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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16444967 times)
McGlashan
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« Reply #48645 on: August 16, 2013, 08:12:52 PM »

The La Liga suggestion is a team to score 100+ points (over 38games)  http://www.oddschecker.com/football/spain/la-liga-primera/spanish-la-liga-primera/team-to-get-100plus-points
Starting with the most recent season, the winning points tallies have been 100 (Barca), 100 (Real), 96 and 99. Much like the 4min mile and sub 10sec 100m, once these landmarks have been broken it can lead to an opening the flood gates for repeat efforts.

Last season Barca achieved it despite dropping 5 points vs Real Madrid. Also the exodus of talent from the rest of the La Liga clubs is in favour of the bet.

Oh and and the price on offer is a very appealing 3.8
« Last Edit: August 16, 2013, 09:02:47 PM by McGlashan » Logged
superwomble
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« Reply #48646 on: August 16, 2013, 08:16:14 PM »

71 - Jesus Navas created more chances from open play than any other player in La Liga in 2012/13. Cross.

just for a bit of good karma towards one of the season long bets




I like the Navas bet, am on it myself and was pleased Fred got on before PP cut the price.

Think Fred should also get on Cazorla e/w at 20/1 with Boyles too.

I'm just bumping Wombles top assister bet again as there was no yay or nay on it.
I like it and I'm on it.

Also would like to propose Darren 'The Dazzler' Bent e/w as top goalscorer @ 80/1 (generally).
Bent historically has 2 joint 6ths, one 4th place and two 3rd places in this market. He's a greedy out and out goalscorer and has just joined Fulham on loan for the season, which looks a nice fit to me after his nightmare 18 months at Villa.

Suggest a modest £5 e/w @ 80/1 top Premiership goalscorer.

I need some views on that Cazorla suggestion, please.

We HAVE done the Bent bet, despite the negatives pointed out by Tighty & Chess Bloke. Dazzy has been a spectacular winner for us (68%, & over £400 profit over 18 bets) so I need to trust his judgement. If he is wrong, I shoot him.

We have £5 EW @ 80/1, BetVictor, Darren Bent Top PL Goalscorer. (Qtr, 1,2,3,4).

ON

Premier League Top Goalscorer Darren Bent (EW)(Outright)Odds: 80/1 Stake: 10.00Possible Return:  510.00


Cazorla was second or third top assister last season, 1 assist behind Mata who is 11/1 favourite. Arsenal will always be up there in terms of goals scored and now in his second season Cazorla should be looking to improve. He's certainly far more proven than Navas. Apparently he also made more passes in the final third than any other player in Europe last season. I expect Giroud to improve this year too, which should help Cazorla's assist amount, and I can't see Arsenal getting to the end of the transfer window without making a big signing.
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Doobs
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« Reply #48647 on: August 16, 2013, 08:17:37 PM »

Just a note for Doobs, or any others who like the Will Hill bet, betfred have been offering it for the last few weeks too and i don't think it needs to be done on mobile either.  So if there are any particularly strong fancies for the channel 4 races it might be worth doubling up over the two sites.

Is it all races?  I know somebody was offering me the same in bad hand picked races, and then offering uncompetitive odds.  I have a feeling it was BetFred but may be wrong.  BetVictor have been offering similar but you have to be 2nd to the favourite which isn't as generous.  

Ladbrokes offer finishes tomorrow AFAIK.  
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
a.sparrow
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« Reply #48648 on: August 16, 2013, 08:23:18 PM »

Just a note for Doobs, or any others who like the Will Hill bet, betfred have been offering it for the last few weeks too and i don't think it needs to be done on mobile either.  So if there are any particularly strong fancies for the channel 4 races it might be worth doubling up over the two sites.

Is it all races?  I know somebody was offering me the same in bad hand picked races, and then offering uncompetitive odds.  I have a feeling it was BetFred but may be wrong.  BetVictor have been offering similar but you have to be 2nd to the favourite which isn't as generous.  

Ladbrokes offer finishes tomorrow AFAIK.  

