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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16404132 times)
tikay
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« Reply #17685 on: October 06, 2012, 11:41:24 AM »

Camelot is 4-1 with Hills for the Arc.

Hills are paying first three for a quarter of the odds, so that's even money for the top 3.

This has to be a bet, surely?

I think we can discuss this further, the race is not until tomorrow.

Unless I am mistaken, we have 2 in favour, & one against at the moment.





I'm sure that's just a promotion as Camelot is top-priced 3/1.

A definite bet imo.

I can see the "Special Price, Camelot 4/1", but when I click the link, it shows Camelot @ 3/1?


Box near top left, this page......


http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb

I must be persona non grata and then some with billy as they won't let me link to them.

To be fair, I can't say I blame them Ralph, you do look a tad wide. Do you not have an OAP concession?

Anyway, it appears that the 4/1 has been pulled now, so the bet, I assume, is off, for now anyway.
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« Reply #17686 on: October 06, 2012, 11:42:02 AM »

Camelot is 4-1 with Hills for the Arc.

Hills are paying first three for a quarter of the odds, so that's even money for the top 3.

This has to be a bet, surely?

I think we can discuss this further, the race is not until tomorrow.

Unless I am mistaken, we have 2 in favour, & one against at the moment.





I'm sure that's just a promotion as Camelot is top-priced 3/1.

A definite bet imo.


Camelot looked to be well beaten in ther Leger and I have watched it a few times.  I don't think it had anything to do with the jockey.  The opposition in the Leger was nothing like this.  I think there is a chance he has gone a bit backward since the summer.

I think there is a real risk that he isn't going to be at his peak for this, and he'll need to be better than that to win.  The St Leger has a reputation for messing up horses.  I think at the least, I'd want to swerve the place part, as it feels like a bet that wins or finishes nowhere.  

You beat the market and betfair with the 4/1, so I wouldn't want to put you off that.  You can bet and lay off on betfair and get free money if that is your bag.


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« Reply #17687 on: October 06, 2012, 11:46:07 AM »

Camelot is 4-1 with Hills for the Arc.

Hills are paying first three for a quarter of the odds, so that's even money for the top 3.

This has to be a bet, surely?

I think we can discuss this further, the race is not until tomorrow.

Unless I am mistaken, we have 2 in favour, & one against at the moment.





I'm sure that's just a promotion as Camelot is top-priced 3/1.

A definite bet imo.

I can see the "Special Price, Camelot 4/1", but when I click the link, it shows Camelot @ 3/1?


Box near top left, this page......


http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb

I must be persona non grata and then some with billy as they won't let me link to them.

To be fair, I can't say I blame them Ralph, you do look a tad wide. Do you not have an OAP concession?

Anyway, it appears that the 4/1 has been pulled now, so the bet, I assume, is off, for now anyway.

Ah was too late anyway.

If chompy is correct and the japanese horse is going to be backed heavily, does this mean we should do better on the Pari Mutuel (French tote) and if we back it, we should back our win only there??
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« Reply #17688 on: October 06, 2012, 11:49:06 AM »

Camelot is 4-1 with Hills for the Arc.

Hills are paying first three for a quarter of the odds, so that's even money for the top 3.

This has to be a bet, surely?

I think we can discuss this further, the race is not until tomorrow.

Unless I am mistaken, we have 2 in favour, & one against at the moment.





I'm sure that's just a promotion as Camelot is top-priced 3/1.

A definite bet imo.

I can see the "Special Price, Camelot 4/1", but when I click the link, it shows Camelot @ 3/1?


Box near top left, this page......


http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb

I must be persona non grata and then some with billy as they won't let me link to them.

To be fair, I can't say I blame them Ralph, you do look a tad wide. Do you not have an OAP concession?

Anyway, it appears that the 4/1 has been pulled now, so the bet, I assume, is off, for now anyway.

This is what it would have looked like

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« Reply #17689 on: October 06, 2012, 11:50:51 AM »

Camelot is 4-1 with Hills for the Arc.

Hills are paying first three for a quarter of the odds, so that's even money for the top 3.

This has to be a bet, surely?

I think we can discuss this further, the race is not until tomorrow.

Unless I am mistaken, we have 2 in favour, & one against at the moment.





