Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

Janet Mass?

[TheDazzler]

Three firms have priced up Nationality (Continent???) of the Pope markets.

European But not Italian Bwin 5/1 and Satan 16/1
American Satan 5/1 and Bwin 30/1 Paddy Power are 20/1 here also.


Bwin are slightly ool with South American as well @ 13/2.

Thoughts?
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics-and-election/next-pope/nationality

I would be ALL OVER Central/South America @ 13/2.
I can see 9 decent runners all under 100/1, with Sandri, Scherer, Maradiaga and Bergoglio all with very good claims.

[AndrewT]

My guy is 69, not 63.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leonardo_Sandri

Ouch - shows what I get for using the BBC as a reference source rather than Wikipedia.

[rfgqqabc]

Three firms have priced up Nationality (Continent???) of the Pope markets.

European But not Italian Bwin 5/1 and Satan 16/1
American Satan 5/1 and Bwin 30/1 Paddy Power are 20/1 here also.


Bwin are slightly ool with South American as well @ 13/2.

Thoughts?
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics-and-election/next-pope/nationality

I would be ALL OVER Central/South America @ 13/2.
I can see 9 decent runners all under 100/1, with Sandri, Scherer, Maradiaga and Bergoglio all with very good claims.

Gone. The whole market. :/

[Tonji]

"We need to remember that communicating faith doesn't just take place through sermons. It can be achieved through the 140 characters of a Twitter message."

I did consider checking Cardinal twitter account followers, but public phone votes do not count 

[tikay]

Another one here for me

CRAIG DAWSON anytime scorer BOLTON v Pboro 7-1 william hill £10

to score 2 or more boylesports 66-1 £4 (they are not laying anymore than this)


Reasoning :

Started 4 games with Bolton scored 2 goals , both at the weekend.

A massive threat from set pieces he has scored 26 in 110 career games (including england under 21's) must be one of the best ratios around for a centre back.

With Keith Andrews being out tonight i suspect he MAY be on penalty duty. Considering he is the regular taker for the under 21 side i suspect he will not have a problem putting himself forward for Bolton. As discussed hundreds of pages ago Eagles was taken of penalties for Andrews earlier in season after missing a couple.

Sordell has taken them and scored in Andrews absence however from reading around he stormed off after getting subbed when 3-0 up on saturday and the fans seem to think he may not start tonight.


Both prices are quite out of line and he was a shorter price to score anytime or 2 or more on saturday and since then he has scored twice. It is also worth noting that in both his previous Bolton starts he had goalbound efforts saved or cleared.

Hi horsey, & thanks.

I've been to bed since lunchtime, as I have a heavy night ahead, & in my absence, the 7/1 has all gone, it is 5/1 best now. At that price, I don't think it is a bet. I'm sure it was value @ 7/1, but not so much @ 5/1. Let me know (before 6pm) if you disagree, & I'll get on.

I did proceed with the "Score 2 or more Goals" bet, it might just give us another Fun Night on Fred if he can bink one early, & at £4, I think we can manage that.

Unfortunately, Boyle Restricted me to £3.25.

We have £3.25 @ 66/1, BoyleSports, Craig Dawson to score 2 or more goals tonight.

ON

Bet ref: 72/70 Craig Dawson @ 66/1
Bolton v Peterborough
To Score 2+ Goals
Total stake £3.25
Estimated return £217.75
Full stake £3.25
Full estimated return £217.75

[horseplayer]

Another one here for me

CRAIG DAWSON anytime scorer BOLTON v Pboro 7-1 william hill £10

to score 2 or more boylesports 66-1 £4 (they are not laying anymore than this)


Reasoning :

Started 4 games with Bolton scored 2 goals , both at the weekend.

A massive threat from set pieces he has scored 26 in 110 career games (including england under 21's) must be one of the best ratios around for a centre back.

With Keith Andrews being out tonight i suspect he MAY be on penalty duty. Considering he is the regular taker for the under 21 side i suspect he will not have a problem putting himself forward for Bolton. As discussed hundreds of pages ago Eagles was taken of penalties for Andrews earlier in season after missing a couple.

