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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16426887 times)
Doobs
Hero Member
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Posts: 16733
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57570 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:25:45 PM »
Quote from: aaron1867 on October 23, 2013, 04:15:40 PM
Quote from: Doobs on October 23, 2013, 04:13:17 PM
Quote from: aaron1867 on October 23, 2013, 03:56:28 PM
Robben also standout at 5's to score 2 or more with 365 only too.
People score 2 much less than they score 1.
Ah.... I didn't realise this....
36 games since the start of the 2012/13 season, scored twice once, though he did it 5 times in 37 games the season before. Good luck with your bet, but not for this board.
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
horseplayer
Hero Member
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Posts: 10314
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57571 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:27:41 PM »
holloway gone
hope some got some
Logged
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57572 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:29:23 PM »
Quote from: horseplayer on October 23, 2013, 04:27:41 PM
holloway gone
hope some got some
As expected.
Presumably, bad, or not good, for our "Palace to finish bottom" bet?
Likely replacements, horsey?
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link -
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(copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
BigAdz
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Posts: 8140
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57573 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:30:41 PM »
Quote from: horseplayer on October 23, 2013, 04:27:41 PM
holloway gone
hope some got some
Tried within seconds. Never available
Logged
Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
aaron1867
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3386
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57574 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:31:18 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on October 23, 2013, 04:25:45 PM
Quote from: aaron1867 on October 23, 2013, 04:15:40 PM
Quote from: Doobs on October 23, 2013, 04:13:17 PM
Quote from: aaron1867 on October 23, 2013, 03:56:28 PM
Robben also standout at 5's to score 2 or more with 365 only too.
People score 2 much less than they score 1.
Ah.... I didn't realise this....
36 games since the start of the 2012/13 season, scored twice once, though he did it 5 times in 37 games the season before. Good luck with your bet, but not for this board.
What bet? What isn't for this board?
The Palace thing is no good for bet really, but whoever they get in... surely doomed, can't see them finishing anything other than bottom!
Logged
horseplayer
Hero Member
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Posts: 10314
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57575 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:32:28 PM »
Quote from: BigAdz on October 23, 2013, 04:30:41 PM
Quote from: horseplayer on October 23, 2013, 04:27:41 PM
holloway gone
hope some got some
Tried within seconds. Never available
was laid for 10 minutes after every other firm had pulled
Logged
Doobs
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 16733
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57576 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:34:07 PM »
Quote from: aaron1867 on October 23, 2013, 04:31:18 PM
Quote from: Doobs on October 23, 2013, 04:25:45 PM
Quote from: aaron1867 on October 23, 2013, 04:15:40 PM
Quote from: Doobs on October 23, 2013, 04:13:17 PM
Quote from: aaron1867 on October 23, 2013, 03:56:28 PM
Robben also standout at 5's to score 2 or more with 365 only too.
People score 2 much less than they score 1.
Ah.... I didn't realise this....
36 games since the start of the 2012/13 season, scored twice once, though he did it 5 times in 37 games the season before. Good luck with your bet, but not for this board.
What bet? What isn't for this board?
The Palace thing is no good for bet really, but whoever they get in... surely doomed, can't see them finishing anything other than bottom!
<3 Aaron
Logged
Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
BigAdz
Hero Member
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Posts: 8140
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57577 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:35:44 PM »
Quote from: aaron1867 on October 23, 2013, 04:23:54 PM
Quote from: BigAdz on October 23, 2013, 04:19:47 PM
Quote from: Doobs on October 23, 2013, 04:13:17 PM
Quote from: aaron1867 on October 23, 2013, 03:56:28 PM
Robben also standout at 5's to score 2 or more with 365 only too.
People score 2 much less than they score 1. I'd much rather have 11/6 to score once than 5/1 to score twice. Why not just put the money on the obvious value?
Has anybody done any maths on the to score twice markets?
The maths of punting are not my strong point but when someone is a lower price to score twice than they are to score first, especially when the FGS market has a back up, I don't need a maths guru to tell me its a no value bet.
