11:39:40 AM »

I am lucky, I must check my history got to be some drunk punting somewhere.

OK £25e/w Westren Warrior 2.25 Haydock for Fred
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tikay
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« Reply #123598 on: November 19, 2016, 11:55:30 AM »

I am lucky, I must check my history got to be some drunk punting somewhere.

OK £25e/w Westren Warrior 2.25 Haydock for Fred

Thanks David, BOOKED.


BET PLACED
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youthnkzR
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« Reply #123599 on: November 19, 2016, 12:49:55 PM »

 Click to see full-size image.
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