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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16423390 times)
tikay
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« Reply #38385 on: April 18, 2013, 08:08:27 PM »

I just did the maths on it very roughly and assuming the game prices for the first game are roughly replicated throughout the series (allowing for home advantage of course) then the Spurs have a 88.1% chance of winning the series.  At 3/10 we should therefore have a £192 bet at 3/10 based on half Kelly and a £3k roll.  A max is £150 I believe so yeah it is max bet material.  Possibly palp territory though.

I don't really want to go there for the sake of nicking £50, to be honest. My remaining accounts are too valuable for that.

Good spot though Tom, & thanks for the analysis Stu.
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« Reply #38386 on: April 18, 2013, 08:12:18 PM »

was it not suggested a little while back that premier league darts was not a good medium to be betting on?

not criticising any bets suggested as i have no idea if they are good or not just a reminder/clarification

if this wasnt the case i apologise in advance....



It's not a great betting medium (my figures this year are pretty brutal) however that was a pretty big rick from PP tonight. They went 5/4 on a genuine odds on shot. They run good.
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« Reply #38387 on: April 18, 2013, 08:19:25 PM »

We are under 3 Taylor 180s @ 17/20 only Chandlers hold 8/11 with nearly all the others 4/6 or lower
Before tonight Taylor had hit under the line 9 out of 9 and hopefully after his last match tonight he goes back to form around the Lipstick.
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« Reply #38388 on: April 18, 2013, 08:21:25 PM »

was it not suggested a little while back that premier league darts was not a good medium to be betting on?

not criticising any bets suggested as i have no idea if they are good or not just a reminder/clarification

if this wasnt the case i apologise in advance....



It's not a great betting medium (my figures this year are pretty brutal) however that was a pretty big rick from PP tonight. They went 5/4 on a genuine odds on shot. They run good.

I think there is often stuff to be found, especially with poorly set lines.

But sometimes darts is brutal. Take Simon Whitlock this year, he hasn't played badly at all, but everyone who has played against him has been at the absolute top of their game. So if you had some kind of bet on Whitlock you would have been stuffed, despite him playing well

I think we just need to reason the bets well. Besides its an incred sport to sweat  
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« Reply #38389 on: April 18, 2013, 08:22:29 PM »

We are under 3 Taylor 180s @ 17/20 only Chandlers hold 8/11 with nearly all the others 4/6 or lower
Before tonight Taylor had hit under the line 9 out of 9 and hopefully after his last match tonight he goes back to form around the Lipstick.

Can't even hope he is hitting the Guinness! Sigh

Lets hope he reverts back to switching to 19s
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« Reply #38390 on: April 18, 2013, 08:23:11 PM »

Taylor picks and chooses when he wants to throw 180s, has done for years. His decision in when to go for cover and when not to is just completely random and sometimes he will switch when first dart is perfect and sometimes like earlier tonight he just tries to throw them. Problem for our bet now is he just won so not sure he will want to switch. Obv it was a great bet before seeing that match, don't like it as much now
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« Reply #38391 on: April 18, 2013, 08:27:04 PM »

Not sure what it is about MVG but I think RVB could do with this version coming out after the break

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« Reply #38392 on: April 18, 2013, 08:31:39 PM »

Not sure what it is about MVG but I think RVB could do with this version coming out after the break



Ha, not wrong Dave.

You enjoy the Masters?
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« Reply #38393 on: April 18, 2013, 08:36:51 PM »

Always enjoy The Masters, Shame about the rain otherwise I think one or two more may of made the play off. Cabrera on 18 must nearly be shot of the year, fair play to both of them not a big Adam Scott fan but the boy did good.

Hope you are well
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« Reply #38394 on: April 18, 2013, 08:41:49 PM »

Always enjoy The Masters, Shame about the rain otherwise I think one or two more may of made the play off. Cabrera on 18 must nearly be shot of the year, fair play to both of them not a big Adam Scott fan but the boy did good.

Hope you are well

Yup, what heart Cabrera showed with that shot.

Am grand, ta, little tired but otherwise good. Nottingham all this weekend with the Team from next door. Three days watcching but not playing..........hopefully a few of them willl go deep.
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« Reply #38395 on: April 18, 2013, 08:41:59 PM »

Dubai/Bazza or anyone else for that matter.
What price would you make MvG to score over 110 with his first 3 Darts?
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« Reply #38396 on: April 18, 2013, 08:43:42 PM »

In game? Or each leg?

No idea of stats but guess 4/7 under 5/4 over if I was a bookie
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« Reply #38397 on: April 18, 2013, 08:47:04 PM »

Maybe 1/2 6/4
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« Reply #38398 on: April 18, 2013, 08:47:35 PM »



Thank you, Baked Potato
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« Reply #38399 on: April 18, 2013, 08:50:56 PM »

Always enjoy The Masters, Shame about the rain otherwise I think one or two more may of made the play off. Cabrera on 18 must nearly be shot of the year, fair play to both of them not a big Adam Scott fan but the boy did good.

Hope you are well

Yup, what heart Cabrera showed with that shot.

Am grand, ta, little tired but otherwise good. Nottingham all this weekend with the Team from next door. Three days watcching but not playing..........hopefully a few of them willl go deep.


Good luck to all for the weekend.

Get the dust of those clubs, the weather is warming up so get yourself out on the course.  If you cant find a partner you know where I am. Wink
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