I'm sure that's just a promotion as Camelot is top-priced 3/1.

A definite bet imo.

I can see the "Special Price, Camelot 4/1", but when I click the link, it shows Camelot @ 3/1?


Box near top left, this page......


http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb

I must be persona non grata and then some with billy as they won't let me link to them.

To be fair, I can't say I blame them Ralph, you do look a tad wide. Do you not have an OAP concession?

Anyway, it appears that the 4/1 has been pulled now, so the bet, I assume, is off, for now anyway.

Ah was too late anyway.

If chompy is correct and the japanese horse is going to be backed heavily, does this mean we should do better on the Pari Mutuel (French tote) and if we back it, we should back our win only there??

I think getting drawn 18/18 might have put them off slightly.
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« Reply #17690 on: October 06, 2012, 11:51:12 AM »

Abyone any info on Knockaert? (Tighty?) 12/1 FGS in a few places and 33/1 to score a brace. Has to be worth a tenna on each no?

35 yard belter and an impossible back heel at ours midweek, I'm on.
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tikay
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« Reply #17691 on: October 06, 2012, 11:52:48 AM »


Watford to win the Championship.

I believe Dung (?) suggested this at 200/1, & Doobsy reminded us yesterday that it was now 50/1.

Ignoring the 66/1 with "YouWin" (I will not bet with them, sorry) they are now generally BP 40/1.

I guess we have missed the market, but may be worth further consideration.
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« Reply #17692 on: October 06, 2012, 11:56:02 AM »

Camelot is 4-1 with Hills for the Arc.

Hills are paying first three for a quarter of the odds, so that's even money for the top 3.

This has to be a bet, surely?

I think we can discuss this further, the race is not until tomorrow.

Unless I am mistaken, we have 2 in favour, & one against at the moment.





I'm sure that's just a promotion as Camelot is top-priced 3/1.

A definite bet imo.

I can see the "Special Price, Camelot 4/1", but when I click the link, it shows Camelot @ 3/1?


Box near top left, this page......


http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb

I must be persona non grata and then some with billy as they won't let me link to them.

To be fair, I can't say I blame them Ralph, you do look a tad wide. Do you not have an OAP concession?

Anyway, it appears that the 4/1 has been pulled now, so the bet, I assume, is off, for now anyway.

Ah was too late anyway.

If chompy is correct and the japanese horse is going to be backed heavily, does this mean we should do better on the Pari Mutuel (French tote) and if we back it, we should back our win only there??

possibly , the pmu doesnt seem to have the massive edges it once did to certain nationalities e.t.c

anyway regardless the thread can track the pmu nearer the off
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« Reply #17693 on: October 06, 2012, 11:56:32 AM »

Camelot is 4-1 with Hills for the Arc.

Hills are paying first three for a quarter of the odds, so that's even money for the top 3.

This has to be a bet, surely?

I think we can discuss this further, the race is not until tomorrow.

Unless I am mistaken, we have 2 in favour, & one against at the moment.





I'm sure that's just a promotion as Camelot is top-priced 3/1.

A definite bet imo.

I can see the "Special Price, Camelot 4/1", but when I click the link, it shows Camelot @ 3/1?


Box near top left, this page......


http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb

I must be persona non grata and then some with billy as they won't let me link to them.

To be fair, I can't say I blame them Ralph, you do look a tad wide. Do you not have an OAP concession?

Anyway, it appears that the 4/1 has been pulled now, so the bet, I assume, is off, for now anyway.

Ah was too late anyway.

If chompy is correct and the japanese horse is going to be backed heavily, does this mean we should do better on the Pari Mutuel (French tote) and if we back it, we should back our win only there??

I think getting drawn 18/18 might have put them off slightly.

Deep Impact started 1/2  
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« Reply #17694 on: October 06, 2012, 11:57:42 AM »

Abyone any info on Knockaert? (Tighty?) 12/1 FGS in a few places and 33/1 to score a brace. Has to be worth a tenna on each no?

35 yard belter and an impossible back heel at ours midweek, I'm on.

