Tips for Tikay

[Horneris]

Great, they got there on 4th & 5 for no reason

[redarmi]

Turnovers have killed us  in this game.

[scotty2hatty]

UFC 153

Sorry, drunk. Other recommends are Nogueira by (T)KO @ 5/1 and Texeiria by (T)KO AT 11/5 are the other bets if anyone fancies it.

[Horneris]

hahahahahah yeah why not

[Horneris]

wtf was that play calling all about at the end. Unreal.

[scotty2hatty]

UFC 153

Sorry, drunk. Other recommends are Nogueira by (T)KO @ 5/1 and Texeiria by (T)KO AT 11/5 are the other bets if anyone fancies it.

Sorry I can't give full analysis but all over these.

[Marky147]

UFC 153

Sorry, drunk. Other recommends are Nogueira by (T)KO @ 5/1 and Texeiria by (T)KO AT 11/5 are the other bets if anyone fancies it.

Sorry I can't give full analysis but all over these.

Go on Scotty, I think full analysis whilst smashed would be good 

[scotty2hatty]

UFC 153

Sorry, drunk. Other recommends are Nogueira by (T)KO @ 5/1 and Texeiria by (T)KO AT 11/5 are the other bets if anyone fancies it.

Sorry I can't give full analysis but all over these.

Go on Scotty, I think full analysis whilst smashed would be good 

sozzles Marky, 11/Texeiria landed

[Bazzaboy]

Looking to follow up Demetrious Johnson's win at UFC 152 with not one, but two, recommendations for tonight's UFC 153. Will post one now, and the other a little later.

The main event sees the #1 P4P fighter Anderson Silva make a cameo appearance in the light-heavyweight division, a division 20lbs above his natural division. This isn't a negative, he has appeared in the LHW division on two occasions previously and in both fights he was able to finish his opponent in the first round - one of those was his memorable demolition of Forrest Griffin, a former LHW Champion.

I'm taking Silva to make it a hat-trick of 1st round wins when he takes on the over-matched Stephan Bonnar at UFC 153 in his homeland of Brazil. Of Silva's 32 career wins, 17 have came in the first round.

Bonnar is a tough, durable guy with a big heart but there is being durable and then there is fighting Anderson Silva. Bonnar absorbs a lot of strikes due to his poor defence and in Silva he is facing the most accurate striker in the entire UFC (67%) and the fighter with the most knockdowns in the history of the UFC (16). Bonnar's strike defence is a rather low 53%.

Silva is going to hit him often and early, likely dropping him and giving Bonnar his first true career (T)KO loss.

Paddy Power go 2/1 Silva to win in the first round, out of line with the rest with Ladbrokes opening at 5/4 and the rest a general 6/4.

Recommend £30 on Anderson Silva to win in the 1st Round v. Stephan Bonnar at UFC 153 - 2/1 @ Paddy Power.

Nice call. Even toyed with him to give us a sweat.

[horseplayer]

strange moments in life

waking up at 6.30amish on a sunday

putting f1 on

seeing jake humphrey, eddie jordan and david coulthard doing the gangnam dance


jesus

[Karabiner]

Nice headline for an article in the footie section of The Observer today:

"AVB ready to banish initial doubts".

[Nico29]

The X Factor farce rumbled into full swing at the weekend, with Louis forgetting who he was supposed to kick out, and nearly preventing the producers from retaining Rylan who adds publicity to the show.

The overall winner looks being in danger of being a one horse race with Ella well clear of the other acts, but due to the mediocre nature of many of the acts I think there may be some value in the eliminations markets in the early weeks.

Rylan should get a bounce this week and with the X Factor machine fully behind him should finish outside the bottom 2.

I think the person who may be in trouble at a decent price is Christopher Maloney.  Not only is his nervous act all the time annoying, but it turns out he used to sing on a cruise ship so the public is going to think it is an act.   Rumours abound that the producers are not happy with him in relation to this cruise ship which does not help his cause and may lead to him performing first up in the coffin slot.

If you google him he has a fair amount of negative publicity around his “nervous act”.

Only negative is that he isn’t a bad singer (but then neither was Carolyn in week 1) and that he must have some kind of fan base as he won the wildcard vote.

Nonetheless, I think his price is too big in what is a wide open elimination.  

I recommend we back Christ Maloney at 9/1 to be the second elimination for £5.

Feel bad I went against this, although it seems Tikay doesn't do betting on xfactor anyways.

He's now best priced 11-2-an arb on betfair and this and other articles have appeared.