All channel 4 races as far as i can see, unsure as to how the odds compare as i've not looked into it yet but betfred seem to be ok on their horse racing odds.
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« Reply #48649 on: August 16, 2013, 08:29:49 PM »

Just a note for Doobs, or any others who like the Will Hill bet, betfred have been offering it for the last few weeks too and i don't think it needs to be done on mobile either.  So if there are any particularly strong fancies for the channel 4 races it might be worth doubling up over the two sites.

Is it all races?  I know somebody was offering me the same in bad hand picked races, and then offering uncompetitive odds.  I have a feeling it was BetFred but may be wrong.  BetVictor have been offering similar but you have to be 2nd to the favourite which isn't as generous.  

Ladbrokes offer finishes tomorrow AFAIK.  

All channel 4 races as far as i can see, unsure as to how the odds compare as i've not looked into it yet but betfred seem to be ok on their horse racing odds.

Does appear that way.  So tomorrow we have BetFred, Ladbrokes and Hills offering the same.  Is this a bit much for Tighty?
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
horseplayer
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« Reply #48650 on: August 16, 2013, 08:40:01 PM »

The La Liga suggestion is a team to score 100+ points (over 38games)  [url]http://www.oddschecker.com/football/spain/la-liga-primera/spanish-la-liga-primera/team-to-get-100plus-points/[url]

Starting with the most recent season, the winning points tallies have been 100 (Barca), 100 (Real), 96 and 99. Much like the 4min mile and sub 10sec 100m, once these landmarks have been broken it can lead to an opening the flood gates for repeat efforts.

Last season Barca achieved it despite dropping 5 points vs Real Madrid. Also the exodus of talent from the rest of the La Liga clubs is in favour of the bet.

Oh and and the price on offer is a very appealing 3.8

on first reflection this a cracking bet

It is hard to over estimate how weaker nearly all sides are. Infact the only two sides bar the top two who are not in dire straights financially are ath madrid (rightful favs for third) and bilbao (one of reasons for my bet earlier) Making further players sales likely

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tikay
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« Reply #48651 on: August 16, 2013, 08:40:13 PM »

Half Time - Doncaster 1 Blackburn 0
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redarmi
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« Reply #48652 on: August 16, 2013, 08:53:11 PM »

We should bet Kansas Cuity Chiefs tonight in the NFL preseason -1.5 against the 49ers.  KC coach Andy Reid is planning on playing his starters for the full first half and normally teams don't do that until the 3rd game of preseason so we can expect SF not to.  Paddy Power have the price along with Sky for others.  If Power is no good the -2.5 is fine at 10/11.  Suggest 55 quid.
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« Reply #48653 on: August 16, 2013, 09:11:15 PM »

Add a 0 to the end if redarmi is confident, that way we can be almost freerolling the 600 Doobs is going to recommend punting on the channel 4 races tomorrow Wink
« Last Edit: August 16, 2013, 09:17:00 PM by a.sparrow » Logged
tikay
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« Reply #48654 on: August 16, 2013, 09:15:52 PM »

We should bet Kansas Cuity Chiefs tonight in the NFL preseason -1.5 against the 49ers.  KC coach Andy Reid is planning on playing his starters for the full first half and normally teams don't do that until the 3rd game of preseason so we can expect SF not to.  Paddy Power have the price along with Sky for others.  If Power is no good the -2.5 is fine at 10/11.  Suggest 55 quid.

Thanks Stu.

Amazingly, Paddy Power allowed me the full bet. Bad omen, imo, they must know something.

We have £55 @ 10/11, Paddy Power, Kansas City (-1.5) over the 49ers.

ON

16/08/2013 Single To Win Kansas City Chiefs @ 10/11
 Handicap(-1.5)
San Francisco 49ers At Kansas City Chiefs Pending £55.00   
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tikay
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« Reply #48655 on: August 16, 2013, 09:17:12 PM »


With 20 minutes remaining.......

