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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16583502 times)
tikay
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« Reply #45615 on: July 21, 2013, 05:25:51 PM »

 Click to see full-size image.


 thumbs up

Sandy

Don't leave us again Sandy, we need your golf bets, and we always get such value.

That pays for most of today's losses.

Delighted, thank you.
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tikay
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« Reply #45616 on: July 21, 2013, 05:28:28 PM »


Everything was going so well in the golf, and then I dozed off......
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« Reply #45617 on: July 21, 2013, 05:36:06 PM »

Quite fancy the 7/2 England to win the Ashes 5-0

Old Trafford, Durham and the Oval all going to be similar pitches. Dry, wearing.

Australian batting very poor (I under-estimated this)

We have clear superiority in spin and in batting, Australians closest to parity in seam bowling

Weather set fair

reckon the right price is 3/1

England will be 4/6 to win each test from here on, having been Evens/above in the first two matches which would be a 3-1 treble

It's a small mis-price imo

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/series-correct-score



Meh.

You'd expect a dead cat bounce and England to slightly to take the foot off the gas (even if subconsciously) once the series has been won.

Plus impossible to predict the weather this far in advance.

I think you'd need 9/2 before this was a bet.

Not sure I agree.  The difference between the two teams is huge.  Of course England may take their foot off the gas but I still don't see how Australia beat an England team operating at 80%.  I was about to take 5.4 on Betfair so if you want to lay me 5.3 commission free I will happily take it.
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« Reply #45618 on: July 21, 2013, 05:39:36 PM »

Quite fancy the 7/2 England to win the Ashes 5-0

Old Trafford, Durham and the Oval all going to be similar pitches. Dry, wearing.

Australian batting very poor (I under-estimated this)

We have clear superiority in spin and in batting, Australians closest to parity in seam bowling

Weather set fair

reckon the right price is 3/1

England will be 4/6 to win each test from here on, having been Evens/above in the first two matches which would be a 3-1 treble

It's a small mis-price imo

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/series-correct-score



Meh.

You'd expect a dead cat bounce and England to slightly to take the foot off the gas (even if subconsciously) once the series has been won.

Plus impossible to predict the weather this far in advance.

I think you'd need 9/2 before this was a bet.

Not sure I agree.  The difference between the two teams is huge.  Of course England may take their foot off the gas but I still don't see how Australia beat an England team operating at 80%.  I was about to take 5.4 on Betfair so if you want to lay me 5.3 commission free I will happily take it.

I'd be happy to lay the 7/2 Tighty thought it was a bet at, but over 4/1 is a pass for me.

Good luck with it, hope they do it, because I would really be interested in backing Australia at a big price this winter.
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tikay
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« Reply #45619 on: July 21, 2013, 05:41:14 PM »

Quite fancy the 7/2 England to win the Ashes 5-0

Old Trafford, Durham and the Oval all going to be similar pitches. Dry, wearing.

Australian batting very poor (I under-estimated this)

We have clear superiority in spin and in batting, Australians closest to parity in seam bowling

Weather set fair

reckon the right price is 3/1

England will be 4/6 to win each test from here on, having been Evens/above in the first two matches which would be a 3-1 treble

It's a small mis-price imo

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/series-correct-score



Currently 5.4 on Betfair, and I have impulsively had £25 worth.

Hurry up and decide........
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« Reply #45620 on: July 21, 2013, 05:42:59 PM »

Quite fancy the 7/2 England to win the Ashes 5-0

Old Trafford, Durham and the Oval all going to be similar pitches. Dry, wearing.

Australian batting very poor (I under-estimated this)

We have clear superiority in spin and in batting, Australians closest to parity in seam bowling

Weather set fair

reckon the right price is 3/1

England will be 4/6 to win each test from here on, having been Evens/above in the first two matches which would be a 3-1 treble

It's a small mis-price imo

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/series-correct-score



Currently 5.4 on Betfair, and I have impulsively had £25 worth.

Hurry up and decide........

Nearly 9/2? Go on, thread will have it.
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« Reply #45621 on: July 21, 2013, 05:47:11 PM »


I'd be happy to lay the 7/2 Tighty thought it was a bet at, but over 4/1 is a pass for me.

Good luck with it, hope they do it, because I would really be interested in backing Australia at a big price this winter.

Fair enough - if you don't ask you don't get.
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tikay
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« Reply #45622 on: July 21, 2013, 05:50:52 PM »

Quite fancy the 7/2 England to win the Ashes 5-0

Old Trafford, Durham and the Oval all going to be similar pitches. Dry, wearing.

Australian batting very poor (I under-estimated this)

We have clear superiority in spin and in batting, Australians closest to parity in seam bowling

Weather set fair

reckon the right price is 3/1

England will be 4/6 to win each test from here on, having been Evens/above in the first two matches which would be a 3-1 treble

It's a small mis-price imo

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/series-correct-score



Currently 5.4 on Betfair, and I have impulsively had £25 worth.

Hurry up and decide........

Nearly 9/2? Go on, thread will have it.

CONFIRMED.

Fred has £25 @ 5.4, Betfair, England to win the current Ashes Series 5-0. Down to Tighty.

Will formalise details later, am pokering at present.
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« Reply #45623 on: July 21, 2013, 05:53:31 PM »

Adam Scott place is weighed in.  Sweat is over.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #45624 on: July 21, 2013, 05:55:46 PM »

Interim Report

Scott e/w, Gallacher, Quintana and Carney help the thread to an £18 profit today despite taking the bulk of the Open losses, over £100, this afternoon

This weekend a profit of over £150 on 31 bets and volume of £700
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« Reply #45625 on: July 21, 2013, 06:12:30 PM »

Adam Scott place is weighed in.  Sweat is over.

Well done Doobs, tremendous fun.
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« Reply #45626 on: July 21, 2013, 06:15:11 PM »

Interim Report

Scott e/w, Gallacher, Quintana and Carney help the thread to an £18 profit today despite taking the bulk of the Open losses, over £100, this afternoon

This weekend a profit of over £150 on 31 bets and volume of £700

Great effort by everyone, we buzzed all weekend and made a bit of money, too.

We will struggle to top the last few days.

Withdrawal symptoms tonight, no bets lined up!
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« Reply #45627 on: July 21, 2013, 06:43:35 PM »

Adam Scott place is weighed in.  Sweat is over.

Well done Doobs, tremendous fun.

It was a bit rubbish in the end.  It would have been a lot better if I put all 26 up.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #45628 on: July 21, 2013, 06:45:35 PM »

Swann takes nine wickets in the match

After two games he and Anderson ahve 13 wickets each, Siddle 11

We have Swann 11/2 top series wicket taker

Old Trafford has been spinning all summer

Looking like a good bet to sweat all summer
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« Reply #45629 on: July 21, 2013, 07:11:01 PM »

@BBCTMS

England last won the first two Tests of an Ashes series in 1978/79. They went on to win the series 5-1.
6:48pm - 21 Jul 13




This was the six test Ashes because of Kerry Packer's World Series Cricket, wasn't it?
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