Tips for Tikay

[MereNovice]

Beautifully presented summary Mr Mere, thank you.

I think, given the way you have laid that out, I'll go for both.

Will get to work shortly, thank you, assuming we have any shillings left in the piggy bank.

I'll do yesterdays Update first, though, as I would prefer not to incluide that bet in yesterday's numbers. One or two a day suits just nicely.

Thanks but I'm a bit worried that you're choosing your bets based on presentation skills!

[tikay]

Beautifully presented summary Mr Mere, thank you.

I think, given the way you have laid that out, I'll go for both.

Will get to work shortly, thank you, assuming we have any shillings left in the piggy bank.

I'll do yesterdays Update first, though, as I would prefer not to incluide that bet in yesterday's numbers. One or two a day suits just nicely.

Thanks but I'm a bit worried that you're choosing your bets based on presentation skills!

Almost true - it does help me - & the Pros - if a proper case for the bet is made, imo.

Anyway, I need one of yours to go badly south, so we can give you the ChipRich treatment.

[tikay]

This does NOT include the Camel (Sunderland v QPR) & Mere (Cricket) recommends, it is struck pre those, which will be included tomorrow, as I have yet to place either.


March Account.

Investments;

Dubai, PL Darts, Anderson 180's, £50 (unsettled)

Chompy, Cloudy Lane, Chelters, £25 (lost)

Bobby, Leishman, Golf (£20, lost)

Camel, Barnet relegation, (£50, unsettled)

Camel, Al Ferof, Chelters, (£50, lost)

Dubai, Darts Bet # 1, £50 (WON, returned £91.67)

Dubai, Darts Bet # 2, £66 (LOST)

Dubai, Darts Bet # 3, £110 (LOST)

Dubai, Darts bet # 4, £48,  (WON, returned £88)

Snowball, Cricket, £50 (lost)

Mere, RL Scorer, £50 (WON, returned £110)

Whisper, 'Boro, £25, (WON returned £48.50)

maldini, WBA, £25 (WON, returned £82.67)

Ralph, Rory Lay, £120 (lost)

Dubai, CL Goals, £75 (WON, returned £135)

Dubai, CL Result, £60 (WON, returned £129)

Mere, Cricket, SA v NZ, £50 (lost)

Chumpy, Blackpool football, £100 (lost)

Dubai, Darts, £120 (Lost)

Simon G, Chelt Top Trainer, £50 (WON, returned £200)

Dean, San Antonio, £100 (lost)

ChipRich, Brighton, £100 (WON)

Tighty, Arsenal Novelty Bet, £30 (lost)

redarmi, BM CL lay (£22, lost)

ACE2M, PP FB enhanced, (£20, lost)

MahagonyVic, Finians Rainbow (£50 EW, WON, returned £412.50)

Pokercade, The New One, (£25EW, lost)

Chompy, Bilbao v Man U (£50, WON, returned £143.75)

Tighty, Napoli, (£50 x 2, lost)

Redarmi, OW & TS (£50x2, lost)

Bobby, Gold Cup “WO” top 2 (£50, lost)

Fraser B, Wigan, DNB (£100, returned £100)

Horseplayer, $$ Mick (£50, lost)

Horseplayer, Pugnacity, (£20, lost)

Camel, Barnet, (£50 @11/2, unsettled)

Dazzler, Man C, (£50, WON, returned £95.45)

ChipRich, Leeds, (£50, lost)

Fraser, QPR v ‘Pool, (£100, lost)

Tighty,  Blackpool, (£80, lost)

Horseplayer horse, (£40, unsettled)

Jaffa, Hornets, (£50, lost)

Total invested = £2,506.00

_____________________________

Returns


PL Darts # 1, (Dubai) £91.67

PL Darts # 4, (Dubai) £88

RL, Scorer, (Mere), £110

M'Boro (Whisper) £48.50

WBA (maldini), £82.67

Arsenal Goals (Dubai) £135

Arsenal Result (Dubai) £129

Brighton (ChipRich), £206

Cheltenham (Mahagony Vic) £412.50

Simon G (Top Trainer) £200

Chompy, (Bilbao) £143.75

Fraser B (Wigan) £100

Man C, Dazzler, £95.45

Total Returns = £1,840.87

__________________________

March Profit/Loss = £2,506 minus £1,841 = £665 loss. (Includes £195 cost of unsettled bets)

3 Unsettled bets , Anderson, Barnet, Horseplayer nag (3 bets), = £195     

[tikay]

The Excuse File....

An incredible night of swings, swongs, & swungs on the football.

We could have won or lost all three, everything was in doubt until the final whistles, but we lost 2-1 on the three bets.

Liverpool looked home & hosed - unlucky Fraser! - Blackpool were ahead but failed to hold, but Man City came from behind & got home, welcome to the winners circle Mr Dazzler.

