blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
July 23, 2025, 12:27:48 PM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
2262390 Posts in 66606 Topics by 16991 Members
Latest Member: nolankerwin
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Community Forums
| |-+  Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
| | |-+  Tips for Tikay
tikay and 61 Guests are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 3229 3230 3231 3232 [3233] 3234 3235 3236 3237 ... 9208 Go Down Print
Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16415983 times)
The Camel
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 17075


Under my tree, being a troll.


View Profile
« Reply #48480 on: August 15, 2013, 08:59:28 PM »

Ladbrokes offering 33/1 that #mufc win none of their opening five PL games

Any good?

Swansea (a)  
Chelsea (h)    
Liverpool (a)  
Palace (h)
Man City (a)

Hi exstream, that price is longer than I first thought it would be, so I did some quick math. By my estimates backing United opponents to win or draw (laying United) would pay  1.9 x 1.6 x 2.2 x 5.5 x 1.6 = ~ 57-1.  

One pro is that the 3rd / 4th / 5th prices will change more to be in our favour if United start poorly. That said if my math is correct it is hard to see where the value lies and there's not many scenarios whereby Palace are taking points away from Old Trafford.


Disclaimer: I'm a Man United fan and was always going to find a reason to oppose the bet.

I cant figure the maths, but 33/1 for Man U to fail to win once in their first five instinctively feels way too low.

I'll back Utd to beat Palace at 2/9 if you want to lay it Smiley
Logged

Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #48481 on: August 15, 2013, 09:09:23 PM »

Ladbrokes offering 33/1 that #mufc win none of their opening five PL games

Any good?

Swansea (a)  
Chelsea (h)    
Liverpool (a)  
Palace (h)
Man City (a)

Hi exstream, that price is longer than I first thought it would be, so I did some quick math. By my estimates backing United opponents to win or draw (laying United) would pay  1.9 x 1.6 x 2.2 x 5.5 x 1.6 = ~ 57-1.  

One pro is that the 3rd / 4th / 5th prices will change more to be in our favour if United start poorly. That said if my math is correct it is hard to see where the value lies and there's not many scenarios whereby Palace are taking points away from Old Trafford.


Disclaimer: I'm a Man United fan and was always going to find a reason to oppose the bet.

I cant figure the maths, but 33/1 for Man U to fail to win once in their first five instinctively feels way too low.

I'll back Utd to beat Palace at 2/9 if you want to lay it Smiley

That is typically considerate of you Mr H, but I'll pass on this occasion if I may.

Palace will do well this Season to avoid getting bashed up pretty bad, and regularly, imo. Feel for Ant, in truth, but at least he'll taste the Prem, which looked highly unlikely most of last season.
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
McGlashan
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2555


View Profile
« Reply #48482 on: August 15, 2013, 09:15:16 PM »

Haha nothing gets past The Camel, thanks but no thanks.
Logged
Ant040689
Probation
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 0



View Profile
« Reply #48483 on: August 15, 2013, 09:18:46 PM »

Ladbrokes offering 33/1 that #mufc win none of their opening five PL games

Any good?

Swansea (a)  
Chelsea (h)    
Liverpool (a)  
Palace (h)
Man City (a)

Hi exstream, that price is longer than I first thought it would be, so I did some quick math. By my estimates backing United opponents to win or draw (laying United) would pay  1.9 x 1.6 x 2.2 x 5.5 x 1.6 = ~ 57-1.  

One pro is that the 3rd / 4th / 5th prices will change more to be in our favour if United start poorly. That said if my math is correct it is hard to see where the value lies and there's not many scenarios whereby Palace are taking points away from Old Trafford.


Disclaimer: I'm a Man United fan and was always going to find a reason to oppose the bet.

I cant figure the maths, but 33/1 for Man U to fail to win once in their first five instinctively feels way too low.

I'll back Utd to beat Palace at 2/9 if you want to lay it Smiley

That is typically considerate of you Mr H, but I'll pass on this occasion if I may.

Palace will do well this Season to avoid getting bashed up pretty bad, and regularly, imo. Feel for Ant, in truth, but at least he'll taste the Prem, which looked highly unlikely most of last season.

lol, everyone thinks we r as good as dead. I think we are staying up. As I thought we were value to get promoted last year. Just feel that less than 2/1 to stay up is measly odds.
Logged
McGlashan
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2555


View Profile
« Reply #48484 on: August 15, 2013, 09:26:29 PM »

On an entirely unrelated note have any bookies priced up a side to score the worst ever EPL points total this season?
Logged
The Camel
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 17075


Under my tree, being a troll.


