Tips for Tikay

[ripple11]

Sane has an assist on FF if that helps 

Hope so, but I have no idea how they settle these things, or what the standard reference point is.

Enjoyable and unusual bet for us though, rather enjoyable too.

We've got a double sweat, so extra value

Still pending.

Ooh, the excitement.

Incred sweats!!

Opened PP, and was showing my balance as it was after placing the bet.

Click 'My Bets', so I could see if they were still open, and they had both disappeared.

Presumed settled as losers, but clicked my account to check, and BOOMIO!

He's not all bad, hhyftr... Well, for a City fan

nice one cheers hhyftr...

[hhyftrftdr]

Kebabs are on me.

Glad PP didn't fuck us over with that assist

[tikay]

Kebabs are on me.

Glad PP didn't fuck us over with that assist

You'll have your own little fan club on here at this rate - I gather plenty of Freddies followed you in.

[Marky147]

Kebabs are on me.

Glad PP didn't fuck us over with that assist

Boyles would have been a million to pay.

Great shout, thanks very much.

[samurai]

Stoke Central By-Election takes place on 23rd of this month. On the face of it a two horse race between UKIP and Labour who are defending the seat.

 However there are a few reasons why it might be worth digging a bit deeper here. The Labour party under Corbyn are generally unpopular and the candidate they have selected is a Remain supporter in an area which was strongly in favour of Leave in the EU referendum. Ukip are vying for favouritism after finishing second just ahead of the Tories here in 2015. UKIP are notoriously poor and disorganised at getting their vote out on the day and had a high profile flop in a by-election in Oldham last year, they are also rumoured to be struggling to attract Tory voters here whose support is vital to them ...additionally their candidate party leader Pauil Nuttall has run into some problems with regard to some embellishments on his CV and attempting to make his address a Stoke one which it wasn't.

The Tories aren't campaigning that hard here as their focus is more on the Copeland election which takes place on the same day.

 Which leaves the Lib Dems....if you ignore their appalling result in 2015 when they were hugley unpopular nationwide their performance in Stoke Central have been reasonable with second places in 2005 and 2010. THey have been winning local elections all over the country including in Leave supporting areas like Sunderland since the referendum campaigning primarily as the party of Remain. Whilst in a Leave voting area like Stoke this might be considered a negative in this instance all the parties opposing them are in favour of Leave so could potentially split the Leave vote 3 ways. They are also campaigning extremely hard here.
 
Stoke had the lowest turnout of voters as a percentage in any UK constituency in the last General Election, it's not unlikely that turnout on a wintery Thursday here could be as low as 35 percent. What this potentially means is that if the Lib Dems can get out the support of most of the Remain minded supporters in the constituency (something they are traditionally very good at) then they could feasibly defeat the other 3 parties with as little as just over 30 percent of the vote.

It's not likely to happen and I think Labour will cling on but when the odds available are as high as 51 on Betfair and 40's with 365 it looks like their is at least a bit of value pie there. Any psephologists out there got any thoughts? Tight End?

[TightEnd]

Stoke Central By-Election takes place on 23rd of this month. On the face of it a two horse race between UKIP and Labour who are defending the seat.

 However there are a few reasons why it might be worth digging a bit deeper here. The Labour party under Corbyn are generally unpopular and the candidate they have selected is a Remain supporter in an area which was strongly in favour of Leave in the EU referendum. Ukip are vying for favouritism after finishing second just ahead of the Tories here in 2015. UKIP are notoriously poor and disorganised at getting their vote out on the day and had a high profile flop in a by-election in Oldham last year, they are also rumoured to be struggling to attract Tory voters here whose support is vital to them ...additionally their candidate party leader Pauil Nuttall has run into some problems with regard to some embellishments on his CV and attempting to make his address a Stoke one which it wasn't.

The Tories aren't campaigning that hard here as their focus is more on the Copeland election which takes place on the same day.

 Which leaves the Lib Dems....if you ignore their appalling result in 2015 when they were hugley unpopular nationwide their performance in Stoke Central have been reasonable with second places in 2005 and 2010. THey have been winning local elections all over the country including in Leave supporting areas like Sunderland since the referendum campaigning primarily as the party of Remain. Whilst in a Leave voting area like Stoke this might be considered a negative in this instance all the parties opposing them are in favour of Leave so could potentially split the Leave vote 3 ways. They are also campaigning extremely hard here.
 
Stoke had the lowest turnout of voters as a percentage in any UK constituency in the last General Election, it's not unlikely that turnout on a wintery Thursday here could be as low as 35 percent. What this potentially means is that if the Lib Dems can get out the support of most of the Remain minded supporters in the constituency (something they are traditionally very good at) then they could feasibly defeat the other 3 parties with as little as just over 30 percent of the vote.

It's not likely to happen and I think Labour will cling on but when the odds available are as high as 51 on Betfair and 40's with 365 it looks like their is at least a bit of value pie there. Any psephologists out there got any thoughts? Tight End?

hello.

you've covered a lot of the main points

I have a bit of a problem though, as Neil has asked me to tip it up for Friday and I have just written tapped out 1,012 words this morning so have to keep schtum or else my work (which may be correct or incorrect) is wasted

Friday!

[samurai]

Ok. I'l be interested to hear your thoughts!!

[neeko]

We could bet on the Russian election for president next year. Somehow Putin is  4/1 on  - can't see him getting less than 150% of the vote.

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/european-politics/russian-presidential-election/winner

13 months is probably too far in the future but the price has to be wrong.

[Ironside]

We could bet on the Russian election for president next year. Somehow Putin is  4/1 on  - can't see him getting less than 150% of the vote.

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/european-politics/russian-presidential-election/winner

13 months is probably too far in the future but the price has to be wrong.

got to factor in death in a nuclear war into the odds sounds about right now ;-)

[BigAdz]

We could bet on the Russian election for president next year. Somehow Putin is  4/1 on  - can't see him getting less than 150% of the vote.

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/european-politics/russian-presidential-election/winner

13 months is probably too far in the future but the price has to be wrong.

got to factor in death in a nuclear war into the odds sounds about right now ;-)

I struggle to ever be as bullish as Arb, but yes, unless he dies, or we all do, this is a cert.

[Karabiner]

We could bet on the Russian election for president next year. Somehow Putin is  4/1 on  - can't see him getting less than 150% of the vote.

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/european-politics/russian-presidential-election/winner

13 months is probably too far in the future but the price has to be wrong.

Especially now he's just had his most dangerous/popular opponent disqualified from standing.

[ripple11]

 Wiiii.... arb will soon be along to super max fred with a Putin/Seville double.

[Ironside]

13 months with trump/putin i am sure we will all be dead

[Marky147]

13 months with trump/putin i am sure we will all be dead

Hope not!

I bet that Putin suggestion when it was put up before @ around evens, iirc.

[Weetabix]

Benoit paire seems a little on the big side at 5/2 v cillic, 6.30pm sky sports