Doncaster Rovers 2 Blackburn 0
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tikay
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« Reply #48656 on: August 16, 2013, 09:18:56 PM »

Just a note for Doobs, or any others who like the Will Hill bet, betfred have been offering it for the last few weeks too and i don't think it needs to be done on mobile either.  So if there are any particularly strong fancies for the channel 4 races it might be worth doubling up over the two sites.

Is it all races?  I know somebody was offering me the same in bad hand picked races, and then offering uncompetitive odds.  I have a feeling it was BetFred but may be wrong.  BetVictor have been offering similar but you have to be 2nd to the favourite which isn't as generous.  

Ladbrokes offer finishes tomorrow AFAIK.  

All channel 4 races as far as i can see, unsure as to how the odds compare as i've not looked into it yet but betfred seem to be ok on their horse racing odds.

Does appear that way.  So tomorrow we have BetFred, Ladbrokes and Hills offering the same.  Is this a bit much for Tighty?

Think Tighty is at the cricket tomorrow, but I can Update the Spready if need be. Not accurately, of course.

Up to you Doobs. If we do that, the earlier the better please, as I might be a bit pre-occupied tomorrow.
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tikay
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« Reply #48657 on: August 16, 2013, 09:24:21 PM »

71 - Jesus Navas created more chances from open play than any other player in La Liga in 2012/13. Cross.

just for a bit of good karma towards one of the season long bets




I like the Navas bet, am on it myself and was pleased Fred got on before PP cut the price.

Think Fred should also get on Cazorla e/w at 20/1 with Boyles too.

I'm just bumping Wombles top assister bet again as there was no yay or nay on it.
I like it and I'm on it.

Also would like to propose Darren 'The Dazzler' Bent e/w as top goalscorer @ 80/1 (generally).
Bent historically has 2 joint 6ths, one 4th place and two 3rd places in this market. He's a greedy out and out goalscorer and has just joined Fulham on loan for the season, which looks a nice fit to me after his nightmare 18 months at Villa.

Suggest a modest £5 e/w @ 80/1 top Premiership goalscorer.

I need some views on that Cazorla suggestion, please.

We HAVE done the Bent bet, despite the negatives pointed out by Tighty & Chess Bloke. Dazzy has been a spectacular winner for us (68%, & over £400 profit over 18 bets) so I need to trust his judgement. If he is wrong, I shoot him.

We have £5 EW @ 80/1, BetVictor, Darren Bent Top PL Goalscorer. (Qtr, 1,2,3,4).

ON

Premier League Top Goalscorer Darren Bent (EW)(Outright)Odds: 80/1 Stake: 10.00Possible Return:  510.00


Cazorla was second or third top assister last season, 1 assist behind Mata who is 11/1 favourite. Arsenal will always be up there in terms of goals scored and now in his second season Cazorla should be looking to improve. He's certainly far more proven than Navas. Apparently he also made more passes in the final third than any other player in Europe last season. I expect Giroud to improve this year too, which should help Cazorla's assist amount, and I can't see Arsenal getting to the end of the transfer window without making a big signing.

OK, you got me.

This will complete our pre-season football book, though a decision is still needed on that Palace Goalscorer bet that Ant mentioned once or twice, & there is room for that, but only up until Noon on Saturday.

We have £10EW @ 20/1, Boylesports, Cazorla, Most PL Assists.

ON

Bet ref: 100/98

Cazorla, Santiago @ 20/1 EW 1/4 1,2,3,4
 Premier League 2013/2014
 Most Assists

Total stake
£20.00

Estimated return
£270.00
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tikay
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« Reply #48658 on: August 16, 2013, 09:25:58 PM »


Watching the Wyndham Golf via the Red Button, & I've no idea how our Hole In One bet has not got home, they are battering the pin on the 16th, but none have dropped yet.
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tikay
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« Reply #48659 on: August 16, 2013, 09:41:30 PM »


With 20 minutes remaining.......

Doncaster Rovers 2 Blackburn 0

This was the final score, so our bet went south.
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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