Sordell has taken them and scored in Andrews absence however from reading around he stormed off after getting subbed when 3-0 up on saturday and the fans seem to think he may not start tonight.


Both prices are quite out of line and he was a shorter price to score anytime or 2 or more on saturday and since then he has scored twice. It is also worth noting that in both his previous Bolton starts he had goalbound efforts saved or cleared.

Hi horsey, & thanks.

I've been to bed since lunchtime, as I have a heavy night ahead, & in my absence, the 7/1 has all gone, it is 5/1 best now. At that price, I don't think it is a bet. I'm sure it was value @ 7/1, but not so much @ 5/1. Let me know (before 6pm) if you disagree, & I'll get on.

I did proceed with the "Score 2 or more Goals" bet, it might just give us another Fun Night on Fred if he can bink one early, & at £4, I think we can manage that.

Unfortunately, Boyle Restricted me to £3.25.

We have £3.25 @ 66/1, BoyleSports, Craig Dawson to score 2 or more goals tonight.

ON

Bet ref: 72/70 Craig Dawson @ 66/1
Bolton v Peterborough
To Score 2+ Goals
Total stake £3.25
Estimated return £217.75
Full stake £3.25
Full estimated return £217.75

at 5-1 i can leave it alone

still a smidgen big but not enough for a bet

[tikay]

Thanks, I assumed that would be your view.

[tikay]

Reminder - the Shop shuts for bet placement by Fred at 6pm tonight, until 1am.

[horseplayer]

if sordell is not starting and i could be quite confident he was on penalties i would be happy enough with 5-1

wont no this until 7pm earliest though so no need to second guess at 5-1

[TightEnd]

Nugent fails a fitness test for Leicester

Kane and Wood up top


Come on Leicester!, except for the thread's bet.

[TightEnd]

Michael Crick on C4News has just said that the UKIP could "pull off a shock win" this Thursday

The LD campaign maanger said earlier he thought the UKIP would have won if the campaign went on a week

Camel's saver looking very interesting for the by-election

The Libs remain 1/2 on lol

[horseplayer]

sordell starts and presumably  retains penalty duties

[Chompy]

Posh line-up as good as we could have put out tbh

[rfgqqabc]

Survation for the Mail on Sunday has Maria Hutchings four points ahead in Eastleigh

By Paul Goodman

The figures are:
Conservatives: 33
Liberal Democrats: 29
Labour: 13
UKIP: 22
This morning's Populus poll for the Times (£) found the following:
Conservatives: 28
Liberal Democrats: 33
Labour: 11
UKIP: 21
Lord Ashcroft's poll a fortnight ago recorded:
Conservatives: 34
Liberal Democrats: 31
Labour: 19
UKIP: 13
A few quick points:
    If the polls to date are to be believed, the Coalition partners are battling it out for first place.
    Anthony Wells of Yougov noted earlier today noted of the Populus poll that "a quarter said don’t know and a further 12% refused to give a voting intention" - a big total percentage. UKIP are clearly coming up on the rails very fast indeed, having increased their support since the Ashcroft poll, according to the others, by over a third.
    Labour's John O'Farrell is being squeezed out, and some of Labour's support, like some of that from the two main parties, has gone to UKIP.
    It is still probable that one of the two main parties will win, but it is clearly not impossible that UKIP will come second or even first, and should now come a good third at least.
    Tim Montgomerie has just tweeted that it is vital that Tory activists pour into the seat before Thursday.
    I plan to pour myself into Eastleigh, so to speak, on Wednesday, but have noted that the LibDem information on the ground will be better than CCHQ's.
Saturday, February 23, 2013


The betting markets have hardly moved for this new poll

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics-and-election/eastleigh/winning-party


Election is Thursday

Conservatives are 5/6 over 30% of votes with Lads.
PP had the labour line at under/over 16.5. The unders are 1/5 having started at 4/5 Can't believe we missed that!

PP also go o/u on 35.5 for Lib Dem %

Thoughts or too late?