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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13587460 times)
horseplayer
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« Reply #56895 on: October 16, 2013, 08:57:27 AM »

wish i had the courage of my convictions with the Chile game

Will be automatic over backer in there world cup games again though great side to watch coming to the peak

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« Reply #56896 on: October 16, 2013, 10:11:18 AM »

Betfred have England at 33-1 for today only to win World Cup, £100 max. Would this be a bet to lay back nearer the time for a freebie?

24 on betfair at the moment.

Any thoughts?
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BigAdz
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« Reply #56897 on: October 16, 2013, 10:40:57 AM »

Betfred have England at 33-1 for today only to win World Cup, £100 max. Would this be a bet to lay back nearer the time for a freebie?

24 on betfair at the moment.

Any thoughts?


No brainer, surely. Good spot
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
Doobs
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« Reply #56898 on: October 16, 2013, 10:42:58 AM »

Betfred have England at 33-1 for today only to win World Cup, £100 max. Would this be a bet to lay back nearer the time for a freebie?

24 on betfair at the moment.

Any thoughts?


No brainer, surely. Good spot

Ha, backed this earlier, was limited to £6.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
sharky_uk
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« Reply #56899 on: October 16, 2013, 10:44:44 AM »

Betfred have England at 33-1 for today only to win World Cup, £100 max. Would this be a bet to lay back nearer the time for a freebie?

24 on betfair at the moment.

Any thoughts?


No brainer, surely. Good spot

Ha, backed this earlier, was limited to £6.

Backed on a brand new account. Limited to £50
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TightEnd
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« Reply #56900 on: October 16, 2013, 10:45:26 AM »

Daily Report

Profit on Month £15.31

Outstanding Bets £2803.66

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=30

A loss of £3 yesterday

Rooney first goalscorer for England and Negredo first goalsscorer for Spain offset other bets namely Eriksen. Michu and unluckily Armenia

Australia are batting in the 2nd ODI and Finch hit a 50, Bailey not in yet

Updating the NFL Paassing yard bet

1   Peyton Manning, QB   DEN 2,179   
2   Drew Brees, QB NO   1,958   
3   Philip Rivers, QB SD   1,847   
4   Matthew Stafford, QBDET   1,772
5   Eli Manning, QB   NYG   1,721   
6   Joe Flacco, QB   BAL   1,702   
7   Tony Romo, QBDAL   1,693   
8   Matt Ryan, QB   ATL   1,649   
9   Aaron Rodgers, QB   1,646   
10   Jay Cutler, QB   CHI   1,630   

Ryan is falling away with injuries to his main receivers, Stafford having a good season and so far overcoming injury to Megatron, Brees as expected. Big surprise the return to form of Rivers. Rodgers has had a bye week, so will be higher once everyone else has


Chile did not draw 0-0 last night.
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #56901 on: October 16, 2013, 10:50:39 AM »

CREWE V BRISTOL CITY

I was suprised to see Bristol City as favourites for this game on Saturday being the away team.  I know everything is "in the price" but it just seems wrong to me.  Bristol City haven't won in the league yet, and while Crewe have had some shockers they are coming off the back of a thumping win away at Preston who were on great form before that game.  To my mind Crewe will be in a far better mindset than Bristol City. 

I am on the wrong end of a private season long wager with Camel on Bristol City, so I've been keeping a close eye on their form.  They have been unlucky in some games, but the feeling on the fans forum is that they are set for a season of struggle against relegation, and this isn't one of those situations where a promotion team have just started slowly. 

Thoughts from the floor?  I think Crewe are a cracking bet at 21/10 with Bet Victor for £50 or so.

Dung
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sharky_uk
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« Reply #56902 on: October 16, 2013, 10:51:13 AM »

Michu was a non-runner
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Doobs
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« Reply #56903 on: October 16, 2013, 10:56:03 AM »

On the coupon that we don't talk about.

I had a line on last night's coupon with a company that only lays £6 on their headline offer today.

Balotelli and Benzema both scored and Michu was a non runner.  They paid me 2/1 on the two goalscorers, so an average of about 8/11 each.  

That seems pretty stingy to me, so I think if people are going to do this, you need to be backing very last minute and making sure your runners are definitely playing before betting.  Otherwise you are opening yourself up to backing doubles at below best prices.  There is little point in finding a bet witha an EV of +20% bet one week, if you are going to find a -30% bet the next.  
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
horseplayer
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« Reply #56904 on: October 16, 2013, 11:28:01 AM »

fill in the blanks

1 , 47 goals
2 Ronaldo, 43
3 Eusébio, 41
4 Figo, 32
5 Nuno Gomes, 29
6 , 27
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tikay
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« Reply #56905 on: October 16, 2013, 11:29:47 AM »

On the coupon that we don't talk about.

I had a line on last night's coupon with a company that only lays £6 on their headline offer today.
Balotelli and Benzema both scored and Michu was a non runner.  They paid me 2/1 on the two goalscorers, so an average of about 8/11 each.  

That seems pretty stingy to me, so I think if people are going to do this, you need to be backing very last minute and making sure your runners are definitely playing before betting.  Otherwise you are opening yourself up to backing doubles at below best prices.  There is little point in finding a bet witha an EV of +20% bet one week, if you are going to find a -30% bet the next.  

They lay ice-creams as much as £50......
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tikay
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« Reply #56906 on: October 16, 2013, 11:30:36 AM »

Michu was a non-runner

Thanks Sharky, not sure Tighty would have been aware. I'll check my Bet365 Statement.
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tikay
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« Reply #56907 on: October 16, 2013, 11:32:20 AM »

Betfred have England at 33-1 for today only to win World Cup, £100 max. Would this be a bet to lay back nearer the time for a freebie?

24 on betfair at the moment.

Any thoughts?

TY TY.

Only saw this just now, but I managed to get £50 @ 33/1.

Must emphasise, this is a trading position.

Never thought I'd see the day I'd back England to win the World Cup again in my lifetime.

BET PLACED
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kpnuts
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« Reply #56908 on: October 16, 2013, 11:49:18 AM »

Fred's man in now in the cricket. Hughes added an 83 to his 47 in Game 1. So Bailey needs 46 to retake lead. Currently 33 off 24 balls with 9 overs left.
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tikay
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« Reply #56909 on: October 16, 2013, 11:56:27 AM »

Fred's man in now in the cricket. Hughes added an 83 to his 47 in Game 1. So Bailey needs 46 to retake lead. Currently 33 off 24 balls with 9 overs left.

Thanks, this bet has the making of a decent sweat.

Scorecard (live) is here......


http://www.espncricinfo.com/india-v-australia-2013-14/engine/current/match/647251.html

...or it is live on Sky Sports 1.
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