View Profile
« Reply #48485 on: August 15, 2013, 09:34:41 PM »

Ladbrokes offering 33/1 that #mufc win none of their opening five PL games

Any good?

Swansea (a)  
Chelsea (h)    
Liverpool (a)  
Palace (h)
Man City (a)

Hi exstream, that price is longer than I first thought it would be, so I did some quick math. By my estimates backing United opponents to win or draw (laying United) would pay  1.9 x 1.6 x 2.2 x 5.5 x 1.6 = ~ 57-1.  

One pro is that the 3rd / 4th / 5th prices will change more to be in our favour if United start poorly. That said if my math is correct it is hard to see where the value lies and there's not many scenarios whereby Palace are taking points away from Old Trafford.


Disclaimer: I'm a Man United fan and was always going to find a reason to oppose the bet.

I cant figure the maths, but 33/1 for Man U to fail to win once in their first five instinctively feels way too low.

I'll back Utd to beat Palace at 2/9 if you want to lay it Smiley

That is typically considerate of you Mr H, but I'll pass on this occasion if I may.

Palace will do well this Season to avoid getting bashed up pretty bad, and regularly, imo. Feel for Ant, in truth, but at least he'll taste the Prem, which looked highly unlikely most of last season.

lol, everyone thinks we r as good as dead. I think we are staying up. As I thought we were value to get promoted last year. Just feel that less than 2/1 to stay up is measly odds.

Do you want a season match bet v Hull City Tigers?
Logged

Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #48486 on: August 15, 2013, 09:35:20 PM »

On an entirely unrelated note have any bookies priced up a side to score the worst ever EPL points total this season?


ENTIRELY unrelated, obv.

Smiley
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #48487 on: August 15, 2013, 09:37:03 PM »

Ladbrokes offering 33/1 that #mufc win none of their opening five PL games

Any good?

Swansea (a)  
Chelsea (h)    
Liverpool (a)  
Palace (h)
Man City (a)

Hi exstream, that price is longer than I first thought it would be, so I did some quick math. By my estimates backing United opponents to win or draw (laying United) would pay  1.9 x 1.6 x 2.2 x 5.5 x 1.6 = ~ 57-1.  

One pro is that the 3rd / 4th / 5th prices will change more to be in our favour if United start poorly. That said if my math is correct it is hard to see where the value lies and there's not many scenarios whereby Palace are taking points away from Old Trafford.


Disclaimer: I'm a Man United fan and was always going to find a reason to oppose the bet.

I cant figure the maths, but 33/1 for Man U to fail to win once in their first five instinctively feels way too low.

I'll back Utd to beat Palace at 2/9 if you want to lay it Smiley

That is typically considerate of you Mr H, but I'll pass on this occasion if I may.

Palace will do well this Season to avoid getting bashed up pretty bad, and regularly, imo. Feel for Ant, in truth, but at least he'll taste the Prem, which looked highly unlikely most of last season.

lol, everyone thinks we r as good as dead. I think we are staying up. As I thought we were value to get promoted last year. Just feel that less than 2/1 to stay up is measly odds.

Do you want a season match bet v Hull City Tigers?

Ruthless.
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Tal
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 24288


"He's always at it!"


View Profile
« Reply #48488 on: August 15, 2013, 09:41:07 PM »



 Click to see full-size image.
Logged

"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #48489 on: August 15, 2013, 10:17:41 PM »


Truly magnifique.
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #48490 on: August 15, 2013, 10:23:33 PM »


Our RL bet went south.

Horrible game, just one Try for Warrington, error-strewn, two bad injuries, pouring rain throughout, & Widnes upset the odds despite playing 75% of the game a man down. 

Just one of those games.
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #48491 on: August 15, 2013, 10:26:29 PM »

In the golf, with the bulk of the field in the clubhouse, our man still holds a one shot lead.

BIG day for him tomorrow.

The greens are unbelievably fast.
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Ant040689
Probation
*
Offline Offline

Posts: 0



View Profile
« Reply #48492 on: August 15, 2013, 10:40:40 PM »

Ladbrokes offering 33/1 that #mufc win none of their opening five PL games

Any good?

