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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16397094 times)
tikay
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« Reply #63225 on: December 29, 2013, 01:21:52 PM »

I got a refund for Dwayne smith bet from pp?
What happened? I must have missed it

I reported this 2 days ago - Paddy Power voided our bet, but Bet365 have yet to do so.

Dwayne had to miss Big Bash for personal reasons, though I'm unclear why we got refunded, as it was, effectively, an ante-post bet. Not complaining, though.
« Last Edit: December 29, 2013, 01:23:44 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #63226 on: December 29, 2013, 03:03:03 PM »

Suarez v Stoke.

Stoke are 7/1, but DNB they are 11/2, think this is decent, but no real thoughts on the game tbh.

Suarez is playing Chelsea lol


lmao, losing the plot, spurs v stoke, no idea why I put suarez!!!

Spurs do have a better record than most against Stoke, although both have changed manager and style since we last played. I don't have a view on the price, but thought that might help explain the price.
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« Reply #63227 on: December 29, 2013, 03:03:27 PM »

no time for reasons and not for thread but had a few goalscoring bets today at best prices stated

h vuckic 12-1 and 4-1 anytime, michael o connor 20's and 6's both for Rotherham away at Port Vale

Graig Eastmond 25's and 7's for Colchester home to Crewe (scored twice two days ago) wont get a better chance than home to Crewe surprised price not adjusted

P Mccourt an old fred friend still 21 first with 888 which is fair  and my biggest play today Matt Ritchie 11's and 4's with corals for Bournemouth no idea why so big for most likely scorer at present.


Good luck all
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tikay
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« Reply #63228 on: December 29, 2013, 03:05:19 PM »


65 mins - Arsenal go 1-0 up v Newcastle with a goal from Giroud.
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« Reply #63229 on: December 29, 2013, 03:06:15 PM »

CESMs lead. Hang on, which ones are they in the Newcastle v Arsenal match? The red team anyway.
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« Reply #63230 on: December 29, 2013, 03:07:56 PM »

CESMs lead. Hang on, which ones are they in the Newcastle v Arsenal match? The red team anyway.

A real blue on blue affair.
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« Reply #63231 on: December 29, 2013, 03:08:04 PM »

A quick question regarding Champions League.

It is the QF's when teams can possibly face each from the same country?
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« Reply #63232 on: December 29, 2013, 03:10:34 PM »

CESMs lead. Hang on, which ones are they in the Newcastle v Arsenal match? The red team anyway.

A real blue on blue affair.

D'accord
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« Reply #63233 on: December 29, 2013, 04:05:08 PM »

M'boro winning 2-0

Arsenal won

Sheffield United winning.

Not so bad in the football.
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« Reply #63234 on: December 29, 2013, 04:26:15 PM »

Couple of tiddlearse suggestions

American football first td offer with Paddy:

£10 Jimmy Graham 13/2 New Orleans v Tampa Bay


£10 Doncaster to beat QPR @ 10/1 bet365 (19/2 with VC is fine)

gogogogo
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« Reply #63235 on: December 29, 2013, 04:49:29 PM »

SUAREZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ!!!!!!!!!!


Sorry. Spurs

My mistake
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« Reply #63236 on: December 29, 2013, 04:51:32 PM »

Hi Tony, have backed two more NBA games today, I know u like em early, there's some late team news to come in the Lakers game but as we said at the start of this PP offer, it's pretty hard not to have a value bet either way, so all aboard.

Have backed OKC -4.5 v Houston, and Lakers -7.5 v Philly. FWIW I've put 55 on the first and 33 on the second, tho I might top that up later depending on the team news. Gl
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« Reply #63237 on: December 29, 2013, 05:04:24 PM »

Can I suggest we do Tighty's NFL bets for Sunday sooner rather than later ?


Arizona Cardinals +1.5 v San Francisco 49ers

Dallas Cowboys +6.5 v Philadelphia Eagles

Jacksonville Jaguars +11.5 v Indianapolis Colts



Quick caveat...which way will the lines move?

I (perhaps muggishly) expect the San Francisco line would be more likely to move in our favour, if it responds to money being placed by fans on the day, as the 49ers would be much more popular than the Cardinals.

Dallas would be the reverse, so seems like a good one to snaffle earliest.

No idea about the other one, other than Indy are obviously big favourites and people love backing the favourite.

If an NFL elder would pop along and advise, that would be great.


The Cardinals is the only line that has moved much and it has moved massively against us, or is it with us. Anyway we were better getting on earlier. As Tighty's bets are +EV aren't the lines more likely to move against us all other things being equal, hence we should bet earlier ?
If we could predict which way the lines were going to move we could all make money ?
I'm interested to hear what the experts have to say please.

Arizona Cardinals -2.5 10/11
Dallas Cowboys +6.5 Ev
Jacksonville Jaguars +11 10/11
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« Reply #63238 on: December 29, 2013, 05:10:04 PM »

Just had a lump on Brentford to win at Posh on NYD. 15/8 with Baldyfred, or 9/5 with VC. Both fine.

We're off on another crappy run, getting picked apart in the second half by Cov before today's shambles at Carlisle. 60000-mile round trip and most of the second half with ten men.

Ephraim won't play for Posh again and a lot are apparently getting cleared out in January. This is 6/4 each of two, 9/4 the draw imo and I'm expecting the market to adjust pretty quickly.

If you want to try and get a chunk on with a view to laying back, that's what I'll be doing.
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tikay
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« Reply #63239 on: December 29, 2013, 05:16:40 PM »

Couple of tiddlearse suggestions

American football first td offer with Paddy:

£10 Jimmy Graham 13/2 New Orleans v Tampa Bay


£10 Doncaster to beat QPR @ 10/1 bet365 (19/2 with VC is fine)

gogogogo


Thanks Keith, all sorted.

We were restricted to £6.48 on the first TD bet.

Details later.

2 BETS PLACED
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