Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

How "Bettor X" made it a wild world series for Vegas

http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/21274045/mlb-mattress-promotions-mystery-big-bettor-ticket-brokers-hedging-was-wild-world-series-las-vegas

[arbboy]

How "Bettor X" made it a wild world series for Vegas

http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/21274045/mlb-mattress-promotions-mystery-big-bettor-ticket-brokers-hedging-was-wild-world-series-las-vegas

You can't eat value.  Safe to say the other side of the story they are not reporting is that bundles of price sensitive arbers/pro punters will have done fortunes betting the other side at the 'right' price.

[Tal]

Thoughts on the New York Giants? They're trying to beat a buoyant Rams team, who are coming off a restful bye, and hoping to win a game with barely any wide receivers, offensive linemen or defenders. And the running game is anaemic. They have a tight end called Evan Engram, but he matches up badly against the Rams linebackers. The one thing Eli Manning hates more than anything else is pressure through the middle and Aaron Donald (who is trying to negotiate a huge contract for next season) must be getting the knife and fork out for this delicious opportunity to indulge in sacks.

I'm looking at markets like 11/2 no NYG touchdown (https://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/los-angeles-rams-at-new-york-giants/total-new-york-giants-touchdowns) and 19/10 under 15 NYG points (https://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/los-angeles-rams-at-new-york-giants/total-new-york-giants-points). Could easily see this being a blowout.

Views welcome.

[Ironside]

Thoughts on the New York Giants? They're trying to beat a buoyant Rams team, who are coming off a restful bye, and hoping to win a game with barely any wide receivers, offensive linemen or defenders. And the running game is anaemic. They have a tight end called Evan Engram, but he matches up badly against the Rams linebackers. The one thing Eli Manning hates more than anything else is pressure through the middle and Aaron Donald (who is trying to negotiate a huge contract for next season) must be getting the knife and fork out for this delicious opportunity to indulge in sacks.

I'm looking at markets like 11/2 no NYG touchdown (https://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/los-angeles-rams-at-new-york-giants/total-new-york-giants-touchdowns) and 19/10 under 15 NYG points (https://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/los-angeles-rams-at-new-york-giants/total-new-york-giants-points). Could easily see this being a blowout.

Views welcome.

i think the stand out bet is higbee at 4-1 for TD NYG have con-seeded a TD to a TE in most if not all games this season shybet have noticed this and are 5-2 most other places are around 4-1

[Ironside]

Thoughts on the New York Giants? They're trying to beat a buoyant Rams team, who are coming off a restful bye, and hoping to win a game with barely any wide receivers, offensive linemen or defenders. And the running game is anaemic. They have a tight end called Evan Engram, but he matches up badly against the Rams linebackers. The one thing Eli Manning hates more than anything else is pressure through the middle and Aaron Donald (who is trying to negotiate a huge contract for next season) must be getting the knife and fork out for this delicious opportunity to indulge in sacks.

I'm looking at markets like 11/2 no NYG touchdown (https://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/los-angeles-rams-at-new-york-giants/total-new-york-giants-touchdowns) and 19/10 under 15 NYG points (https://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/los-angeles-rams-at-new-york-giants/total-new-york-giants-points). Could easily see this being a blowout.

Views welcome.

i think the stand out bet is higbee at 4-1 for TD NYG have con-seeded a TD to a TE in most if not all games this season shybet have noticed this and are 5-2 most other places are around 4-1

less than 5 minutes in love it when i dont need to sweat it in

[RickBFA]

Watford go from 2-0 up to losing 3-2 ffs

[Doobs]

Watford go from 2-0 up to losing 3-2 ffs

With no help from king bok?

[RickBFA]

Watford go from 2-0 up to losing 3-2 ffs

With no help from king bok?

I can manage it without any third party help :-)

[tikay]

Watford go from 2-0 up to losing 3-2 ffs

With no help from king bok?

Not Guilty, M'Lord

[Tal]

Thoughts on the New York Giants? They're trying to beat a buoyant Rams team, who are coming off a restful bye, and hoping to win a game with barely any wide receivers, offensive linemen or defenders. And the running game is anaemic. They have a tight end called Evan Engram, but he matches up badly against the Rams linebackers. The one thing Eli Manning hates more than anything else is pressure through the middle and Aaron Donald (who is trying to negotiate a huge contract for next season) must be getting the knife and fork out for this delicious opportunity to indulge in sacks.

I'm looking at markets like 11/2 no NYG touchdown (https://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/los-angeles-rams-at-new-york-giants/total-new-york-giants-touchdowns) and 19/10 under 15 NYG points (https://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/los-angeles-rams-at-new-york-giants/total-new-york-giants-points). Could easily see this being a blowout.

Views welcome.

Final score: Rams 51 Giants 17.

Right desert, wrong tent.

Big win for Carolina, though, against a divisional rivals. The danger now is the Saints, who continue to win.