He's only a bigger price with 365 to score first, everywhere else he is shorter. I am not sure the maths proves it's a bad bet.
I think that Plzen will be attempting to hold out as long as they can, but if Bayern score very early, then the floodgates are to open. He's standout at 5's with 365, then no bigger than 4's elsewhere, it's a bit of value in THAT particular market, expecting Bayern to be scoring quite a few tonight I'd imagine.
None of my previous bets was a recc for Fred fwiw.
Hi Aaron. I'm not saying its a a bad bet, but the basis of the success of the FGS ew market, is the maths.
If all the good maths bets on here were a success we'd all being Vegas 6months of the year and the other 6 months in the Bahamas....you still need to follow your gut if you have a strong opinion. Don't let opinion on here stop you enjoying it.
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
aaron1867
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 3386
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57578 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:37:25 PM »
Having a browse round OC and don't generally enjoy long term sweats personally, but this season invested in two singles of Donny & Coventry to go down in their respective leagues, which is going really well so far
But Man Utd are stand out at 25's to win the Champions League and the group looks simple enough to get through where as Man City are shorter and Arsenal ame price as United, surely this isn't right? The group they will get out of & I don't think they are ever 25-1 shot, regardless of domestic form and are quite obviously in change with Moyes. If they win tonight, you'd expect the pric eto be gone, no? Win the next two and they are through....
Worth a £10-£20 interest for myself personally
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BigAdz
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 8140
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57579 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:38:35 PM »
Quote from: horseplayer on October 23, 2013, 04:32:28 PM
Quote from: BigAdz on October 23, 2013, 04:30:41 PM
Quote from: horseplayer on October 23, 2013, 04:27:41 PM
holloway gone
hope some got some
Tried within seconds. Never available
was laid for 10 minutes after every other firm had pulled
Not saying it wasn't horsey, but not available seconds after you posted, and you posted he was gone 6 mins after your first post, so not surprising. Not an issue, just saying.
Logged
Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
a.sparrow
Sr. Member
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Posts: 674
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57580 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:47:14 PM »
365 seem to be going for it on the goal scorer front today. I looked at all of the games earlier but nothing stood out apart from the bayern game. However they have just pushed Aguero out to 7/1 1st from
. Way OOL from the other firms. The pitch doesnt look good, and i dont think its going to be a route from city, but they are sticking their neck out abit today
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horseplayer
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 10314
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57581 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:57:13 PM »
aplogies adz i got the "reply button" message and the post posted later than i intended
Stan were last to suspend at 4.02 i rang a friend who got a lump on at 4.10pm
As exstream pointed out the other day no idea who is in charge of the sportsbook on betfair but they are very slow to react to market moves e.t.c
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a.sparrow
Sr. Member
Offline
Posts: 674
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57582 on:
October 23, 2013, 04:59:31 PM »
Actually i think aguero 7/1 first and 9/4 anytime (cant seem to do each way on the 7/1 on 365?) should be fred bets, too far out of line with the rest, beats betfair etc.
Edit: Forgot tikay was away, no fred bet but seems decent for anyone who wants a punt.
Final Edit : he is 6/4 anytime on the bet365 website, if you find it on oddschecker and click via that link it's 9/4.
«
Last Edit: October 23, 2013, 05:06:16 PM by a.sparrow
»
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horseplayer
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 10314
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57583 on:
October 23, 2013, 05:01:11 PM »
http://espnfc.com/blog/_/name/espnfcunited/id/10204?cc=5739
excellent blog on 'arrys book and the general acceptance of not telling the truth in football
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Marky147
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 22634
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #57584 on:
October 23, 2013, 05:09:18 PM »
Quote from: horseplayer on October 23, 2013, 05:01:11 PM
http://espnfc.com/blog/_/name/espnfcunited/id/10204?cc=5739
excellent blog on 'arrys book and the general acceptance of not telling the truth in football
Saw earlier that he is donating all royalties from the book to Bobby Moore's charity.
Logged
Burning $$$ in Vegas 2021
http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=68840.0
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