Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Oi oi! Random draw bias alert!

Tipperary. It's a long way home for those drawn low judging by the last race over 5f.

The next race is also 5f and we have to be backing the obv runner drawn high.

That is Invisible Flash, 4-1 generally in the 3.15

£20 win @ 4-1, gogogogo!

3/1 now.

Guess whats for dinner tonight?

Beetroot?

....is WRONG.

The correct answer was, of course.....

[Doobs]

If jockeys had brains...

I did think that as he was heading over to the far rail.

[tikay]

huh, I hadnt said anything and everybody was setting lines on when Id chirp? lol

But yeah Im a bad guy Keith, you got me down to a tee.

Aftertiming is the worst.

You've got a way to go to catch BigAdz and Kinboshi though.

tbf keith pleno tipped di canios sacking a few weeks back I thought fred was on I was going to come on and offer my congratulations but skimming the spreadsheet fred didnt get on.

so he isnt after timing in the sense that I understand after timing just offering rubs which was to be expected and he was mocked for before it happened

Aftertiming is boasting about picking a winner when the person/people you are boasting to aren't on.

What is the point of boasting anyway? The person boasting is only going to piss off the people he's boasting to

lol i didnt though i was just responding to those posting. I still dont think there is anything wrong with posting boooooom or something when a bet youve been predicting and others have backed comes in, perfectly fine.

but we both know you and i both hate to be wrong, and its Monday and i want to start the week smiling so you can win this one sir.

gl this week punters

Good man.

And in the same spirit, I GUARANTEE that I would have bumped your Post (as I did) once it got home, even if I'd argued black & blue & not got Fred on, I would do it every single time, & I do. I don't have any ego left to bruise, trust me.

It's an etiquette thing. The punting equivelant of slowrolls in poker. Let others praise YOU, it works better that way. Always.

Next case.

[Chompy]

It's a sea of blue!

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/sunderland-v-peterborough-united/half-time-full-time

Tommy Rowe at 7-1 and Danny Swanson at 23-2(!), or 9-1 with better-known bookie type, both to big.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/sunderland-v-peterborough-united/anytime-goalscorer

[tikay]

If jockeys had brains...

It did look as if he had not sussed it, the thing was flying at the death.

Remind me whilst you are here, you placed a bet for me a few days ago, £15 I think, is that correct, & what was it for? I need to settle my bills.

[Chompy]

If jockeys had brains...

It did look as if he had not sussed it, the thing was flying at the death.

Remind me whilst you are here, you placed a bet for me a few days ago, £15 I think, is that correct, & what was it for? I need to settle my bills.

You have £15 on Posh-Posh away at Di Canio's former charges tomorrow evening. I spoon-feed value on a regular basis tbf. Settle up either way tomo. Gogo Poshies!

[tikay]

It's a sea of blue!

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/sunderland-v-peterborough-united/half-time-full-time

Tommy Rowe at 7-1 and Danny Swanson at 23-2(!), or 9-1 with better-known bookie type, both to big.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/sunderland-v-peterborough-united/anytime-goalscorer

Blimey, we nicked some value there, well done.

I'll get on those two ANYTIME's shortly, then I gotta go, been trying to get my nap for 2 hours.

[Doobs]

If jockeys had brains...

I did think that as he was heading over to the far rail.

Chompy

By your logic, Quinine in the next and boughtforasong in the one after?  Both drawn high.

[Waz1892]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/aston-villa-v-tottenham/winner

spurs played Thursday, Sunday and now Tuesday in a competition that is way down the list of priorities for them.  Villa, have the cups and that is it.

villa at home, 5/2with most seems like a reasonable bet?

5/2, at home, & Spurs (away) have to play their third game in 6 days in a "not very interesting" Cup?

I'm not a football expert, but to me, that looks a must bet.

I'll need some advice from the grown-ups, but I've had a little bet for myself on the strength of your suggestion.

Views anyone?

The bookies have the same info as we do, perhaps I'm missing something here?

This looks a bet to me.  You can get 13/5 with BetFred which is a bit better.