Me too. Prices range from 12-1 to 11/2 FGS.. Bristol City did the double on Leicester last season but Foxes are smashing atm and should win comfortably today imo. If he starts then these prices are massive.
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tikay
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« Reply #17695 on: October 06, 2012, 11:58:36 AM »

Quite like Watford tomorrow.  Combination of things.  Boro have a fair few injuries including Jonathan Woodgate, Ishmael Miller, Julio Arca and Marouma Zemmama.  Marvin Emnes is also a question mark.  These injuries alone are probably not enough for a bet but as Dung Beetle has suggested Watford are likely to show quite a bit of progress once the new players start to gel and there is some evidence that is starting to happen.  If we imagine it as a horserace we have a three horse race.  One horse (Watford) is potentially very well handicapped and has the timeform P, another horse (the draw) is very well exposed and is rarely ever value and the third horse (Boro) is carrying an injury and has its front legs bandaged.  13/10 Watford has to be value.

Talking of Watford......

Thanks reds, that looks very good value.

We have £50 @ 13/10 with Blue Square, Watford to beat M'Boro.


ON


Watford @ 13/10 
Market
 Win/Draw/Win
 
Event
 English Championship
Watford v Middlesbrough
2012-10-06 15:00:00
 
Bet Type
 
Bet Type
 Win Single
 
Unit Stake
 £50.00
 
Number of Units
 x1
 
Total Stake
 £50.00
 
Time and Date Placed
 2012-10-06 11:52:06
 
Receipt Number
 O/0891659/0000098
 
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« Reply #17696 on: October 06, 2012, 11:59:10 AM »

Morning Sir, good to see you yesterday, hope to still be around for Sunday.

Chelsea are obviously very short-priced to win at home vs Norwich today. 1/5 in some places.

There may be a touch of siege mentality with Terry and Cole being in the news over their misdeeds although I do wonder what the non-English players make of it all. Terry for one seems to revel in these circumstances, but....

Norwich are 16/1 at Coral and Bet Victor. It seems to me that no Premier league team can be anything but value at that price but I'll bow to superior views.

5/1 the draw availabl;e too.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/chelsea-v-norwich/winner
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« Reply #17697 on: October 06, 2012, 12:00:00 PM »

League 2. Oxford are 16th, and not very good. They only just beat Wimbledon 3-2 midweek, and we are shockingly bad. At home Oxford have lost 2 and won 3.

Gillingham are 5 points clear at the top, and have won all 5 of their away games.

But you can get 6/4 on a Gillingham win at Billy Hill's. This looks too high for me so suggest a decent sized bet on this one.

This looks a decent price to me too.
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« Reply #17698 on: October 06, 2012, 12:00:25 PM »

T20WC report


A fantastic performance from the West Indies, who bludgeoned their way to 205 with 14 sixes and thrashed Australia to make the final, where they play Sri Lanka on Sunday

That should be a corking final, too close to call though you have to fancy the West Indies with that batting power. Interestingly the WI are odds against, again. Very interesting.

Thread wins £55 from West Indies at 11/8 today which was that rarity, a hedge situation (give the sixes tournament bet threw the only two likely winners together in the semis)  that was excellent value inits own right

Thread has to account for the Australia sixes bet as a loser, and should now do the same for the Dilshan sixes bet

That £55 covers those losses, so job done


The final then

Our one outstanding bet sees Malinga with 8 wickets and A Mendis with 11 wickets. Wehave £40 on Malinga as top Sri Lanka wicket taker. Unlikely, especially on these wickets that take some spin, but you never know

Who is your money on the final?

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/international/twenty20-world-cup/winner

I'll back the side that wins the toss and bats, please....

If pressed now I don't think West Indies are odds against, its evens each of two for me

This is just a reminder for tomorrow.
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« Reply #17699 on: October 06, 2012, 12:02:20 PM »

Abyone any info on Knockaert? (Tighty?) 12/1 FGS in a few places and 33/1 to score a brace. Has to be worth a tenna on each no?

35 yard belter and an impossible back heel at ours midweek, I'm on.

Me too. Prices range from 12-1 to 11/2 FGS.. Bristol City did the double on Leicester last season but Foxes are smashing atm and should win comfortably today imo. If he starts then these prices are massive.


Good luck!

I am on Marshall FGS every Leicester home game I attend

Today you can get 11/1 for the penalty taker, free kick taker and all round emerging player, for a team 4/7 at home

Lets hope he is selected :-)
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