A later NBA bet went awry, too, after a blitz by the oppo late in the 2nd quarter.

We have a horse (shout it out, Prince Monolulu style) running this afternoon at a big price, 17/2 I think. Needs to run a big race, we are on the slide this week.

I'll post the Camel & Mere bets later, after I have invested.

Barnet play tomorrow, we could use that one going for us.

I will be unavailable for degen purposes from 5pm until Miidnight this evening, I have to work tonight. Normal service resumes tomorrow, & I am off work all weekend.

[tikay]

probably wont last long this price so hope you can get on

FLORIO VINCITORE 14-1 VC BET (im happy to take anything above 8-1) for my max eway bet 2.30 wolverhampton tommorow

reasoning

moved from a pretty poor yard to one of better all weather / any yards

got a good draw

this is a fairly big rise in class but the horse has more than shown ability for its previous stable, when you also consider its been ridden by two very low percentage jockeys for most of its career then there should be improvement there as well



This is a decent race for the grade but these owners dont tend to mess about and i expect some pretty big improvement tommorow

Currently a best priced 11/1, though a couple go as low as 7/1, including BetVictor. I moved the market.

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/wolverhampton/14:35

[horseplayer]

it is a competitive race tikay

the price you have taken is about right imo with the doubts chompy quite rightly expressed (this is a good race distance query e.t.c) the 14-1 last night was just silly

[tikay]

Over 22300 views. Guess there is not only you enjoying this Tikay

Good spot, not so bad in 50 or so days, giving a daily click-rate of around 450, which is quite good for the Betting Board I would think.

I was in Grosvenor Luton last night & half the room were telling me they read it, most of whom are not Members. Yet.

Tremendous fun, & I've loved every day of it. Takes a little work each morning, but well worth the effort.

I was hoping we might nick a few bob one month, even if only £500 or a grand, & we could buy ourselves a little A8 grader (greyhound) to have some fun with, but that looks optimistic right now, we can barely afford the bunny.

Great thread, Dewi.

[tikay]

Cricket
New Zealand v South Africa 3rd Test
South Africa to win at evens on Sporting Bet

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/new-zealand-v-south-africa/new-zealand-v-south-africa-tests/new-zealand-v-south-africa-[3rd-test]/winner

Sporting Bet seem out of line with all the other bookies who seem to vary from 1.67 to 1.8 for South Africa.

Pros:
SA have a vastly superior team.
SA thumped NZ in the 2nd Test.
The pitch is forecast to offer something for both (good) batsmen and bowlers.

Cons:
NZ are likely to pick a stronger batting line-up than in the first two tests.
There may be rain during the match (although nothing heavy is forecast).
http://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/wellington

Another good (probably better) bet is South African top bowler where you can get Vernon Philander at 5/2 on several sites. This market is for the bowler who takes most wickets for his team in the first innings. Philander has been a winner for this bet in both the first two test and took ten wickets in total in the 2nd test.
It's really a two horse race between him and Dale Steyn (also available at 5/2) but I favour Philander and those odds seem very favourable for a slightly better than evens shot in my eyes.

Bully-off is at 9:30pm tonight.

If you're just looking to take one bet, go with Philander for best bowler.

Top SA Bowler - Philander - ON

£50 @ 5/2, Blue Square.

Selection 1
 
Selection Vernon Philander @ 5/2 
Market
 Top Wicket Taker (1st Inns) - SA
 
Event
 New Zealand v South Africa
3rd Test - New Zealand v South Africa
2012-03-23 21:30:00
 
Bet Type
 
Bet Type
 Win Single
 
Unit Stake
 £50.00
 
Number of Units
 x1
 
Total Stake
 £50.00
 
Time and Date Placed
 2012-03-22 11:52:23
 
Receipt Number
 O/0891659/0000004
 

[tikay]

Cricket
New Zealand v South Africa 3rd Test
South Africa to win at evens on Sporting Bet

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/new-zealand-v-south-africa/new-zealand-v-south-africa-tests/new-zealand-v-south-africa-[3rd-test]/winner

Sporting Bet seem out of line with all the other bookies who seem to vary from 1.67 to 1.8 for South Africa.

Pros:
SA have a vastly superior team.
SA thumped NZ in the 2nd Test.
The pitch is forecast to offer something for both (good) batsmen and bowlers.

Cons:
NZ are likely to pick a stronger batting line-up than in the first two tests.
There may be rain during the match (although nothing heavy is forecast).
http://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/wellington

Another good (probably better) bet is South African top bowler where you can get Vernon Philander at 5/2 on several sites. This market is for the bowler who takes most wickets for his team in the first innings. Philander has been a winner for this bet in both the first two test and took ten wickets in total in the 2nd test.
It's really a two horse race between him and Dale Steyn (also available at 5/2) but I favour Philander and those odds seem very favourable for a slightly better than evens shot in my eyes.

