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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16450313 times)
tikay
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« Reply #38370 on: April 18, 2013, 07:50:24 PM »

Nice of Hamilton to chuck in his worst performance of the PL.

He has woken up now.......probably a little too late.
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« Reply #38371 on: April 18, 2013, 07:51:15 PM »

Nice of Hamilton to chuck in his worst performance of the PL.

Was a lovely come back but Gg now!

V unlucky bazzaboy looked good to me
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« Reply #38372 on: April 18, 2013, 07:52:10 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/san-antonio-spurs-la-lakers/series-winner

One of these is a bet, not sure which one though. Think it might be lakers 6/1. Thoughts anyone?

Spurs at 3/10 is a lol bad price.

edit - as in they should be 1/8 imo
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« Reply #38373 on: April 18, 2013, 07:53:04 PM »

Nice of Taylor to chuck in his best performance of the PL.
Fyp.
Im sure Tayloe is on tft as everytime I go against him on the 180s he hits a crazy amount.
He's not moved from the t20 bed all night and him going for a max when on 184 is unheard of.Infact he was that zoned in the T20 tonight he was a Ball Hair away from bursting 60
« Last Edit: April 18, 2013, 07:55:45 PM by Snowball » Logged
outragous76
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« Reply #38374 on: April 18, 2013, 07:54:18 PM »

Wow! Redic chance to recover and stuffs it! Norrrrrr
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« Reply #38375 on: April 18, 2013, 07:54:20 PM »

Not sure why, and how much money it takes to move it, but there has been a big move for Warburton in the last 24 hours from 4-1>3/1 straight to 10/11 best and 4/9 in the other spot

Sort of market where someone might know something. Encouraging

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/british-and-irish-lions-tour/to-be-named-captain
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« Reply #38376 on: April 18, 2013, 07:54:26 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/san-antonio-spurs-la-lakers/series-winner

One of these is a bet, not sure which one though. Think it might be lakers 6/1. Thoughts anyone?

Spurs at 3/10 is a lol bad price.

edit - as in they should be 1/8 imo

Then 3/10 is a max no?

fwiw, I dont think they should be as short as 1/8 but I agree that 3/10 seems a good price
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tikay
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« Reply #38377 on: April 18, 2013, 07:59:08 PM »

Not sure why, and how much money it takes to move it, but there has been a big move for Warburton in the last 24 hours from 4-1>3/1 straight to 10/11 best and 4/9 in the other spot

Sort of market where someone might know something. Encouraging

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/british-and-irish-lions-tour/to-be-named-captain

Better!

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« Reply #38378 on: April 18, 2013, 08:00:28 PM »

was it not suggested a little while back that premier league darts was not a good medium to be betting on?

not criticising any bets suggested as i have no idea if they are good or not just a reminder/clarification

if this wasnt the case i apologise in advance....

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tikay
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« Reply #38379 on: April 18, 2013, 08:00:28 PM »

Nice of Taylor to chuck in his best performance of the PL.
Fyp.
Im sure Tayloe is on tft as everytime I go against him on the 180s he hits a crazy amount.
He's not moved from the t20 bed all night and him going for a max when on 184 is unheard of.Infact he was that zoned in the T20 tonight he was a Ball Hair away from bursting 60

That looked very odd. Adrenelin, ego, I guess. Look at me
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tikay
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« Reply #38380 on: April 18, 2013, 08:03:58 PM »

was it not suggested a little while back that premier league darts was not a good medium to be betting on?

not criticising any bets suggested as i have no idea if they are good or not just a reminder/clarification

if this wasnt the case i apologise in advance....



Think we agreed that the short format tended to make it a little of a lottery sometimes, so we agreeed to keep the bets small. We've done two this evening, £20 & £25, so happy with that.

Think the other one involves Taylor, too, v Barney, need to check back, can't quite recall.
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« Reply #38381 on: April 18, 2013, 08:04:22 PM »

I just did the maths on it very roughly and assuming the game prices for the first game are roughly replicated throughout the series (allowing for home advantage of course) then the Spurs have a 88.1% chance of winning the series.  At 3/10 we should therefore have a £192 bet at 3/10 based on half Kelly and a £3k roll.  A max is £150 I believe so yeah it is max bet material.  Possibly palp territory though.
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« Reply #38382 on: April 18, 2013, 08:05:42 PM »

thanks tikay

reds i was always under the assumption that 888 just copied blue squares prices so i presumed they were part of blue square

as they are still going on there own (or seem to be) this was wrong? i have noted last couple of days they have had some very out there pricing ideas on certain markets

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tikay
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« Reply #38383 on: April 18, 2013, 08:07:03 PM »

was it not suggested a little while back that premier league darts was not a good medium to be betting on?

not criticising any bets suggested as i have no idea if they are good or not just a reminder/clarification

if this wasnt the case i apologise in advance....



Think we agreed that the short format tended to make it a little of a lottery sometimes, so we agreeed to keep the bets small. We've done two this evening, £20 & £25, so happy with that.

Think the other one involves Taylor, too, v Barney, need to check back, can't quite recall.

Correction, the other Taylor bet tonight was for £40, not £25.

And we bet on his UNDER 180's........!

We have £40 @ 17/20, Sporting Bet, Taylor v Barney, Taylor UNDER 2.5 x 180's.

Timing is all.......
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« Reply #38384 on: April 18, 2013, 08:08:06 PM »

has drifted to 2/7, boyles just opened up at 1/5
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@MtSpewmore
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I wouldn't normally try so hard, but didn't have another opportunity I could wait for. I wasn't ready to surrender what I WANTED SO MUCH, that easily, I couldn't guarantee a call with me staying stoic and relying on a flinch "top pair" calling reflex.
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