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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16571416 times)
Tal
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« Reply #24870 on: December 31, 2012, 01:43:04 AM »

I think Fred has £10 @ 50-1.

Would anyone confirm/correct?
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Marky147
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« Reply #24871 on: December 31, 2012, 01:44:33 AM »

Can someone refresh my memory on the darts bet? I remember Fred getting on at big odds weeks and weeks ago.

How much is on?

Fred is on for £10 I think, but collectively a huge amount.
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TL900
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« Reply #24872 on: December 31, 2012, 01:53:15 AM »

Field goal no goooooooooooooooood!
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@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
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« Reply #24873 on: December 31, 2012, 02:01:33 AM »

Passing the ball around with no score should suit you boys nicely Cheesy
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Killerkilsby
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« Reply #24874 on: December 31, 2012, 02:48:51 AM »

On the Dallas bet, I spent the afternoon at my Great Aunt's. She's 97. She didn't have a view on RG3's knee, but.....

She fell asleep. I didn't want to leave until she woke up, so I looked at every other outside game in the North/East US this weekend

At Buffalo, the line for total points is 40.5

At Cincinnati, 41

At New York, 45.5

At New England, 46

At Pittsburgh, no quote

We are on at 49.5, though arguably these teams have more offense than some of the teams in those games

I find myself almost proposing the double load up.....William Hill remain at 49.5, with other market-setters trending to 48

"enjoy the snow Saturday, it will be cold enough for all snow, and it seems like we could get a decent amount from Washington DC to Boston according to the latest computer models. Take care my friends."

from a US weather blog showing







You know I can't resist a weather map, Rich.

We heve pressed, & we shall give due thanks to your Great Aunt if we get this one home.

So, in addition to the £55 earlier, we now have......


£55 @ 10/11, Wm Hill, UNDER 49.5 points, Dallas @ Washington, Monday 31st December.

We shall end 2012 with a bang or a bomb.

Hopefully, we start 2013 with one MVG heads up for the PDC, & clutching our 50/1 voucher.

ON

27 Dec 12 / 18:42  Single 1   Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins  –  Total Points Under @ 10/11 – £55.00 O/0457483/0000225/F


Just seen this was 7-7 end of 2nd quarter presumed this was good but line still at 44.

Are we in a good position?
I am very much a nfl ice cream
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TL900
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« Reply #24875 on: December 31, 2012, 02:51:35 AM »

We are a favourite Smiley
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@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
Killerkilsby
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« Reply #24876 on: December 31, 2012, 02:54:33 AM »

Sounds good thanks.

Do these games tend to score higher in later stages due to tiredness?
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TL900
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« Reply #24877 on: December 31, 2012, 02:59:13 AM »

Sounds good thanks.

Do these games tend to score higher in later stages due to tiredness?

not really, the line is 37-39 now, which means a 24pt 2nd half which was what was expected per half pre game.
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@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
redarmi
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« Reply #24878 on: December 31, 2012, 03:05:02 AM »

Sounds good thanks.

Do these games tend to score higher in later stages due to tiredness?

They don't on average but blowouts tend to be lower scoring because teams run the ball more to use up the clock so game like this that are tight tend to be higher scoring on average.  In addition to this this game is effectively a playoff game so they will play the full game out.  All that said we are a big favourite now.  Somewhere in the region of a 1/4 favourite I would have thought but not totally sure on the maths.
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TL900
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« Reply #24879 on: December 31, 2012, 03:43:58 AM »

Surely at 14-7 with the line at -36.5 with 1 quarter to go thats good value? Theyd need 3 touchdowns to lose?

Two touchdowns now, which can very easily and quickly happen.
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@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
Killerkilsby
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« Reply #24880 on: December 31, 2012, 03:52:39 AM »

Thanks mate deleted it as they scored when i typed.

Ill hold my position for now.

Thanks
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Killerkilsby
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« Reply #24881 on: December 31, 2012, 04:14:20 AM »

Ohh sweating now 10 points 4 minutes.
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Killerkilsby
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« Reply #24882 on: December 31, 2012, 04:31:42 AM »

Zomg 3 points clear, 1min 10secs to go.

Please hold outside of football this is my largest ever sports bet!
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TightEnd
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« Reply #24883 on: December 31, 2012, 04:37:33 AM »

At the end of the day the Cowboys were just too beaten up to score the points to ruin the bet. As RG3 only started running at the end of the third quarter too, that made the difference

Still, a wins a win. Or not, if you are a Cowboys fan
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TL900
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« Reply #24884 on: December 31, 2012, 04:43:10 AM »

Nice one Tighty
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@MtSpewmore
Quote from: jgcblack
I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
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