Good call mr beetle, I may even have a bit on at 11-2 now.

http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/showbiz/tv/x_factor/4581065/X-Factor-Chris-Maloney-shy-guy-or-not-fake-different-off-camera.html

http://www.sugarscape.com/main-topics/film-and-tv/773774/christopher-maloney-branded-fake-fellow-x-factor-finalists

I watched the xtra factor episode from last sunday on sky+ yesterday too, Louis branded him fake and there was a weird atmosphere regarding Mr maloney.

His price is probs only gonna shorten, still not convinced he'll go but 9-1 was def value.

Maloney is now 13-8 fav to go, buried at the start he may struggle tonight to get enough votes, glad I took the 11-2 now, shame I missed the 9/10's but nice call Dung.

Backed Kye at 33s and he's now 14's, am even tempted to top up, problem is if he's bottom 2 v chris he won't go. Would need to be v someone else.

Might have a smal hedge on District 3 going tonight at the generous 5-1 available, the other boy band will get all the votes.

After the show tonight though it looks like they are all playing for second, Ella is a class apart. May start looking for ew place options, Melanie@33s seems reasonable.

Also think Melanie to be top overs@15-8 is a brilliant price, i make her favourite in this market.

[redsimon]

The X Factor farce rumbled into full swing at the weekend, with Louis forgetting who he was supposed to kick out, and nearly preventing the producers from retaining Rylan who adds publicity to the show.

The overall winner looks being in danger of being a one horse race with Ella well clear of the other acts, but due to the mediocre nature of many of the acts I think there may be some value in the eliminations markets in the early weeks.

Rylan should get a bounce this week and with the X Factor machine fully behind him should finish outside the bottom 2.

I think the person who may be in trouble at a decent price is Christopher Maloney.  Not only is his nervous act all the time annoying, but it turns out he used to sing on a cruise ship so the public is going to think it is an act.   Rumours abound that the producers are not happy with him in relation to this cruise ship which does not help his cause and may lead to him performing first up in the coffin slot.

If you google him he has a fair amount of negative publicity around his “nervous act”.

Only negative is that he isn’t a bad singer (but then neither was Carolyn in week 1) and that he must have some kind of fan base as he won the wildcard vote.

Nonetheless, I think his price is too big in what is a wide open elimination.  

I recommend we back Christ Maloney at 9/1 to be the second elimination for £5.

Feel bad I went against this, although it seems Tikay doesn't do betting on xfactor anyways.

He's now best priced 11-2-an arb on betfair and this and other articles have appeared.

Good call mr beetle, I may even have a bit on at 11-2 now.

http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/showbiz/tv/x_factor/4581065/X-Factor-Chris-Maloney-shy-guy-or-not-fake-different-off-camera.html

http://www.sugarscape.com/main-topics/film-and-tv/773774/christopher-maloney-branded-fake-fellow-x-factor-finalists

I watched the xtra factor episode from last sunday on sky+ yesterday too, Louis branded him fake and there was a weird atmosphere regarding Mr maloney.

His price is probs only gonna shorten, still not convinced he'll go but 9-1 was def value.

Maloney is now 13-8 fav to go, buried at the start he may struggle tonight to get enough votes, glad I took the 11-2 now, shame I missed the 9/10's but nice call Dung.

Backed Kye at 33s and he's now 14's, am even tempted to top up, problem is if he's bottom 2 v chris he won't go. Would need to be v someone else.

Might have a smal hedge on District 3 going tonight at the generous 5-1 available, the other boy band will get all the votes.

After the show tonight though it looks like they are all playing for second, Ella is a class apart. May start looking for ew place options, Melanie@33s seems reasonable.

Also think Melanie to be top overs@15-8 is a brilliant price, i make her favourite in this market.

I'm not sure where acts perform is a big factor now as voting opens before anyone sings. Be interesting to see tonight where the bottom two started on Saturday.

[class]

Successfully layed of my Van Gerwen bet for a tidy profit on the darts. Nits gonna nit, as they say!

[DungBeetle]

"Backed Kye at 33s and he's now 14's, am even tempted to top up, problem is if he's bottom 2 v chris he won't go. Would need to be v someone else".

True - I think he would need to be against MK1 for him to get the boot.  They'd save him over District 3 I think.

I agree District 3 are starting to look a good price for tonight at 5-1.  I actually think they are better than Union J but it isn't what I think.

Shame in the outright it is a one horse race this year. I agree with you on Melanie.  Also tempted to have a small play at 55 in the outright with a view to trade our later.  I can see her in final 4.  The scottish vote has done wonders in the past.

First things first - let's see if Chris gets the boot.  A small hedge on District 3 is in order.