Swansea (a)  
Chelsea (h)    
Liverpool (a)  
Palace (h)
Man City (a)

Hi exstream, that price is longer than I first thought it would be, so I did some quick math. By my estimates backing United opponents to win or draw (laying United) would pay  1.9 x 1.6 x 2.2 x 5.5 x 1.6 = ~ 57-1.  

One pro is that the 3rd / 4th / 5th prices will change more to be in our favour if United start poorly. That said if my math is correct it is hard to see where the value lies and there's not many scenarios whereby Palace are taking points away from Old Trafford.


Disclaimer: I'm a Man United fan and was always going to find a reason to oppose the bet.

I cant figure the maths, but 33/1 for Man U to fail to win once in their first five instinctively feels way too low.

I'll back Utd to beat Palace at 2/9 if you want to lay it Smiley

That is typically considerate of you Mr H, but I'll pass on this occasion if I may.

Palace will do well this Season to avoid getting bashed up pretty bad, and regularly, imo. Feel for Ant, in truth, but at least he'll taste the Prem, which looked highly unlikely most of last season.

lol, everyone thinks we r as good as dead. I think we are staying up. As I thought we were value to get promoted last year. Just feel that less than 2/1 to stay up is measly odds.

Do you want a season match bet v Hull City Tigers?

There is a bet to be had, but its not that one, at least yet anyway. Want to feel out a few games before i think about a season long bet with you. My faith in Palace had me up a decent sum last year, and I think us being underdogs will have me making some more money. Just need to find the spots! Plus you are owed a beating from me. That's right I have made this personal.
Logged
Doobs
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 16733


View Profile
« Reply #48493 on: August 15, 2013, 10:45:20 PM »

Ladbrokes offering 33/1 that #mufc win none of their opening five PL games

Any good?

Swansea (a)  
Chelsea (h)    
Liverpool (a)  
Palace (h)
Man City (a)

Hi exstream, that price is longer than I first thought it would be, so I did some quick math. By my estimates backing United opponents to win or draw (laying United) would pay  1.9 x 1.6 x 2.2 x 5.5 x 1.6 = ~ 57-1.  

One pro is that the 3rd / 4th / 5th prices will change more to be in our favour if United start poorly. That said if my math is correct it is hard to see where the value lies and there's not many scenarios whereby Palace are taking points away from Old Trafford.


Disclaimer: I'm a Man United fan and was always going to find a reason to oppose the bet.

I cant figure the maths, but 33/1 for Man U to fail to win once in their first five instinctively feels way too low.

I'll back Utd to beat Palace at 2/9 if you want to lay it Smiley

That is typically considerate of you Mr H, but I'll pass on this occasion if I may.

Palace will do well this Season to avoid getting bashed up pretty bad, and regularly, imo. Feel for Ant, in truth, but at least he'll taste the Prem, which looked highly unlikely most of last season.

lol, everyone thinks we r as good as dead. I think we are staying up. As I thought we were value to get promoted last year. Just feel that less than 2/1 to stay up is measly odds.

For info, when Bradford City went up we were 7/2 to stay up in our first season, and we had gone up automatically.  Though I was pretty confident that price was wrong, 2/1 for the play off winner doesn't feel particularly generous. 

I can honestly say getting beat up every time you play Man U is not as much fun as you think it might be. 

Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Online Online

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #48494 on: August 15, 2013, 10:53:48 PM »

Chamakh appears to be Palace's only out and out striker this year that is going to start and Holloway has been quoted as saying we are building the team around him, he will start every game if he remains injury-free.

Our team have been built around getting the most out of target men that are good in the air and with our flair wingers bombing in a lot of crosses, he should clear 10 goals as our standout goalscorer. I think his record for Arsenal is skewed mainly by the fact he never had a continued run in the team.

The overs on him for league goals is 7.5 and that is priced at 1/1 with bet365. I think this is a good bet.

surely you should take the 3's on him to be your Top Goalscorer with VC then?

this is a better bet than evens over 7.5 in my opinion

More bang for your buck, and not easy to see who beats him. Phillips could score more every time he comes off the bench at 40 years old I suppose

Can you clarify exactly what is being suggested, at what price, & with whom, please. I'm going a bit giddy with this trying to separate the wheat from the chaff.

Ta.

Reminder, I still need clear guidance on this please.

Will get the bet(s) on in the morning, though I did not have anything like a £150 spend in mind at present.
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Pages: 1 ... 3229 3230 3231 3232 [3233] 3234 3235 3236 3237 ... 9208 Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.496 seconds with 19 queries.