Here to learn...

But, what's the difference in this bet and the numerous others similar to this where bookies have all of the information that we are using as positives to bet ?

There does seem to be some relevance put onto who is posting the bet itt, imo.

Most of us are, Ray.

In this case, I sort of think the bookies MAY have failed to adequately discount the 3 matches in 6 days thing. I could be completely wrong, of course, & I'll doubtless be told if I am! I have to make these calls every day, & I get plenty wrong. I don't see how else I can do it.

Relevance to the Poster? Of course! If it's an Elder, even if I disagree, I bet it blind. Someone I know well, been here for ever, not so much, that's just a judgement call. In this case, Mr Waz is (relatively) not one who sticks up many bets here, so I sought advice, & when Maths Man agreed, I decided to bet.

My very close personal friend Methuselah followed up with a suggestion to oppose Arsenasl shortly after - I have yet to get on that, as I'm wobbling & dithering.

The danger of course is "clique" accusations, which, I confess, irk me somewhat. We've had nearly 140 different folks have Fred bets, & the aim to to keep getting more & more follks to stick stuff up. Striking the right balance is incredibly difficult, but as it is my money on the line, it stands to reason that I do the best I can to sort the wheat from the chaff.

It helps (more than it should) if people give a good rationale for the bet to justify the perrceived value, and an Oddschecker link. It don't 'arf help, because Fred soaks up time like a sponge. That sort of thing should not sway me, but it sometimes does, for reasons of (lack of) time.

Good question Mr N.

I seem to cause all kinds....At 5/2 I thought it was a high price for prem vs prem, at home, against a team that played 3 in 6, and who won't rate the comp as highly as the opponents.  I share my views, and if an elder and tikay figures it good, I'm pleased they agree.  if not we move on.

[tikay]

It's a sea of blue!

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/sunderland-v-peterborough-united/half-time-full-time

Tommy Rowe at 7-1 and Danny Swanson at 23-2(!), or 9-1 with better-known bookie type, both to big.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/sunderland-v-peterborough-united/anytime-goalscorer

DONE, both with Ladbrokes. £15 eqach sound about right?


Swanson @ 9/1, Rowe @ 7/1, both ANYTIME

ON



Danny Swanson
Sunderland v Peterborough

 Singles - Player to score at any time

1 line @ £15.0 per line
.
Total Stake £15.00

Potential Return £150.00

Receipt No: O/142640973/0000450




 7/1
Tommy Rowe
Sunderland v Peterborough

 Singles - Player to score at any time

1 line @ £15.0 per line
.
Total Stake £15.00

Potential Return £120.00

Receipt No: O/142640973/0000451

[hector62]

The cricket has been abandoned Mr T.

[Chompy]

Only six runners in the next Doobsy, so they'll all stick to the inner.

Boughtforasong looks good for the maiden though. Surely Tiiiiighe will come near side? Won't he? Surely? Innit?

First two in the betting drawn 1 and 2, so this looks the ideal spot, with the next up being in 10. As long as that there jockey comes wide of course.

[tikay]

Only six runners in the next Doobsy, so they'll all stick to the inner.

Boughtforasong looks good for the maiden though. Surely Tiiiiighe will come near side? Won't he? Surely? Innit?

First two in the betting drawn 1 and 2, so this looks the ideal spot, with the next up being in 10. As long as that there jockey comes wide of course.

Try again.....

£20 WIN @ 4/1, Wm Hill, Boughtforasong, 4.15 Tipper. 


ON

23 Sep 2013 - 4:15 Tipperary - Win

Best Odds Guaranteed!

Tip It

Boughtforasong @ 4/1

Stake : £20.00


Estimated Returns : £

100.00



Transaction Reference:

O/0457483/0000668/F

[Chompy]

Get ready...we're probably going in on The X Factor this afternoon. Just concluding the research now.

[tikay]

Get ready...we're probably going in on The X Factor this afternoon. Just concluding the research now.

Good lord. Research?

Get ready. I'm off for my nap shortly. Far more interesting.