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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16340135 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #125505 on: February 09, 2017, 05:40:36 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/adrian-lewis-v-dave-chisnall/winner

Up to £200 on draw at 7/2.  This is a flip game.   Would be happy laying Lewis at the prices as well to get draw onside that way as well.

i can't get £200 on the draw at any of the 7/2 shops

Draw adrian lewis v Chisnall Winner
7/2
Total Stake: £58.39
Potential Returns: £262.76
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« Reply #125506 on: February 09, 2017, 06:12:24 PM »

4.6 exchange
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arbboy
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« Reply #125507 on: February 09, 2017, 07:01:15 PM »

anything for tonight?

 Click to see full-size image.


Any thoughts on Barney at 1.75ish? I make him a solid favourite against the inconsistent Belgian.

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/kim-huybrechts-v-raymond-van-barneveld/winner

He is a very solid fav.  He is a 4/9 shot DNB.  How much shorter do you make him against Kim for 8/11 to be a bet with a draw included?

https://beta.racingpost.com/sport/darts/kim-can-continue-to-cause-van-barneveld-problems/274392

Most people will know i am not a fan of h2h records for punting purposes but the Barney one is quite eye opening even over a small sample.
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« Reply #125508 on: February 09, 2017, 07:20:11 PM »

Guys tell me if this is normal?

Basketball.

I had a feeling that LeBron James was going to be rested for the match tonight vs Oklahoma as the coach has been very cautious with him on back to back games, especially with travel involved, so I decided to bet Oklahoma+1 on the handicap when I woke up today at 19/20

A few hours later I got an email from BFSB saying "I am sending this e mail to tell you that because of a pricing error, your bet. Your bet will be settled at a price of 1/4. This is in line with our terms and condition under the 'Errors and Omissions' heading. We're sorry for any inconvenience caused.

Now still a few hours after this email there is still no official confirmation on any Cleveland players being rested or injured, just rumours. I don't understand how something can be a palp on the basis of rumours. A few books had early prices up that were similar, so it wasn't a typo by the trader. If the bookies can just massively move the line retrospectively on the basis of injury news that hasn't even been confirmed yet then that seems unfair - but I guess they are the ones in control huh and I suppose gg to my BFSB account very shortly too!
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« Reply #125509 on: February 09, 2017, 07:24:30 PM »

Guys tell me if this is normal?

Basketball.

I had a feeling that LeBron James was going to be rested for the match tonight vs Oklahoma as the coach has been very cautious with him on back to back games, especially with travel involved, so I decided to bet Oklahoma+1 on the handicap when I woke up today at 19/20

A few hours later I got an email from BFSB saying "I am sending this e mail to tell you that because of a pricing error, your bet. Your bet will be settled at a price of 1/4. This is in line with our terms and condition under the 'Errors and Omissions' heading. We're sorry for any inconvenience caused.

Now still a few hours after this email there is still no official confirmation on any Cleveland players being rested or injured, just rumours. I don't understand how something can be a palp on the basis of rumours. A few books had early prices up that were similar, so it wasn't a typo by the trader. If the bookies can just massively move the line retrospectively on the basis of injury news that hasn't even been confirmed yet then that seems unfair - but I guess they are the ones in control huh and I suppose gg to my BFSB account very shortly too!

 The Cavs coach said last night he was highly likley to rest their big 3 tonight.  I would love to know if they have adjusted punters who took the cavs -1 at 10/11 to 3/1 or 7/2?  I very much doubt it.

http://www.espn.co.uk/blog/cleveland-cavaliers/post/_/id/3632/tyronn-lue-toying-with-resting-the-big-three-against-the-thunder

This was written at 6am this morning UK time.  

Having looked some more into it it looked like it might be an error tbh.  The money line was 2/5 at its biggest with BFSB according to oddschecker records this morning around 730am uk time.

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/cleveland-cavaliers-at-oklahoma-city-thunder/winner/bet-history/oklahoma-city-thunder/all-history
« Last Edit: February 09, 2017, 07:28:43 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #125510 on: February 09, 2017, 07:32:58 PM »

I woke up really late and bet this at about noon UK time - I can double check for sure. At that time BFSB, PP, Coral ( I think?) and Winner had prices listed on oddschecker that were all reasonably similar with the line between 0.5 and 1.5 Marathon were on there too if, but if I recall but much shorter. BFSB emailed me about 3pm saying they changed the price...

Yeah I read about that this morning. He has speculated before on resting players. I think LeBron will be rested for sure but there has still been no confirmation either way.

I actually haven't really done hardly any match betting with UK bookies for basketball (only some season long bets), I just play DFS on draftkings most days. If they can just move the price when they here about possible breaking news several hours after your bet, then I guess I'll give it a swerve in future. At least they let me cancel the bet I now had at 1/4!
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arbboy
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« Reply #125511 on: February 09, 2017, 07:34:28 PM »

I woke up really late and bet this at about noon UK time - I can double check for sure. At that time BFSB, PP, Coral ( I think?) and Winner had prices listed on oddschecker that were all reasonably similar with the line between 0.5 and 1.5 Marathon were on there too if, but if I recall but much shorter. BFSB emailed me about 3pm saying they changed the price...

Yeah I read about that this morning. He has speculated before on resting players. I think LeBron will be rested for sure but there has still been no confirmation either way.

I actually haven't really done hardly any match betting with UK bookies for basketball (only some season long bets), I just play DFS on draftkings most days. If they can just move the price when they here about possible breaking news several hours after your bet, then I guess I'll give it a swerve in future. At least they let me cancel the bet I now had at 1/4!

Looks a pretty good bet to me still at 1/4.  I wouldn't be cancelling it.
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« Reply #125512 on: February 09, 2017, 07:35:33 PM »

fair enough. Maybe I somehow got an old version of the oddchecker page that hadn't been updated and the price on betfair also hadn't been updated when I clicked through?
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« Reply #125513 on: February 09, 2017, 08:08:55 PM »

I blame Arbs for making me do a draws trixie on the arrers tonight.
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« Reply #125514 on: February 09, 2017, 08:12:59 PM »

I blame Arbs for making me do a draws trixie on the arrers tonight.

Bad night for them tonight generally.  Which 3 games you trixied up Ralph?
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« Reply #125515 on: February 09, 2017, 08:23:43 PM »

I blame Arbs for making me do a draws trixie on the arrers tonight.

Bad night for them tonight generally.  Which 3 games you trixied up Ralph?

The first two and the last one.
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« Reply #125516 on: February 09, 2017, 08:32:06 PM »

Looks mid/wide at Monmore tonight from the early results.  Racing til 915pm.  Odds on poke which stays longer than the mother in law just led and got picked up in the last round the outside.  Earlier results suggests inside not going that well. 
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« Reply #125517 on: February 09, 2017, 09:23:56 PM »

bah
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« Reply #125518 on: February 09, 2017, 09:24:50 PM »

I blame Arbs for making me do a draws trixie on the arrers tonight.

Bad night for them tonight generally.  Which 3 games you trixied up Ralph?

The first two and the last one.

You knew Ralph.  Good luck in the lucky last.  That would have been grade a theft if Taylor had won that game.  Lovely rub down by Wade in the interview afterwards!
« Last Edit: February 09, 2017, 09:33:45 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #125519 on: February 09, 2017, 10:35:59 PM »

Fuming if you backed a whitewash at 2/5 at any point in the PL darts!  7-0 must have been a 1/20 poke in running there!
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