[Tal]

Kansas City Chiefs @ Dallas Cowboys

I've been studying this game this morning.

The Chiefs started out as the Dallas Texans, such is the way with the business of American Football. They are now separated both a proclaimeresque 500 miles and in different conferences, so they don't play often.

Indeed, the last time Kansas City beat Dallas in Dallas, this was number one in the UK:



They have met 10 times some and split it 6-4, but all 4 Chiefs wins were out of Texas.

I'm hot on Dallas tonight, but that's not the bet I'm putting up today.

The Chiefs have two big pieces of their offensive line returning in Mitch Morse and Laurent Duvernay-Tardif back from injuries. They're both mainly good for the running game, but having a proper O-Line is huge for a team.
 
The Cowboys have one good cornerback and then have difficulty in the air. Expect Alex Smith to target players on the outside to pressure the vulnerable secondary, particularly if the ground game isn't firing (one point of note is the Cowboys don't give up big plays on the ground - just 3 of 20 yards or more all season).

Travis Kelce is effectively the number 2 wide receiver in times of strife for this team and you can get over 57.5 receiving yards with Scuy, where I would be looking at 10 more for a fair line. Dallas are generally good against tight ends in the endzone, but we don't need to worry about that.

Fred can't do that of course.

The key to Dallas's success is so often the running game. Zeke Elliott has had his suspension suspension suspension suspended, so he plays tonight. It must be having an effect on the lad, psychologically. How can it not? But the punters look at a porous KC run defense and want to buy his yards.

Scuy are 120.5. That's an enormous amount of yards. For me, he's even money to break the ton. I am expecting a high scoring game (55 is the line) and that tends to hurt the running backs.

Fred might well fancy the Rrrred Zone Sports u140.5 combined rushing and receiving yards. The Chiefs are the best in the league at defending passes to running backs (football outsiders).

Recommend £33 at 10/11 on Ezekiel Elliott under 140.5 combined R&R yards.

Let's hope for some ground control from Kansas City.

If anyone were daft enough to have backed these, final scores were:

Dallas won

Elliott 93 rushing yards 0 receiving yards

Kelce 73 receiving yards.

Didn't watch the game, so no idea if these were lucky.

[Stopsleyhatter]

Kansas City Chiefs @ Dallas Cowboys

I've been studying this game this morning.

The Chiefs started out as the Dallas Texans, such is the way with the business of American Football. They are now separated both a proclaimeresque 500 miles and in different conferences, so they don't play often.

Indeed, the last time Kansas City beat Dallas in Dallas, this was number one in the UK:



They have met 10 times some and split it 6-4, but all 4 Chiefs wins were out of Texas.

I'm hot on Dallas tonight, but that's not the bet I'm putting up today.

The Chiefs have two big pieces of their offensive line returning in Mitch Morse and Laurent Duvernay-Tardif back from injuries. They're both mainly good for the running game, but having a proper O-Line is huge for a team.
 
The Cowboys have one good cornerback and then have difficulty in the air. Expect Alex Smith to target players on the outside to pressure the vulnerable secondary, particularly if the ground game isn't firing (one point of note is the Cowboys don't give up big plays on the ground - just 3 of 20 yards or more all season).

Travis Kelce is effectively the number 2 wide receiver in times of strife for this team and you can get over 57.5 receiving yards with Scuy, where I would be looking at 10 more for a fair line. Dallas are generally good against tight ends in the endzone, but we don't need to worry about that.

Fred can't do that of course.

The key to Dallas's success is so often the running game. Zeke Elliott has had his suspension suspension suspension suspended, so he plays tonight. It must be having an effect on the lad, psychologically. How can it not? But the punters look at a porous KC run defense and want to buy his yards.

Scuy are 120.5. That's an enormous amount of yards. For me, he's even money to break the ton. I am expecting a high scoring game (55 is the line) and that tends to hurt the running backs.

Fred might well fancy the Rrrred Zone Sports u140.5 combined rushing and receiving yards. The Chiefs are the best in the league at defending passes to running backs (football outsiders).

Recommend £33 at 10/11 on Ezekiel Elliott under 140.5 combined R&R yards.

Let's hope for some ground control from Kansas City.

If anyone were daft enough to have backed these, final scores were:

Dallas won

Elliott 93 rushing yards 0 receiving yards

Kelce 73 receiving yards.

Didn't watch the game, so no idea if these were lucky.

Well done,missed these anddidn’t get on myself unfortunately.

[tikay]

I can barely believe this is genuine;

[booder]

Oh it is genuine.

Rumour has it Liverpool have offered 40 million for him.

[arbboy]

https://medium.com/@tony_calvin/honesty-and-acceptance-between-bookmaker-and-punter-may-put-an-end-to-the-bad-feeling-e63a1bc1bf78

http://www.stokesentinel.co.uk/news/bet365-success-profits-hit-514-735052

Couple of articles worth a read