Bully-off is at 9:30pm tonight.

If you're just looking to take one bet, go with Philander for best bowler.

SA to win match - ON

£50 with Sporting Bet @ Evens. (Unable to c & p bet slip)

[tikay]

I hope this bet loses.

But I'm certain it's value.

£100 Sunderland to beat QPR at Evs with Bet365

Rangers will be physically and emotionally shot after tonight's heroics.

It is almost the perfect let down spot. An unfancied team makes a huge comeback and then faces a long road trip versus a strong home team.

Sunderland were poor on Tuesday but that came very soon after an important cup tie.

Since Martin O'Neill took over, Sunderlands home form has been immense. They've beaten Man City, Arsenal (in the cup) and Liverpool.

O'Neill will not stand for another performance of the quality of Tuesday's defeat at Blackburn.

Evens is huge.

I hope this bet loses.

ON

£100, BetVictor @ Evens

You have successfully placed 1 bet(s)

Total possible returns 200.00

BET RECEIPT Single Selections
Sunderland v QPR
Sunderland
(Match Betting)
Odds:  1/1
Stake:  100.00
Possible Return:  200.00

[tikay]

I hope this bet loses.

But I'm certain it's value.

£100 Sunderland to beat QPR at Evs with Bet365

Rangers will be physically and emotionally shot after tonight's heroics.

It is almost the perfect let down spot. An unfancied team makes a huge comeback and then faces a long road trip versus a strong home team.

Sunderland were poor on Tuesday but that came very soon after an important cup tie.

Since Martin O'Neill took over, Sunderlands home form has been immense. They've beaten Man City, Arsenal (in the cup) and Liverpool.

O'Neill will not stand for another performance of the quality of Tuesday's defeat at Blackburn.

Evens is huge.

I hope this bet loses.

Do you think there is a big chance Sunderland will have half a team out with a cup replay next midweek being their biggest game. Everton could do the same away at Swansea too.

There is certainly a chance of this imo. It might be wise to wait and see lineups first. If Sunderland put out full strength, I agree that evens looks big.

I also think I will have a small bet on Wigan away at Liverpool @ 8/1 draw no bet with Bet365.
Wigan have been pretty decent in their last couple of games, Pool are dire and with a home record of 5 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat they cannot be backed with any confidence. Added to that their league season is over and they are still in the FA Cup whilst Wigan are fighting for their premiership lives.
As Pool have drawn more than half their home games, the DNB is a very decent saver. Also Wigan do tend to pull out one or two very surprisingly good results every season. And Wigans away form is actually better than their home form this season.
Home: 1 win, 7 draws, 7 defeats. Away: 3 wins, 3 draws, 8 defeats.

Any comments on this, please?

[Dubai]

Ugly, sorry chaps. So weird, I watched a stream of the game and NO were winning 57-51 and going along nicely. The stream broke, I tried to fix it for five mins, gave up and looked up the score and they were seven down. Thought it was a mistake but apparently GS went on a 20-5 run at the very moment the stream broke and that was the beginning of the end. Every time I back a game, someone has a career night in the opposition, happened again, sigh

Maanged to see tip last night so keep em coming as am on am official martingale to get out. NBA only thing I run bad on

[the sicilian]

Ugly, sorry chaps. So weird, I watched a stream of the game and NO were winning 57-51 and going along nicely. The stream broke, I tried to fix it for five mins, gave up and looked up the score and they were seven down. Thought it was a mistake but apparently GS went on a 20-5 run at the very moment the stream broke and that was the beginning of the end. Every time I back a game, someone has a career night in the opposition, happened again, sigh

Yep NBA is a heartbreaker..... lost a big 5 fold the other night on 1 game by half a point..especially when theres 15 secs to go and they just walk up the floor to run the clock out ...there were almost tears...

[tikay]

Always always always check and back @ best price.

http://sports.betfair.com/Index.do?mi=105151638&ex=1&origin=MRL

atm the ROI from all the bets in this thread have been -8%. Taking 9 when you could take 11 (minus comm.), or taking 3.75 when you could take 3.8 like yesterday is like voluntarily posting a third blind in poker, completely unnecessary and massively costly!

Appreciated, thank you.

I have not placed the 'Pool Wigan bet yet (awaiting further comment), & I would not know how to convert "back" or "lay" on Betfair into the traditional price with DNB which was recommended.

My personal circumstances mean I do not always have time to open new Accounts if I am busy at work, or, as last night, in the middle of a cash game, I just have to get the best I can in the time available.

Gradually, I am getting the new accounts sorted - I have about 14 of the damn things now. Once I have all the accounts open, it will be easier.

[Dubai]

Whitlock more 180s than Hamilton £60@5-6 sky, bl sq, 888
Same bet above and Lewis more 180s than Painter 5-6 and 4-9 double £45 blue square, 888